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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets68%9696
27Kings32%89102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
39.3
32.0
15
98%
4
2
1
1
3
1
3
1
5-6
83%
5-5
4-8
100%
57%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
38.0
32.0
21
44%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
8-20
7-13
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
36.8
32.1
19
70%
5
7
3
2
0
5
1
4
8-8
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
36.3
32.1
12
66%
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
3
7-7
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
23.3
18.0
5
28%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.7
17.1
21.8
16
77%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
15.2
10.9
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
14.2
16.3
5
30%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
13.3
15.4
3
44%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
3.6
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
3.0
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
6.1
0
1-2
48%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
39.9
37.5
14
76%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
39.0
33.8
6
33%
6
0
3
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-3
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.5
34.6
25.8
25
53%
12
7
1
1
0
3
2
10
3-4
75%
11-22
5-12
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.4
28.6
35.6
18
65%
2
6
1
2
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
7-10
6-13
70%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.5
9.6
21.2
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.7
27.9
22.9
16
61%
6
0
2
0
2
1
3
3
4-5
80%
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.4
23.3
28.7
5
39%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.2
14.0
11.5
5
46%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.9
11.7
12.2
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
10.9
2.4
5
83%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.2
0.6
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.