FinalWin Prob.pScore
1549%91
90
2251%92
98
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
102.38890.5
MIL logo MIL
107.79188.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL90
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILBUCKS Rebound90
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)90
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)90
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)90
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILBUCKS Rebound90
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot90
19.5%
92
80.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS)90
15.3%
92
84.7%
Q4 - 1:06MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
11.5%
92
88.5%
Q4 - 1:06MILMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 288
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 1:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)88
11.5%
91
88.5%
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Boykins 11' Jump Shot88
17.2%
91
82.8%
Q4 - 1:25ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)88
13.5%
91
86.5%
Q4 - 1:36MILBoykins Layup (17 PTS)86
9.8%
91
90.2%
Q4 - 1:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)86
15.4%
89
84.6%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot86
17.9%
89
82.1%
Q4 - 1:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)86
24.4%
89
75.6%
Q4 - 1:58MILMISS Temple Free Throw 2 of 286
23.1%
89
76.9%
Q4 - 1:58MILMISS Temple Free Throw 1 of 286
18.0%
89
82.0%
Q4 - 2:11ATLSmith 2' Layup (14 PTS)86
15.1%
89
84.9%
Q4 - 2:29MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Temple 3 AST)84
11.6%
89
88.4%
Q4 - 2:46ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)84
22.5%
86
77.5%
Q4 - 3:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q4 - 3:04MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot81
11.4%
86
88.6%
Q4 - 3:26MILTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 3:27ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot81
9.0%
86
91.0%
Q4 - 3:38ATLHawks Rebound81
17.2%
86
82.8%
Q4 - 3:38MILMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
15.5%
86
84.5%
Q4 - 3:56ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)81
11.7%
86
88.3%
Q4 - 3:56ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)80
11.2%
86
88.8%
Q4 - 3:56ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)79
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 4:13MILTemple 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)78
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q4 - 4:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)78
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 4:37ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q4 - 4:56MILBoykins 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 5:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
27.2%
81
72.8%
Q4 - 5:39ATLHawks Rebound78
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q4 - 5:39ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot78
27.1%
81
72.9%
Q4 - 5:58MILBogut 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)78
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q4 - 6:10MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
41.2%
79
58.8%
Q4 - 6:15ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot78
43.6%
79
56.4%
Q4 - 6:37MILBoykins 11' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
49.2%
79
50.8%
Q4 - 6:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)78
56.2%
77
43.8%
Q4 - 6:52ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
58.7%
77
41.3%
Q4 - 7:13MILDelfino 28' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)78
63.3%
77
36.7%
Q4 - 7:33MILTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
74.7%
74
25.3%
Q4 - 7:34ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot78
76.4%
74
23.6%
Q4 - 7:53MILTemple 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)78
80.0%
74
20.0%
Q4 - 8:06ATLSmith Offensive Foul Turnover (P4.T13)78
85.7%
71
14.3%
Q4 - 8:20MILBogut Foul Turnover (P1.T7)78
88.6%
71
11.4%
Q4 - 8:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
85.8%
71
14.2%
Q4 - 8:36ATLWilliams 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)78
85.8%
71
14.2%
Q4 - 8:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
82.3%
71
17.7%
Q4 - 8:37ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot76
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q4 - 8:38ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Tip Shot76
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q4 - 8:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
82.3%
71
17.7%
Q4 - 8:43ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
79.6%
71
20.4%
Q4 - 9:01MILBoykins 5' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
80.7%
71
19.3%
Q4 - 9:13MILBUCKS Rebound76
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q4 - 9:13ATLSanders BLOCK (3 BLK)76
85.2%
69
14.8%
Q4 - 9:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
87.2%
69
12.8%
Q4 - 9:22ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot76
85.2%
69
14.8%
Q4 - 9:40ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
87.2%
69
12.8%
Q4 - 9:41MILMISS Delfino 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.4%
69
13.6%
Q4 - 9:59MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)76
84.4%
69
15.6%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 276
84.8%
69
15.2%
Q4 - 10:00ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
86.6%
69
13.4%
Q4 - 10:20MILSanders 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Temple 2 AST)75
83.0%
69
17.0%
Q4 - 10:35ATLMbah a Moute STEAL (2 STL)75
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q4 - 10:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
88.5%
67
11.5%
Q4 - 10:57MILMISS Sanders 6' Jump Shot75
87.8%
67
12.2%
Q4 - 11:15MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
84.7%
67
15.3%
Q4 - 11:16ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot75
85.6%
67
14.4%
Q4 - 11:39MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)75
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q4 - 11:43MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)75
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q4 - 11:44MILMISS Temple 1' Layup75
92.5%
64
7.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL75
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Teague 6' Jump Shot75
91.0%
64
9.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
92.0%
64
8.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0MILMISS Sanders 18' Jump Shot75
91.6%
64
8.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
90.6%
64
9.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
90.3%
64
9.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
88.5%
64
11.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILMISS Delfino 1' Layup73
87.9%
64
12.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)73
86.4%
64
13.6%
Q3 - 1:06MILSanders 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Temple 1 AST)70
79.6%
64
20.4%
Q3 - 1:19MILBUCKS Rebound70
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q3 - 1:20MILMISS Boykins 4' Jump Shot70
84.6%
62
15.4%
Q3 - 1:27ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
82.9%
62
17.1%
Q3 - 1:27ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
82.6%
62
17.4%
Q3 - 1:39MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P3.T6)68
79.7%
62
20.3%
Q3 - 1:53ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P4.T11)68
76.6%
62
23.4%
Q3 - 2:05MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
78.5%
62
21.5%
Q3 - 2:05MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
78.9%
61
21.1%
Q3 - 2:15MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
81.6%
60
18.4%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
82.4%
60
17.6%
Q3 - 2:37MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
84.3%
60
15.7%
Q3 - 2:37MILMISS Boykins Free Throw 1 of 268
84.6%
59
15.4%
Q3 - 2:48ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)68
84.4%
59
15.6%
Q3 - 2:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)66
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 2:57MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
80.8%
59
19.2%
Q3 - 3:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)66
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q3 - 3:13ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 266
78.2%
59
21.8%
Q3 - 3:13ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 266
80.3%
59
19.7%
Q3 - 3:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)66
80.9%
59
19.1%
Q3 - 3:28MILMISS Ilyasova 15' Jump Shot66
80.0%
59
20.0%
Q3 - 3:49ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q3 - 4:08ATLHawks Rebound64
74.3%
59
25.7%
Q3 - 4:09MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
73.0%
59
27.0%
Q3 - 4:24ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)64
70.2%
59
29.8%
Q3 - 4:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
63.1%
59
36.9%
Q3 - 4:31MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup61
61.6%
59
38.4%
Q3 - 4:50ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)61
58.2%
59
41.8%
Q3 - 5:09MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
53.9%
59
46.1%
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 259
54.5%
58
45.5%
Q3 - 5:09MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 5:09MILMISS Bogut 1' Alley Oop Dunk59
56.6%
58
43.4%
Q3 - 5:28ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)59
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 5:47MILIlyasova 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 4 AST)56
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q3 - 6:03MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
49.5%
56
50.5%
Q3 - 6:04ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
50.8%
56
49.2%
Q3 - 6:19MILDouglas-Roberts 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 6:52ATLBibby Layup (8 PTS)56
57.5%
54
42.5%
Q3 - 7:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
53.8%
54
46.2%
Q3 - 7:01MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot54
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q3 - 7:17MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q3 - 7:19MILMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q3 - 7:25ATLMaggette STEAL (1 STL)54
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q3 - 7:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)54
53.4%
54
46.6%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 12' Jump Shot54
52.1%
54
47.9%
Q3 - 7:59ATLSmith 1' Layup (12 PTS)54
49.3%
54
50.7%
Q3 - 8:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q3 - 8:10MILMISS Maggette 18' Jump Shot52
44.6%
54
55.4%
Q3 - 8:33ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)52
41.8%
54
58.2%
Q3 - 8:49MILMaggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 3 AST)50
38.4%
54
61.6%
Q3 - 9:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
45.7%
51
54.3%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMaggette BLOCK (1 BLK)50
46.8%
51
53.2%
Q3 - 9:32MILIlyasova Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
49.4%
51
50.6%
Q3 - 9:32MILDooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)50
45.7%
51
54.3%
Q3 - 9:41ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)50
49.4%
50
50.6%
Q3 - 9:53MILMaggette 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)50
53.1%
50
46.9%
Q3 - 10:01ATLBogut STEAL (1 STL)50
56.5%
48
43.5%
Q3 - 10:17MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
60.1%
48
39.9%
Q3 - 10:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
63.4%
46
36.6%
Q3 - 10:33ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot50
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q3 - 10:49MILMaggette 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 2 AST)50
66.7%
46
33.3%
Q3 - 11:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
69.2%
44
30.8%
Q3 - 11:07ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot50
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q3 - 11:21ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
72.3%
44
27.7%
Q3 - 11:22MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot50
71.4%
44
28.6%
Q3 - 11:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)50
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL47
63.3%
44
36.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
63.3%
44
36.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Dooling 23' Jump Shot47
62.2%
44
37.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0ATLDelfino STEAL (1 STL)47
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 5 AST)47
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)47
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)44
62.6%
41
37.4%
Q2 - 1:12ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P1.T6)44
68.9%
38
31.1%
Q2 - 1:32MILTemple Layup (2 PTS)44
70.9%
38
29.1%
Q2 - 1:34MILTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
74.2%
36
25.8%
Q2 - 1:37ATLBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)44
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q2 - 1:47MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)44
76.0%
36
24.0%
Q2 - 2:01MILBUCKS Rebound44
73.2%
36
26.8%
Q2 - 2:01ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot44
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
75.8%
36
24.2%
Q2 - 2:20MILMISS Bogut 6' Jump Shot44
75.1%
36
24.9%
Q2 - 2:45ATLSmith 1' Layup (7 PTS)44
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 2:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
70.8%
36
29.2%
Q2 - 2:48ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
69.0%
36
31.0%
Q2 - 3:09ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)42
70.8%
36
29.2%
Q2 - 3:09MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)41
68.1%
36
31.9%
Q2 - 3:23ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)41
64.9%
36
35.1%
Q2 - 3:43MILBogut 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)38
59.6%
36
40.4%
Q2 - 3:57ATLHorford 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)38
62.0%
34
38.0%
Q2 - 4:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
59.1%
34
40.9%
Q2 - 4:09MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot36
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 4:26MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
55.8%
34
44.2%
Q2 - 4:27MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup36
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 4:28MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
55.8%
34
44.2%
Q2 - 4:29MILMISS Temple 3PT Jump Shot36
58.1%
34
41.9%
Q2 - 4:48ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
55.9%
34
44.1%
Q2 - 5:07MILMaggette Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)33
50.2%
34
49.8%
Q2 - 5:25ATLHorford 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)33
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 5:28ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 5:31MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 1' Layup31
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 5:35MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
41.4%
34
58.6%
Q2 - 5:36ATLMISS Crawford 8' Jump Shot31
42.3%
34
57.7%
Q2 - 5:53MILSanders 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)31
44.3%
34
55.7%
Q2 - 6:13MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
47.0%
32
53.0%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot31
48.0%
32
52.0%
Q2 - 6:39MILBoykins 10' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q2 - 6:49MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 6:50ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
53.7%
30
46.3%
Q2 - 7:08MILSanders 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)31
55.8%
30
44.2%
Q2 - 7:26MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
58.3%
28
41.7%
Q2 - 7:28ATLSanders BLOCK (2 BLK)31
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 7:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
61.2%
28
38.8%
Q2 - 7:32MILMISS Mbah a Moute 1' Layup31
60.3%
28
39.7%
Q2 - 7:53ATLEvans Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)31
58.3%
28
41.7%
Q2 - 7:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
55.8%
28
44.2%
Q2 - 7:58MILMISS Boykins 4' Jump Shot29
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q2 - 8:15ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
52.9%
28
47.1%
Q2 - 8:15ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
52.4%
28
47.6%
Q2 - 8:26MILDouglas-Roberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)27
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 8:49ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)27
47.5%
28
52.5%
Q2 - 9:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q2 - 9:01MILMISS Delfino 13' Turnaround Jump Shot25
44.2%
28
55.8%
Q2 - 9:19ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
42.3%
28
57.7%
Q2 - 9:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
45.0%
28
55.0%
Q2 - 9:24MILMISS Sanders 19' Jump Shot25
44.2%
28
55.8%
Q2 - 9:42ATLEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)25
42.3%
28
57.7%
Q2 - 9:46ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
39.9%
28
60.1%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q2 - 9:54ATLMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)23
37.3%
28
62.7%
Q2 - 10:13MILMbah a Moute Layup (2 PTS)23
40.0%
28
60.0%
Q2 - 10:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q2 - 10:15MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Layup23
44.1%
26
55.9%
Q2 - 10:22MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
42.2%
26
57.8%
Q2 - 10:23ATLSanders BLOCK (1 BLK)23
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q2 - 10:49MILBoykins 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)23
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 10:57MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
47.3%
24
52.7%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Crawford 4' Jump Shot23
48.2%
24
51.8%
Q2 - 11:26MILBoykins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
50.0%
24
50.0%
Q2 - 11:43MILBUCKS Rebound23
52.3%
22
47.7%
Q2 - 11:43ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Teague 1' Tip Shot23
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Williams 1' Layup23
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound23
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 70' 3PT Jump Shot23
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILMISS Boykins 12' Jump Shot23
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q1 - 0:07.0ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)23
52.4%
22
47.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MILMaggette 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)20
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
50.0%
20
50.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup20
50.6%
20
49.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
52.0%
20
48.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot20
51.4%
20
48.6%
Q1 - 1:06ATLTeague 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
50.2%
20
49.8%
Q1 - 1:18MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
47.2%
20
52.8%
Q1 - 1:18MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
48.1%
19
51.9%
Q1 - 1:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 1:18MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot18
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 1:30MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 1:31ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot18
50.7%
18
49.3%
Q1 - 1:45MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)18
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 1:45MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)18
52.3%
17
47.7%
Q1 - 2:04ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
54.7%
16
45.3%
Q1 - 2:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 2:21MILMISS Maggette 15' Jump Shot16
51.5%
16
48.5%
Q1 - 2:44ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)16
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 2:44ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)15
49.8%
16
50.2%
Q1 - 2:44ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)14
49.5%
16
50.5%
Q1 - 2:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 3:00MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 8' Jump Shot13
44.6%
16
55.4%
Q1 - 3:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
43.2%
16
56.8%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Crawford 1' Layup13
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 3:32MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 3:32MILDouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 3:36MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 3:37ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot13
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 3:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 3:51MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 14' Jump Shot13
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q1 - 4:09ATLIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)13
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 4:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 4:25MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot13
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 4:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 4:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 4:36ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot13
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 4:38ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot13
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 4:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 4:53MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 5:08MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 113
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 5:25ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 5:26MILMISS Maggette 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 5:36MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 5:37ATLMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot11
44.0%
14
56.0%
Q1 - 5:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 5:53MILMISS Bogut 11' Hook Shot11
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 6:19ATLCollins Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
43.5%
14
56.5%
Q1 - 6:37MILMaggette 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)11
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 6:50ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)11
49.7%
11
50.3%
Q1 - 6:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 7:00MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 16' Jump Shot8
45.0%
11
55.0%
Q1 - 7:16ATLSmith Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 7:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:18ATLMISS Smith Layup6
40.4%
11
59.6%
Q1 - 7:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:33MILMISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot6
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 7:50ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)6
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 8:05MILMaggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)4
38.2%
11
61.8%
Q1 - 8:26ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 8:33ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.1%
8
59.9%
Q1 - 8:34MILMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot2
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 8:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 9:00ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 22
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 9:00ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 22
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 9:14MILMaggette 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)2
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 9:29ATLCollins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 9:45MILIlyasova 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 9:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 10:01ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot0
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 10:24MILMaggette 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)0
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 10:40ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 10:40ATLHawks Rebound0
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 10:40ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot0
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 11:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 11:05MILMISS Bogut 12' Jump Shot0
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:22MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 11:23ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot0
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 11:37MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Smith: Tip to Ilyasova0
50.2%
0
49.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
MIL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
23
48%
MIL
7
20
35%
Midrange
ATL
15
37
41%
MIL
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIL
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
17
23
74%
MIL
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Crawford2071%10.0 / 14
A. Horford1785%8.5 / 10
J. Johnson1554%7.5 / 14
J. Smith1433%7.0 / 21
M. Bibby857%4.0 / 7
M. Williams750%3.5 / 7
M. Evans467%2.0 / 3
J. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
J. Teague220%1.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Maggette2279%11.0 / 14
E. Boykins2067%10.0 / 15
C. Delfino1568%7.5 / 11
A. Bogut831%4.0 / 13
E. Ilyasova867%4.0 / 6
G. Temple867%4.0 / 6
L. Sanders857%4.0 / 7
C. Douglas-Roberts422%2.0 / 9
K. Dooling330%1.5 / 5
L. Mbah a Moute220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+11
-12
87
MIL
84
+10
-7
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.00 50.0%
MIL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
101.9
ATL 102.3
MIL 107.7 +5.4
Pace
89.5
89.6
ATL 90.5 +2.0
MIL 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.6
ATL 15.9 +0.4
MIL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
46.7%
ATL 46.2%
MIL 49.4% +3.2%
TO %
14.2%
13.9%
ATL 12.7%
MIL 7.1% +5.6%
ORB %
23.5%
24.8%
ATL 18.6%
MIL 18.6%
FTrt
26.9
28.7
ATL 29.1 +0.7
MIL 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
54.9%
ATL 57.6%
MIL 62.9% +5.3%
STL %
6.8%
8.3%
ATL 2.3%
MIL 6.6% +4.3%
BLK %
6.6%
7.9%
ATL 4.9%
MIL 8.3% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
49.5%
ATL 50.0%
MIL 52.1% +2.1%
Rim FG%
60.0%
53.9%
ATL 47.8% +12.8%
MIL 35.0%
Mid FG%
42.5%
39.0%
ATL 40.5%
MIL 43.9% +3.4%
3P %
35.2%
34.2%
ATL 36.8%
MIL 50.0% +13.2%
FT %
78.0%
75.7%
ATL 73.9%
MIL 78.3% +4.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
33.9%
ATL 29.1% +4.4%
MIL 24.7%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.5%
ATL 46.8% +3.8%
MIL 50.6%
3P Att. %
22.2%
21.6%
ATL 24.1%
MIL 24.7% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions8891
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9098
Rebounds4343
Assists1922
Steals26
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)35 (4)
Field Goals33-7935-81
At-the-Rim FG11-237-20
Midrange FG15-3718-41
2-Point FG26-6025-61
3-Point FG7-1910-20
Free Throws17-2318-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
39.2
14
33%
11
0
0
3
4
4
2
9
1-3
33%
5-15
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 245 · 25
39.0
17
85%
10
5
0
0
4
5
0
10
3-3
100%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 30
33.3
15
54%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-4
25%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
31.1
8
57%
3
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
13.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
33.3
20
71%
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
9-9
100%
1-5
20%
3-6
50%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
13.7
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
13.3
2
20%
2
4
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 25
12.8
7
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
10.4
1
10%
8
0
0
0
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#55 · · 6'4" 195 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F · 6'9" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
50%
43
19
2
3
12
0
8
35
17-23
74%
26-60
43%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.