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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 2, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1776ers58%97106
27Nets42%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
37.0
35.2
16
53%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.6
36.5
33.7
11
50%
10
11
0
1
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
35.4
30.8
15
52%
10
1
1
1
2
0
4
6
3-3
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.8
28.0
18.0
8
29%
12
0
1
0
0
1
4
8
0-0
-
4-13
3-5
31%
50%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.5
25.3
24.4
15
73%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
3-3
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-5
40%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
31.7
24.5
26
81%
2
3
1
1
2
2
1
1
9-9
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
23.6
27.8
2
14%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-7
5-10
14%
54%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
14.3
25.0
7
47%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
4.9
10.7
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
3.3
2.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.0
0.1
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.2
5.6
0
0-1
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.0
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
37.1
31.9
16
72%
1
7
1
1
0
5
0
1
6-7
86%
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.8
35.8
34.1
16
42%
4
0
0
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
8-19
8-16
42%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
34.4
30.5
10
46%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
21.1
20.8
5
25%
11
0
0
0
3
0
4
7
1-2
50%
2-9
3-5
22%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
7.9
15.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
30.4
24.8
10
71%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
26.6
23.9
16
74%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
2-4
50%
7-9
3-7
78%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
21.9
21.6
4
31%
3
4
3
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
12.2
11.5
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
10.9
9.1
7
72%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
0.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 29.0
0.8
0.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.