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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat55%99108
12Thunder45%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
41.1
22.6
32
63%
9
2
2
1
0
9
4
5
6-8
75%
13-22
5-10
59%
52%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
40.2
40.3
23
61%
4
13
4
2
3
4
0
4
7-11
64%
5-9
9-18
56%
53%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.9
35.9
32.0
20
61%
7
1
0
1
1
2
3
4
4-8
50%
8-12
6-13
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
23.2
31.0
6
90%
0
3
0
2
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.7
19.9
11.6
8
50%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
28.6
29.7
6
50%
8
2
2
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
27.1
31.9
2
33%
6
0
0
0
5
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
12.2
28.6
6
60%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
11.8
17.9
5
87%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.0
11.1
0
1-2
47%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
8.3
0
1-1
48%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
4.8
0
0-1
57%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
44.0
38.1
23
52%
11
1
2
1
1
2
3
8
2-3
67%
9-18
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.3
40.1
39.7
33
58%
10
1
4
1
0
3
4
6
16-19
84%
4-15
7-15
27%
50%
3-5
60%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
36.8
34.9
21
41%
7
10
2
2
1
2
3
4
7-8
88%
7-20
7-16
35%
45%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.4
28.3
27.1
5
53%
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
15.8
20.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
31.3
9.5
13
81%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
36%
3-5
60%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
23.1
23.7
6
100%
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
11.6
11.9
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
9.1
17.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
54%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.1
2.1
0
0-0
41%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.0
1.9
0
0-1
47%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.4
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.