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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks35%9391
8Mavericks65%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
41.7
36.5
27
55%
8
6
2
1
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
13-19
6-13
68%
47%
0-5
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
40.4
37.8
10
48%
9
4
1
1
1
1
2
7
2-3
67%
4-9
7-12
44%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
23.1
37.2
17
67%
7
3
2
1
0
3
2
5
6-6
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
23.0
31.0
3
38%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
21.3
17.3
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
36.4
28.0
11
43%
0
2
2
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
1-7
14%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.0
15.7
13.2
5
43%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
13.4
6.8
6
61%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.1
9.5
7.6
2
36%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
8.3
7.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
7.3
6.1
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
24.7
1
3-5
48%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.9
34.8
31.9
12
68%
8
5
2
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
33.0
32.2
19
77%
6
4
1
1
1
5
0
6
2-3
67%
7-10
6-12
70%
52%
1-1
100%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.3
28.5
26.7
12
61%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
62%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.8
27.1
20.2
11
51%
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
3-9
33%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
19.2
16.4
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
32.4
30.4
18
64%
5
11
1
1
0
2
0
5
6-7
86%
3-7
5-10
43%
50%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
29.6
27.2
10
42%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
53%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.2
19.5
13.3
10
84%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
6-9
67%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
15.8
24.2
6
51%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
9.3
0
1-2
55%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
4.3
0
0-0
39%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.