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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats49%9497
24Pistons51%9587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
42.6
35.4
39
64%
5
4
1
1
0
3
3
2
8-10
80%
11-19
5-10
58%
46%
3-7
43%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
37.8
35.4
10
56%
9
3
2
1
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
36.0
28.9
0
0%
4
9
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
30.6
25.7
14
65%
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
7
2-4
50%
6-9
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
22.6
33.2
10
55%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
23.5
20.2
9
48%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
18.7
13.6
5
46%
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
14.0
11.2
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
7.5
12.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
6.7
1.0
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
13.0
0
1-1
52%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.9
40.5
35.9
16
46%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
8-14
6-12
57%
50%
0-3
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
40.1
33.5
20
54%
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
3-7
43%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.7
35.0
30.5
10
68%
8
2
1
1
2
2
1
7
2-3
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
28.6
31.4
12
61%
1
8
3
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
2-2
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
18.4
25.2
7
79%
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
25.9
21.9
11
56%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.1
19.4
16.1
8
37%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
16.9
9.6
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.4
15.2
19.4
3
28%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.0
6.3
0
1-2
46%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
5.9
0
1-1
45%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.9
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.