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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Knicks39%100102
12Hawks61%104111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.9
42.8
20.4
12
46%
11
0
1
0
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
46%
2-5
40%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.6
41.2
36.1
21
47%
3
13
1
2
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
9-17
4-9
53%
46%
0-4
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.6
37.3
31.6
15
83%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
55%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
34.6
31.5
12
68%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
31.9
36.3
27
54%
3
1
0
1
1
3
1
2
9-9
100%
9-19
10-19
47%
52%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.0
24.0
19.0
8
80%
7
0
1
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
19.6
22.2
4
25%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
8.7
7.7
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
1-2
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
2.6
0
0-0
41%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.5
1.7
0
0-1
44%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.5
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.7
45.3
31.7
19
67%
14
6
1
1
1
1
7
7
3-5
60%
8-12
6-11
67%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
41.2
33.2
34
59%
8
7
2
1
0
3
3
5
6-6
100%
11-21
6-12
52%
50%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
38.9
36.6
24
81%
9
4
1
1
2
3
2
7
4-4
100%
7-10
6-12
70%
51%
2-3
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
32.5
30.2
5
63%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
27.4
22.4
12
69%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
6-6
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.9
25.5
30.8
11
34%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
1-6
17%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
13.3
20.2
3
75%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.0
9.1
16.0
1
17%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
6.8
7.7
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.2
12.4
0
1-2
44%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
10.6
0
1-3
46%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
3.0
0
0-1
51%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.3
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.