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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hornets38%9493
13Thunder62%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
35.1
34.1
20
46%
15
2
0
1
0
3
5
10
4-6
67%
8-19
7-14
42%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
31.9
33.2
15
70%
1
5
2
2
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
23.9
18.1
6
52%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
21.3
35.7
5
26%
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
20.0
15.9
6
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
26.7
4.1
10
63%
4
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
21.9
18.6
5
28%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.2
17.0
9.3
7
90%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
14.1
10.4
13
81%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
11.8
16.2
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
10.3
22.2
4
40%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
5.9
4.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.3
41.2
39.2
43
90%
10
5
1
1
1
2
0
10
10-11
91%
9-12
7-14
75%
51%
5-7
71%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
39.1
39.7
12
43%
7
0
0
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
26.6
35.1
10
57%
3
8
1
2
0
5
1
2
3-4
75%
2-6
7-16
33%
45%
1-1
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.4
22.3
27.2
7
72%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
13.8
18.3
4
42%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
33.0
14.2
8
59%
12
1
0
0
6
1
3
9
2-4
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
24.9
23.3
8
62%
5
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
21.9
11.8
9
67%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
17.2
18.0
3
30%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
37%
1-5
20%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.3
3.8
0
0-1
48%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.1
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.4
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.