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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 1, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs54%9686
14Trail Blazers46%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.6
35.7
30.1
10
67%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
32.4
30.0
17
45%
4
2
4
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
50%
3-8
38%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
32.3
29.8
6
27%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
52%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.8
30.4
27.5
15
64%
7
2
0
1
1
0
4
3
3-6
50%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.8
25.9
28.0
14
54%
12
1
1
1
1
2
6
6
0-0
-
7-13
5-9
54%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
32.0
26.4
10
56%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
27.6
19.9
7
45%
6
2
1
1
0
4
3
3
1-4
25%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
16.1
21.7
3
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.9
2.5
5.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
2.2
12.5
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
1.4
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
1.4
3.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
43.7
41.5
40
74%
11
2
3
1
1
2
3
8
8-9
89%
16-23
9-19
70%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
39.9
37.4
21
58%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
7-13
4-9
54%
48%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.9
35.7
29.4
18
65%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.1
34.8
27.1
8
41%
6
0
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-3
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.3
21.0
19.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.8
24.4
26.7
3
39%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.8
23.9
30.1
3
25%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
12.3
13.3
4
40%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.5
4.3
2.4
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.0
21.3
0
4-7
54%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.9
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.5
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.6
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.