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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats26%95114
8Suns74%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
42.7
37.4
23
51%
7
4
1
1
1
3
1
6
5-6
83%
3-14
5-11
21%
45%
4-6
67%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
41.8
38.7
22
67%
10
3
1
1
0
1
4
6
6-8
75%
8-12
5-10
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
35.9
29.1
18
83%
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
33.1
34.5
15
63%
3
10
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
3-6
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
26.5
27.0
12
89%
10
1
0
1
0
0
4
6
4-4
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
33.4
17.2
15
55%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
3-4
75%
6-11
2-5
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
17.1
13.5
4
41%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
5.9
16.5
5
73%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
3.7
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
1.3
0
0-0
41%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.0
36.0
32.0
27
87%
5
15
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
55%
4-4
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
34.2
33.8
12
67%
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
4-7
57%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.0
34.0
28.1
22
62%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-9
4-7
33%
48%
5-8
63%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.3
28.9
31.5
8
35%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
52%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.8
15.0
14.6
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
35.1
28.9
13
47%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
52%
1-5
20%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
29.3
20.8
16
68%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
4-4
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
20.9
15.8
5
31%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.6
6.5
12.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.6
11.2
0
1-2
58%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
8.9
0
0-1
50%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.3
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.