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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 27, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Rockets33%97106
7Mavericks67%103111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.0
35.0
26.3
27
67%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
11-12
92%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
2-7
29%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.8
33.6
28.8
9
40%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
2-6
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
33.6
29.0
10
58%
7
1
0
1
1
2
0
7
4-6
67%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.6
33.0
33.1
16
74%
8
1
2
1
0
0
2
6
0-2
0%
8-10
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.7
28.7
32.2
30
69%
8
3
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
14-21
7-14
67%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.0
25.4
23.7
6
30%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.9
16.4
12.7
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.7
14.3
18.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
10.3
13.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
9.6
15.5
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
4.1
0
1-1
41%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
2.8
0
0-1
42%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.4
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
34.5
31.3
18
51%
2
3
0
1
2
0
0
2
3-4
75%
6-14
6-12
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.3
32.6
22.9
21
79%
15
0
0
0
1
2
4
11
11-12
92%
5-8
3-5
63%
62%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
32.2
32.7
11
61%
2
10
1
2
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
42%
1-3
33%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
22.3
12.5
11
79%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
3-4
75%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.8
20.4
20.4
2
25%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
27.9
27.5
10
45%
6
0
2
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-11
5-9
45%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
26.8
33.8
15
51%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
50%
1-3
33%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
24.3
24.8
19
84%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
8-9
3-7
89%
48%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
9.4
9.2
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.2
7.5
18.0
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
2.0
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.6
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.