FinalWin Prob.pScore
2924%96
87
1176%105
100
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
102.48589.7
ATL logo ATL
116.38681.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL87
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Wilkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORAjinca 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLEvans 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ATLWilkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40TORRaptors Rebound84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40TORMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P3.T13)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08TORAjinca 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ATLJohnson 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (37 PTS)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28TORSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:57TORJohnson 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00TORWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02TORMISS Ajinca 19' Jump Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11ATLJohnson 1' Layup (35 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28TORMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot78
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:23ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)78
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 5:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 5:46TORSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)78
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 6:10ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)78
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 6:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)78
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 6:26TORMISS Weems 5' Turnaround Jump Shot78
2.3%
88
97.7%
Q4 - 6:35ATLSmith 1' Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)78
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 6:54ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 6:55TORMISS Weems 19' Jump Shot78
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 7:05TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 7:08TORCrawford BLOCK (1 BLK)78
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 7:18ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)78
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 7:18ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)78
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 7:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 7:30TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 278
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 7:30TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 7:31TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 7:35ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup77
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 7:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 7:59TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 8:14ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)77
8.2%
84
91.8%
Q4 - 8:35TORJohnson 4' Running Layup (16 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)77
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 8:41TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 8:44ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper75
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 9:09TORJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)75
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:21TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q4 - 9:22ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 173
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 9:48TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 9:48TORJohnson 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)73
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 9:50TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot71
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 10:09ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)71
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 10:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q4 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot71
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 10:58ATLJohnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
7.7%
79
92.3%
Q4 - 11:24TORDeRozan 4' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)71
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 11:45ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)69
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR69
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford 18' Fadeaway Jumper69
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0TORDeRozan 6' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)67
8.6%
75
91.4%
Q3 - 1:00ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot67
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q3 - 1:23TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
7.5%
75
92.5%
Q3 - 1:23TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
7.3%
75
92.7%
Q3 - 1:23ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)65
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 1:33TORDavis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)65
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 1:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 1:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 2:03TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 2:03TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 2:05TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 2:09ATLMISS Horford 7' Hook Shot61
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 2:25TOREvans STEAL (1 STL)61
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 2:47ATLEvans 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)61
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 2:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)61
5.4%
71
94.6%
Q3 - 2:58TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot61
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 3:13ATLSmith 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)61
6.7%
71
93.3%
Q3 - 3:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 3:24TORMISS Weems 6' Running Jump Shot61
8.3%
69
91.7%
Q3 - 3:42TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 4:03TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 4:03TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
7.8%
69
92.2%
Q3 - 4:19ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)59
7.0%
69
93.0%
Q3 - 4:25ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 4:26TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot59
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q3 - 4:49ATLJohnson 1' Dunk (23 PTS) (Horford 7 AST)59
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 5:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 5:07TORMISS Bargnani 1' Putback Layup59
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q3 - 5:09TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 5:10TORMISS Bargnani 4' Turnaround Jump Shot59
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q3 - 5:26TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 5:28ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q3 - 5:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
13.7%
64
86.3%
Q3 - 6:01ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)59
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 6:24TORDeRozan 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)59
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 6:47TORRaptors Rebound57
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 6:47ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.8%
61
83.2%
Q3 - 7:08TORBargnani Backcourt Turnover (P1.T8)57
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 7:25TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q3 - 7:26ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 7:47TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)57
15.2%
61
84.8%
Q3 - 7:59ATLJohnson Running Layup (21 PTS)55
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 8:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q3 - 8:06TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 8:19ATLEvans 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Horford 6 AST)55
17.4%
59
82.6%
Q3 - 8:23TORHorford STEAL (1 STL)55
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q3 - 8:40ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)55
22.2%
57
77.8%
Q3 - 8:59TORCalderon 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
27.6%
54
72.4%
Q3 - 9:20TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 9:22ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 9:39TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)53
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q3 - 9:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
19.5%
54
80.5%
Q3 - 9:56ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot51
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q3 - 10:16TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)51
17.0%
54
83.0%
Q3 - 10:26TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
15.2%
54
84.8%
Q3 - 10:28ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot49
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 10:54TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 11:14TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 11:17ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot47
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q3 - 11:40TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
10.5%
54
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR45
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0TORMISS Davis 2' Layup45
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLJohnson 3' Layup (19 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)45
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLHAWKS Rebound45
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
11.7%
52
88.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0TORJohnson Running Layup (12 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)45
11.0%
52
89.0%
Q2 - 1:15ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 1:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q2 - 1:25TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot43
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 1:39ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)43
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 1:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS Weems Free Throw 1 of 143
11.3%
50
88.7%
Q2 - 2:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
9.9%
50
90.1%
Q2 - 2:21ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)41
9.9%
50
90.1%
Q2 - 2:22ATLMISS Horford 4' Driving Jump Shot41
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 2:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q2 - 2:45TORMISS Bayless 18' Jump Shot41
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 2:53TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q2 - 2:54ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot41
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 3:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q2 - 3:10TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot41
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 3:26ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)41
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 3:42TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 3:51ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)38
12.5%
45
87.5%
Q2 - 4:14TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 4:14TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 4:30ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)36
12.4%
43
87.6%
Q2 - 4:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 4:39ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 4:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 4:46TORMISS Bayless 1' Driving Layup36
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 4:53TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 4:55ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 5:09ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:11TORHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)36
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 5:19TORRaptors Rebound36
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 5:42TORJohnson 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)36
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:51TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 5:53ATLMISS Bibby 3' Driving Jump Shot34
12.0%
41
88.0%
Q2 - 6:06ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)34
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 6:06ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw Technical34
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 6:06TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P3.T6)34
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 6:21ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 6:32TORBayless 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)34
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 6:37ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)32
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q2 - 7:00TORBayless 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
12.6%
38
87.4%
Q2 - 7:16ATLSmith Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS)30
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 7:20TORSmith STEAL (2 STL)30
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 7:27TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 7:28ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot30
13.5%
36
86.5%
Q2 - 7:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 7:42TORMISS Davis 2' Driving Layup30
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 7:57ATLWilkins Foul Turnover (P1.T6)30
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 8:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 8:01TORMISS DeRozan 1' Running Layup30
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 8:23ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 8:37TORBayless Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
15.3%
34
84.7%
Q2 - 8:53ATLPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)30
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 9:11TORBargnani 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)30
18.2%
32
81.8%
Q2 - 9:26TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 9:28TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot28
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 9:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 9:42TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)28
15.7%
32
84.3%
Q2 - 9:58TORRaptors Rebound28
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 9:58ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup28
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 10:16TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q2 - 10:16TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 10:31ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
14.2%
32
85.8%
Q2 - 10:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 10:38TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 11:06ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)26
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 11:18ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)26
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q2 - 11:40TORBargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)26
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR24
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)24
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup24
20.8%
25
79.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0TORJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)24
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
18.1%
25
81.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Wilkins 17' Jump Shot22
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0TORJohnson 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)22
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q1 - 1:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
14.5%
25
85.5%
Q1 - 1:12TORMISS Weems 14' Driving Jump Shot20
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q1 - 1:28ATLCrawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 1:43ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 1:44TORMISS DeRozan 1' Putback Layup20
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 1:45TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 1:46TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup20
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 1:54ATLHorford 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)20
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 2:14TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 2:14TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 2:25TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)18
18.3%
21
81.7%
Q1 - 2:44ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)17
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 3:01TORWeems 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)17
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 3:12TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot15
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 3:35TORJohnson Putback Layup (2 PTS)15
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 3:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 3:37TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot13
13.7%
19
86.3%
Q1 - 3:52ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)13
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 4:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
16.5%
16
83.5%
Q1 - 4:02TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
17.9%
16
82.1%
Q1 - 4:02TORMISS Bargnani 1' Tip Shot13
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 4:04TORMISS Bargnani 16' Turnaround Jump Shot13
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 4:25ATLJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)13
17.9%
16
82.1%
Q1 - 4:39TORWeems Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)13
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 4:42TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 4:46ATLMISS Horford 16' Turnaround Hook Shot11
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 5:09TORWeems 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 5:26ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)9
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 5:42TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
14.4%
14
85.6%
Q1 - 5:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 5:47TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot6
11.8%
14
88.2%
Q1 - 5:59ATLJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
12.5%
14
87.5%
Q1 - 6:14ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical6
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 6:26TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T3)6
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 6:32ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 6:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
13.4%
12
86.6%
Q1 - 6:40TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot6
13.7%
12
86.3%
Q1 - 6:58ATLHorford 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)6
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:11TORDeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 7:47ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)4
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 7:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 7:58TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot4
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 8:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
16.3%
8
83.7%
Q1 - 8:12ATLSmith 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)4
16.3%
8
83.7%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Johnson 1' Driving Dunk4
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 8:31ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 8:32TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 8:38TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 8:40ATLMISS Evans 18' Fadeaway Jumper4
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 8:57ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 8:58TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 9:13ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 9:26TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 9:41ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 9:58TORBargnani Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)4
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:08TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:10ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 10:16TORSmith STEAL (1 STL)2
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:25ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 10:40TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:09ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 11:28ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:30TORMISS Weems 21' Jump Shot0
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:46ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
20.5%
0
79.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Bargnani: Tip to Horford0
19.5%
0
80.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.3%
ATL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
30
53%
ATL
19
26
73%
Midrange
TOR
17
43
40%
ATL
13
26
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
ATL
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
TOR
18
21
86%
ATL
6
9
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Johnson2077%10.0 / 13
D. DeRozan1647%8.0 / 17
S. Weems1240%6.0 / 15
A. Bargnani1243%6.0 / 14
J. Calderon1142%5.5 / 13
J. Bayless660%3.0 / 5
A. Ajinca467%2.0 / 3
E. Davis338%1.5 / 4
T. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3784%18.5 / 22
J. Smith1864%9.0 / 14
A. Horford1246%6.0 / 13
M. Evans1286%6.0 / 7
J. Crawford758%3.5 / 6
M. Bibby633%3.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia6100%3.0 / 3
J. Teague250%1.0 / 2
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
76
+12
-9
88
ATL
73
+7
-13
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.3%
ATL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
105.9
TOR 102.4
ATL 116.3 +13.9
Pace
93.1
89.5
TOR 89.7 +8.0
ATL 81.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.4
TOR 16.0 +1.6
ATL 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.1%
TOR 44.2%
ATL 61.8% +17.6%
TO %
15.0%
14.2%
TOR 9.4% +5.5%
ATL 14.9%
ORB %
28.3%
23.5%
TOR 24.4% +5.0%
ATL 19.4%
FTrt
29.3
26.9
TOR 26.9 +15.1
ATL 11.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
60.7%
TOR 64.7%
ATL 71.4% +6.7%
STL %
7.6%
6.8%
TOR 4.7%
ATL 4.7%
BLK %
6.7%
6.6%
TOR 5.8%
ATL 6.8% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.8%
TOR 48.3%
ATL 62.5% +14.2%
Rim FG%
58.9%
60.0%
TOR 53.3%
ATL 73.1% +19.8%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.5%
TOR 39.5%
ATL 50.0% +10.5%
3P %
31.6%
35.2%
TOR 20.0%
ATL 41.7% +21.7%
FT %
75.5%
78.0%
TOR 85.7% +19.0%
ATL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
30.4%
TOR 38.5% +4.3%
ATL 34.2%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
47.4%
TOR 55.1%
ATL 34.2% +20.9%
3P Att. %
16.2%
22.2%
TOR 6.4%
ATL 31.6% +25.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points87100
Rebounds3640
Assists2230
Steals44
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)34 (0)
Field Goals34-7842-76
At-the-Rim FG16-3019-26
Midrange FG17-4313-26
2-Point FG33-7332-52
3-Point FG1-510-24
Free Throws18-216-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
40.7
20
77%
14
1
1
2
1
3
5
9
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
38.7
11
42%
2
10
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
22%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 205 · 25
35.8
12
40%
6
3
0
0
1
2
0
6
2-3
67%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
33.8
16
47%
4
1
0
0
4
4
2
2
0-0
-
8-17
47%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
30.2
12
43%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
20.9
3
38%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
15.1
6
60%
0
3
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
12.6
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 26
8.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 248 · 23
4.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
· 6'8" 268 · 27
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
#11 · F · 6'8" 234 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 194 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
48%
36
22
4
3
9
0
11
25
18-21
86%
33-73
45%
1-5
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.