FinalWin Prob.pScore
1430%99
95
470%105
108
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
105.69091.6
SAS logo SAS
120.09088.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU95
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUBlair BLOCK (3 BLK)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASAnderson 21' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0HOUPatterson 2' Layup (8 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Patterson 5' Jump Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30SASSPURS Rebound93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HOUMISS Budinger 18' Jump Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33HOURockets Rebound93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34HOUMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44SASMISS Blair 19' Jump Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05SASQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40HOURockets Rebound93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40HOUWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40HOUMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53HOURockets Rebound92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Splitter 3' Layup92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HOULowry Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 390
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16SASHill Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16SASHill Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 390
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27HOULowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01HOULowry 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:14HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46HOUMISS Scola 15' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Blair 3 AST)85
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 5:21HOUBattier 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 5:43SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 5 AST)83
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 6:02HOUHayes 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 6 AST)83
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 6:15SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)81
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 6:18HOUHill STEAL (2 STL)81
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 6:35HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot81
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 7:03SASSPURS Rebound81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:03SASMISS Hill 3' Layup81
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 7:16HOUPatterson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:31SASHill 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 7:53SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 7:54HOUMISS Brooks 3PT Jump Shot79
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 8:04SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 8:04SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)79
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 8:09HOUGinobili STEAL (2 STL)79
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 8:29SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)79
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q4 - 8:29SASBlair 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)79
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 8:47HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 8:47HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
7.3%
86
92.7%
Q4 - 9:07SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)77
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q4 - 9:26HOUScola 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q4 - 9:47SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 9:47SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
9.3%
82
90.7%
Q4 - 10:03HOUBudinger 3' Layup (9 PTS)75
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q4 - 10:06HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 10:07HOUMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q4 - 10:28SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)73
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 10:47SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Neal 11' Jump Shot73
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q4 - 10:58HOUHill STEAL (1 STL)73
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q4 - 11:08HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
17.3%
78
82.7%
Q4 - 11:09SASMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot73
16.4%
78
83.6%
Q4 - 11:24HOUScola 10' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Brooks 4 AST)73
14.5%
78
85.5%
Q4 - 11:42SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 11:42SASMcDyess 2' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)71
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
16.4%
76
83.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)71
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0SASMISS Blair 11' Jump Shot71
16.8%
76
83.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0HOUScola Foul Turnover (P2.T13)71
15.1%
76
84.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASGinobili 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
17.6%
76
82.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
21.1%
74
78.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot71
23.4%
74
76.6%
Q3 - 1:08HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brooks 3 AST)71
21.2%
74
78.8%
Q3 - 1:24SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q3 - 1:24SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 1:45HOUScola 6' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)68
18.1%
72
81.9%
Q3 - 2:01HOURockets Rebound66
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 2:01SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
14.8%
72
85.2%
Q3 - 2:16HOULowry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)66
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 2:25SASHill 4' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)66
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 2:47HOULowry 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)66
18.1%
70
81.9%
Q3 - 2:57HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)64
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 2:58SASMISS Neal 17' Fadeaway Jumper64
14.7%
70
85.3%
Q3 - 3:23SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 3:25HOUMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)64
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 3:47SASNeal 3' Layup (2 PTS)64
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 4:09HOUNeal STEAL (1 STL)64
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 4:25HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
21.5%
68
78.5%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot64
20.4%
68
79.6%
Q3 - 4:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
18.2%
68
81.8%
Q3 - 4:33HOUMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot64
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 4:39SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
21.5%
68
78.5%
Q3 - 5:02HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 5:02HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 263
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 5:23SASJefferson 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 5:46HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 163
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 5:46HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)63
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 5:46HOUHayes 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)63
21.0%
66
79.0%
Q3 - 5:46HOUMISS Scola 6' Jump Shot61
16.8%
66
83.2%
Q3 - 6:10SASJefferson Dunk (13 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)61
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q3 - 6:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
21.1%
64
78.9%
Q3 - 6:17HOUBlair BLOCK (2 BLK)61
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 6:40HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
24.2%
64
75.8%
Q3 - 6:41SASMISS Blair 9' Jump Bank Shot61
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 6:58HOUHayes 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)61
21.1%
64
78.9%
Q3 - 7:00HOURockets Rebound59
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 7:00HOUMISS Scola 14' Jump Shot59
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 7:09SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)59
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 7:34HOULowry 2' Layup (6 PTS)59
16.4%
64
83.6%
Q3 - 7:38SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)57
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q3 - 7:52HOUScola 3' Layup (14 PTS)57
12.6%
64
87.4%
Q3 - 8:10SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 8:10SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
11.5%
63
88.5%
Q3 - 8:23HOUHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q3 - 8:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)55
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 8:46HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 8:48SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 8:54SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
12.8%
62
87.2%
Q3 - 8:55HOUMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot55
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 9:06SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
14.7%
62
85.3%
Q3 - 9:06SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 9:10SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 9:10HOUMISS Martin 11' Jump Shot55
17.3%
60
82.7%
Q3 - 9:31SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)55
18.8%
60
81.2%
Q3 - 9:51HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
21.1%
58
78.9%
Q3 - 9:51HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 9:52HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 9:53HOUMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.3%
58
82.7%
Q3 - 10:03HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 10:04HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q3 - 10:17SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)53
18.9%
58
81.1%
Q3 - 10:34SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
23.5%
55
76.5%
Q3 - 10:35HOUMISS Scola 13' Pullup Jump Shot53
24.4%
55
75.6%
Q3 - 10:54SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 10:54SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
27.0%
54
73.0%
Q3 - 11:14HOUScola 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)53
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q3 - 11:21SASJump Ball Jefferson vs. Scola: Tip to Hayes51
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 11:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 11:25HOUMISS Martin 3PT Jump Shot51
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 11:38HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q3 - 11:39SASMISS Blair 2' Alley Oop Layup51
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 11:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 11:50HOUMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot51
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU51
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound51
26.2%
53
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
25.9%
53
74.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
25.9%
53
74.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOULowry 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot49
27.9%
50
72.1%
Q2 - 1:00HOUScola 14' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)49
26.4%
50
73.6%
Q2 - 1:15HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 1:16SASMISS Neal 7' Jump Shot47
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 1:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
21.7%
50
78.3%
Q2 - 1:36HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 247
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q2 - 1:36HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 247
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 1:55SASDuncan 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Blair 2 AST)47
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 2:13HOUHayes 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)47
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 2:25HOURockets Rebound45
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 2:25HOUBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)45
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 2:48SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)45
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 3:05HOUBrooks 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)45
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 3:16SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T8)43
23.7%
46
76.3%
Q2 - 3:35HOUBrooks 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)43
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 3:38HOURockets Rebound40
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 3:38HOUHill BLOCK (1 BLK)40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 3:45HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q2 - 3:46HOUMISS Brooks 14' Jump Shot40
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 4:20HOUBrooks 8' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)40
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 4:37SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 5:00HOUPatterson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)38
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 5:19SASBlair 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)36
17.6%
42
82.4%
Q2 - 5:41SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 5:43HOUMISS Budinger 13' Floating Jump Shot36
19.9%
40
80.1%
Q2 - 6:01SASGinobili 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 6:08SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 6:09SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot36
27.1%
37
72.9%
Q2 - 6:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
25.3%
37
74.7%
Q2 - 6:26HOUMISS Patterson 20' Jump Shot36
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 6:44SASMcDyess 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)36
27.9%
37
72.1%
Q2 - 7:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
29.6%
35
70.4%
Q2 - 7:03HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 7:03HOUMISS Patterson 2' Layup36
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 7:04HOUMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)36
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 7:17SASBlair 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)36
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 7:38HOUPatterson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)36
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 7:54SASJefferson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 8:06HOULee 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
39.0%
31
61.0%
Q2 - 8:13HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 8:13SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot34
35.8%
31
64.2%
Q2 - 8:31HOUPatterson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)34
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 8:57SASBlair 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)32
31.8%
31
68.2%
Q2 - 9:03HOUBlair STEAL (1 STL)32
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q2 - 9:18HOURockets Rebound32
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 9:18SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup32
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 9:30HOUHill Foul Turnover (P2.T7)32
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q2 - 9:47SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)32
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 9:59HOUBudinger 8' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)32
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 10:17SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)30
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 10:31HOUBudinger 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
33.4%
27
66.6%
Q2 - 10:42HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q2 - 10:43SASMISS Blair 16' Jump Shot28
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 11:04HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q2 - 11:04HOUHill 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q2 - 11:05HOUMISS Lee 5' Running Jump Shot26
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q2 - 11:28SASBlair 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q2 - 11:42HOUHill Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)26
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q2 - 11:43HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q2 - 11:44HOUMISS Brooks 5' Running Jump Shot26
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound26
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Hill 30' 3PT Running Jump Shot26
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
28.9%
25
71.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)26
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASSPURS Rebound26
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Brooks 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot26
29.5%
25
70.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
30.6%
25
69.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASMISS Splitter 11' Jump Shot26
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q1 - 1:00HOULee 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)26
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 1:12HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 1:13HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 1:22SASNeal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)24
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 1:26SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 1:27HOUMISS Scola 5' Running Jump Shot24
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 1:40HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 1:42HOUMISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot24
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 2:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 2:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 2:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 2:16SASMISS Parker 3' Layup24
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q1 - 2:22HOUMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)24
28.8%
23
71.2%
Q1 - 2:27SASParker 2' Layup (8 PTS)24
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q1 - 2:31HOUSplitter STEAL (2 STL)24
32.7%
21
67.3%
Q1 - 2:42SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 2:54HOUBattier 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 3:07HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 3:09SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot22
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 3:12SASSPURS Rebound22
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 3:12SASMISS Splitter 8' Jump Shot22
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 3:34HOUSplitter STEAL (1 STL)22
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 3:55SASParker 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)22
36.5%
18
63.5%
Q1 - 4:20HOUScola 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)22
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 4:34SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T4)20
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 4:45HOUMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)20
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 4:53SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)17
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 5:03HOUBattier 2' Layup (2 PTS)17
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 5:20SASGinobili 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 5:34SASSPURS Rebound15
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 5:35HOUMISS Hayes 6' Jump Shot15
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 5:45SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)15
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 5:50SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 5:51HOUMISS Scola 3' Jump Shot15
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 6:07HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:08SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot15
32.3%
12
67.7%
Q1 - 6:21HOUMartin 2' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)15
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:25HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 6:26SASMISS Parker 2' Layup13
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 6:38HOUHayes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)13
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 6:48HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Bank Shot11
25.5%
12
74.5%
Q1 - 7:10HOUMartin 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)11
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 7:29SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)9
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 7:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 7:48HOUMISS Scola 14' Fadeaway Jumper9
24.6%
10
75.4%
Q1 - 7:59SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 8:06HOUScola 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)9
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 8:14SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:14SASJefferson 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)7
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:15SASMISS Ginobili 9' Fadeaway Jumper7
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 8:22SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 8:23HOUMISS Martin 2' Layup7
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 8:28HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:29SASMISS Parker 11' Floating Jump Shot7
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 8:51HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 8:51HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 9:00SASBlair 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)5
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 9:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 9:16HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
24.5%
6
75.5%
Q1 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 9:44HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)5
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:50SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 9:52HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot5
27.4%
4
72.6%
Q1 - 10:01HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot5
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 10:25HOULowry 2' Layup (2 PTS)5
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 10:30HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 10:31SASMISS Blair 5' Jump Shot3
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:46HOUMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot3
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:50HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 10:52HOUMISS Battier 20' Jump Shot3
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 11:08SASDuncan 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)3
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 11:19HOUMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)3
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 11:40SASJefferson Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 11:48SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:48SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 20
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:48SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 20
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Scola: Tip to Parker0
25.2%
0
74.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
28
64%
SAS
22
30
73%
Midrange
HOU
17
38
45%
SAS
8
28
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
SAS
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
HOU
10
16
63%
SAS
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola2355%11.5 / 21
K. Lowry1558%7.5 / 13
C. Hayes1071%5.0 / 7
K. Martin1038%5.0 / 13
C. Budinger975%4.5 / 6
P. Patterson850%4.0 / 8
A. Brooks729%3.5 / 12
S. Battier660%3.0 / 5
C. Lee450%2.0 / 4
J. Hill250%1.0 / 2
T. Williams117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2285%11.0 / 13
R. Jefferson18100%9.0 / 9
T. Parker1771%8.5 / 12
D. Blair1454%7.0 / 13
G. Hill1470%7.0 / 10
T. Duncan1246%6.0 / 13
A. McDyess467%2.0 / 3
T. Splitter338%1.5 / 4
G. Neal214%1.0 / 7
J. Anderson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
73
+21
-17
94
SAS
77
+11
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
111.5
HOU 105.6
SAS 120.0 +14.4
Pace
94.2
92.7
HOU 91.6 +3.1
SAS 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.7
HOU 15.7 +0.6
SAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
52.7%
HOU 49.4%
SAS 56.8% +7.4%
TO %
13.4%
13.8%
HOU 15.4%
SAS 13.1% +2.3%
ORB %
27.5%
25.0%
HOU 40.0% +14.2%
SAS 25.8%
FTrt
29.9
29.9
HOU 18.6
SAS 36.5 +17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
58.3%
HOU 55.0%
SAS 57.9% +2.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.9%
HOU 8.9%
SAS 11.1% +2.2%
BLK %
6.5%
6.7%
HOU 5.2%
SAS 9.1% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
55.3%
HOU 49.5%
SAS 61.4% +11.9%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.3%
HOU 64.3%
SAS 73.3% +9.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
41.6%
HOU 44.7% +16.1%
SAS 28.6%
3P %
36.7%
39.7%
HOU 25.0%
SAS 50.0% +25.0%
FT %
80.1%
76.7%
HOU 62.5%
SAS 88.9% +26.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
34.3%
HOU 32.6%
SAS 40.5% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
39.7%
HOU 44.2%
SAS 37.8% +6.3%
3P Att. %
26.4%
26.1%
HOU 23.3% +1.6%
SAS 21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points95108
Rebounds3932
Assists2222
Steals810
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)24 (3)
Field Goals40-8638-74
At-the-Rim FG18-2822-30
Midrange FG17-388-28
2-Point FG35-6630-58
3-Point FG5-208-16
Free Throws10-1624-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 241 · 31
35.8
23
55%
10
1
3
0
2
2
3
7
7-8
88%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 196 · 25
31.5
15
58%
2
7
0
0
3
2
1
1
2-5
40%
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
C · 6'6" 240 · 28
28.9
10
71%
7
1
2
0
1
4
5
2
0-1
0%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 32
27.3
6
60%
1
6
1
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 199 · 28
23.7
10
38%
4
1
1
0
3
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-7
29%
G · 6'0" 161 · 26
23.4
7
29%
2
4
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
20.3
8
50%
5
0
0
1
2
2
3
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 23
17.4
9
75%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 200 · 25
16.0
4
50%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24
11.1
2
50%
4
1
0
0
2
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
3.1
1
17%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 23
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · F · 6'11" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#52 · C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
39
22
8
3
17
0
16
23
10-16
63%
35-66
53%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.