FinalWin Prob.pScore
1155%102
109
2445%100
100
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
121.19097.2
DET logo DET
113.68882.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN109
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETPISTONS Rebound109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Anthony 7 AST)109
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)106
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup106
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)106
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10DETBynum Driving Layup (16 PTS)103
98.6%
97
1.4%
Q4 - 1:15DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)103
99.0%
95
1.0%
Q4 - 1:28DETBynum Driving Layup (14 PTS)100
96.6%
95
3.4%
Q4 - 1:44DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)100
97.1%
93
2.9%
Q4 - 1:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)99
96.9%
93
3.1%
Q4 - 2:02DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
95.5%
93
4.5%
Q4 - 2:02DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
96.2%
92
3.8%
Q4 - 2:17DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)98
96.9%
91
3.1%
Q4 - 2:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
93.2%
91
6.8%
Q4 - 2:31DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot95
91.8%
91
8.2%
Q4 - 3:01DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)95
85.8%
91
14.2%
Q4 - 3:15DETBynum Driving Layup (12 PTS)92
73.6%
91
26.4%
Q4 - 3:37DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
76.4%
89
23.6%
Q4 - 3:38DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
78.6%
89
21.4%
Q4 - 4:08DETBynum 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)92
83.5%
89
16.5%
Q4 - 4:34DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)92
88.0%
87
12.0%
Q4 - 4:55DETBynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)90
83.8%
87
16.2%
Q4 - 5:16DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
85.3%
85
14.7%
Q4 - 5:16DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
84.6%
85
15.4%
Q4 - 5:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
80.9%
85
19.1%
Q4 - 5:30DETMISS McGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot88
79.1%
85
20.9%
Q4 - 5:50DENAfflalo Driving Layup (17 PTS)88
74.7%
85
25.3%
Q4 - 6:11DETMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)86
67.5%
85
32.5%
Q4 - 6:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
78.8%
82
21.2%
Q4 - 6:20DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot86
80.5%
82
19.5%
Q4 - 6:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
83.9%
82
16.1%
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 186
83.2%
82
16.8%
Q4 - 6:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
87.4%
80
12.6%
Q4 - 7:00DENMISS Forbes 9' Jump Shot86
88.4%
80
11.6%
Q4 - 7:21DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
89.1%
80
10.9%
Q4 - 7:22DETMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
88.2%
80
11.8%
Q4 - 7:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q4 - 7:31DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
87.0%
80
13.0%
Q4 - 7:46DETBynum 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)86
89.2%
80
10.8%
Q4 - 8:01DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
90.2%
78
9.8%
Q4 - 8:02DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot86
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 8:14DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)86
92.2%
78
7.8%
Q4 - 8:37DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
90.3%
78
9.7%
Q4 - 8:39DENMISS Smith 20' Fadeaway Jumper86
90.9%
78
9.1%
Q4 - 8:56DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
92.3%
78
7.7%
Q4 - 8:57DETMISS Prince 7' Turnaround Jump Shot86
91.7%
78
8.3%
Q4 - 9:12DETPISTONS Rebound86
89.0%
78
11.0%
Q4 - 9:13DETMISS Bynum Layup86
90.5%
78
9.5%
Q4 - 9:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
89.0%
78
11.0%
Q4 - 9:23DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
90.5%
78
9.5%
Q4 - 9:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 9:41DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 2 of 286
89.4%
78
10.6%
Q4 - 9:41DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q4 - 9:52DETDaye 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)85
89.0%
78
11.0%
Q4 - 10:12DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)85
90.1%
76
9.9%
Q4 - 10:23DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)82
85.3%
76
14.7%
Q4 - 10:23DETPISTONS Rebound82
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q4 - 10:24DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot82
84.4%
76
15.6%
Q4 - 10:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q4 - 10:26DETMISS Bynum 4' Layup82
84.4%
76
15.6%
Q4 - 10:27DETBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q4 - 10:28DETMISS Wallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot82
84.4%
76
15.6%
Q4 - 10:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
82.3%
76
17.7%
Q4 - 10:49DETMISS Villanueva 7' Hook Shot82
84.5%
76
15.5%
Q4 - 11:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
81.2%
76
18.8%
Q4 - 11:03DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot82
82.1%
76
17.9%
Q4 - 11:18DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
84.3%
76
15.7%
Q4 - 11:18DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
84.6%
75
15.4%
Q4 - 11:36DENSmith 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)82
87.0%
74
13.0%
Q4 - 11:45DETGordon Foul Turnover (P3.T8)80
84.3%
74
15.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN80
81.3%
74
18.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound80
84.3%
74
15.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
82.2%
74
17.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
83.2%
74
16.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
83.7%
73
16.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETGordon Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)80
86.1%
72
13.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENHarrington 1' Layup (7 PTS)80
88.4%
71
11.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)78
85.9%
71
14.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
83.5%
71
16.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETMISS Daye 19' Jump Shot78
85.2%
71
14.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENEly 4' Putback Layup (4 PTS)78
83.5%
71
16.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
80.2%
71
19.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup76
78.1%
71
21.9%
Q3 - 1:08DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
79.4%
71
20.6%
Q3 - 1:08DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
79.9%
70
20.1%
Q3 - 1:24DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)76
82.8%
69
17.2%
Q3 - 1:47DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
76.1%
69
23.9%
Q3 - 1:48DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
75.1%
69
24.9%
Q3 - 2:00DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)73
72.7%
69
27.3%
Q3 - 2:00DENNuggets Rebound73
76.1%
69
23.9%
Q3 - 2:01DENWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)73
72.8%
69
27.2%
Q3 - 2:24DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
75.3%
69
24.7%
Q3 - 2:24DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 273
76.5%
68
23.5%
Q3 - 2:24DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
75.4%
68
24.6%
Q3 - 2:24DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup73
77.7%
68
22.3%
Q3 - 2:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
75.4%
68
24.6%
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
77.7%
68
22.3%
Q3 - 2:42DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
75.4%
68
24.6%
Q3 - 2:44DENMonroe BLOCK (2 BLK)73
76.4%
68
23.6%
Q3 - 3:01DETMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)73
78.3%
68
21.7%
Q3 - 3:20DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)73
74.9%
68
25.1%
Q3 - 3:34DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
67.7%
68
32.3%
Q3 - 3:34DETMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 270
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q3 - 3:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
67.5%
67
32.5%
Q3 - 3:50DENMISS Afflalo 16' Fadeaway Jumper70
68.8%
67
31.2%
Q3 - 3:57DENNuggets Rebound70
71.5%
67
28.5%
Q3 - 3:58DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot70
68.8%
67
31.2%
Q3 - 4:02DENNuggets Rebound70
71.3%
67
28.7%
Q3 - 4:03DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.3%
67
31.7%
Q3 - 4:28DETGordon 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)70
71.4%
67
28.6%
Q3 - 4:46DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
74.2%
65
25.8%
Q3 - 4:58DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
78.0%
65
22.0%
Q3 - 4:58DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
78.3%
64
21.7%
Q3 - 5:12DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P5.T8)70
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q3 - 5:17DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
82.3%
63
17.7%
Q3 - 5:19DETMISS Gordon 16' Jump Shot70
81.5%
63
18.5%
Q3 - 5:25DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q3 - 5:26DENMISS Harrington Layup70
80.4%
63
19.6%
Q3 - 5:45DETMonroe 1' Layup (11 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)70
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q3 - 6:09DENHarrington 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)70
83.8%
61
16.2%
Q3 - 6:25DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)68
81.7%
61
18.3%
Q3 - 6:28DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
78.9%
61
21.1%
Q3 - 6:30DENMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)68
79.8%
61
20.2%
Q3 - 6:50DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
81.7%
61
18.3%
Q3 - 6:50DETMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 268
82.3%
60
17.7%
Q3 - 7:01DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 7:02DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
81.3%
60
18.7%
Q3 - 7:26DETMonroe 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)68
83.0%
60
17.0%
Q3 - 7:27DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 7:28DETMISS Gordon 6' Running Jump Shot68
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 7:39DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
85.0%
58
15.0%
Q3 - 7:40DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot68
85.6%
58
14.4%
Q3 - 8:06DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
86.5%
58
13.5%
Q3 - 8:06DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
86.9%
57
13.1%
Q3 - 8:26DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
88.1%
56
11.9%
Q3 - 8:42DETMonroe Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)65
84.7%
56
15.3%
Q3 - 8:55DENAnthony 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)65
86.4%
54
13.6%
Q3 - 9:15DETGordon 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)63
84.2%
54
15.8%
Q3 - 9:38DENShel. Williams 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)63
86.0%
52
14.0%
Q3 - 9:47DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
84.2%
52
15.8%
Q3 - 9:48DETMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot61
83.6%
52
16.4%
Q3 - 10:05DENAfflalo Driving Layup (9 PTS)61
81.5%
52
18.5%
Q3 - 10:29DETMcGrady 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
79.4%
52
20.6%
Q3 - 10:38DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Gordon59
81.6%
50
18.4%
Q3 - 10:38DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
83.7%
50
16.3%
Q3 - 10:39DETMISS Wilcox 1' Layup59
83.1%
50
16.9%
Q3 - 10:55DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
81.6%
50
18.4%
Q3 - 10:56DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot59
82.3%
50
17.7%
Q3 - 11:16DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
83.2%
50
16.8%
Q3 - 11:17DETMISS Wilcox 15' Jump Shot59
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q3 - 11:41DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
81.1%
50
18.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET56
76.7%
50
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony Layup (9 PTS)56
73.9%
50
26.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Billups 14' Pullup Jump Shot54
69.1%
50
30.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 254
68.7%
50
31.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 254
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
70.0%
50
30.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETMcGrady Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)52
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q2 - 1:08DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P4.T6)52
68.4%
48
31.6%
Q2 - 1:22DETMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q2 - 1:22DETMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
71.1%
47
28.9%
Q2 - 1:33DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
73.7%
46
26.3%
Q2 - 1:33DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
73.3%
46
26.7%
Q2 - 2:00DETPrince 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)50
70.4%
46
29.6%
Q2 - 2:04DENMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)50
72.9%
44
27.1%
Q2 - 2:17DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS Villanueva 21' Jump Shot50
74.8%
44
25.2%
Q2 - 2:42DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)50
73.0%
44
27.0%
Q2 - 2:56DENNuggets Rebound50
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 2:57DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot50
73.8%
44
26.2%
Q2 - 3:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
75.5%
44
24.5%
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 250
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 3:14DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 250
74.4%
44
25.6%
Q2 - 3:27DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
72.7%
44
27.3%
Q2 - 3:28DENMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 250
73.1%
44
26.9%
Q2 - 3:28DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q2 - 3:33DETPrince 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
73.2%
44
26.8%
Q2 - 3:55DENAnthony Palming Turnover (P2.T3)49
75.1%
42
24.9%
Q2 - 4:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)49
77.1%
42
22.9%
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
76.4%
42
23.6%
Q2 - 4:25DETPISTONS Rebound49
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
75.5%
42
24.5%
Q2 - 4:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
77.2%
42
22.8%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot49
76.5%
42
23.5%
Q2 - 5:04DENBillups 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)49
74.7%
42
25.3%
Q2 - 5:17DETBynum Foul Turnover (P2.T4)47
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q2 - 5:31DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
70.0%
42
30.0%
Q2 - 5:32DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
70.7%
42
29.3%
Q2 - 5:45DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)47
72.4%
42
27.6%
Q2 - 6:03DENForbes Driving Layup (8 PTS)47
76.0%
39
24.0%
Q2 - 6:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
74.2%
39
25.8%
Q2 - 6:14DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
73.5%
39
26.5%
Q2 - 6:32DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)45
71.7%
39
28.3%
Q2 - 6:55DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)42
67.2%
39
32.8%
Q2 - 7:00DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 7:03DENVillanueva BLOCK (2 BLK)42
72.3%
36
27.7%
Q2 - 7:10DETVillanueva 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 7:27DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
75.9%
34
24.1%
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
76.5%
34
23.5%
Q2 - 7:31DENNuggets Rebound42
78.0%
34
22.0%
Q2 - 7:32DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)42
76.5%
34
23.5%
Q2 - 7:47DETDaye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
78.0%
34
22.0%
Q2 - 7:47DETDaye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
78.3%
33
21.7%
Q2 - 7:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
79.7%
32
20.3%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot42
80.3%
32
19.7%
Q2 - 7:58DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q2 - 8:00DENVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)42
80.3%
32
19.7%
Q2 - 8:19DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)42
81.0%
32
19.0%
Q2 - 8:35DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
84.1%
29
15.9%
Q2 - 8:36DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 142
84.3%
29
15.7%
Q2 - 8:38DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
82.6%
29
17.4%
Q2 - 8:39DETMISS Villanueva 8' Turnaround Jump Shot40
82.1%
29
17.9%
Q2 - 8:57DENSmith 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)40
81.0%
29
19.0%
Q2 - 9:12DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)38
78.8%
29
21.2%
Q2 - 9:16DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
80.4%
27
19.6%
Q2 - 9:17DETMISS Daye 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
81.6%
27
18.4%
Q2 - 9:33DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
80.4%
27
19.6%
Q2 - 9:36DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q2 - 9:42DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)38
82.1%
27
17.9%
Q2 - 9:44DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
80.4%
27
19.6%
Q2 - 9:45DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot38
80.9%
27
19.1%
Q2 - 9:55DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
82.1%
27
17.9%
Q2 - 9:56DETMISS Daye 2' Tip Shot38
81.6%
27
18.4%
Q2 - 9:56DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
80.4%
27
19.6%
Q2 - 9:57DETMISS Bynum 4' Running Jump Shot38
81.6%
27
18.4%
Q2 - 10:10DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
79.8%
27
20.2%
Q2 - 10:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
79.5%
27
20.5%
Q2 - 10:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
78.3%
27
21.7%
Q2 - 10:17DETMISS Daye 20' Jump Shot36
77.7%
27
22.3%
Q2 - 10:32DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
76.4%
27
23.6%
Q2 - 10:52DETVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daye 2 AST)33
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q2 - 10:59DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
76.4%
24
23.6%
Q2 - 11:00DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot33
77.8%
24
22.2%
Q2 - 11:15DENSmith 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)33
76.0%
24
24.0%
Q2 - 11:20DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
74.2%
24
25.8%
Q2 - 11:38DENSmith 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)31
72.2%
24
27.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN29
70.2%
24
29.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound29
70.2%
24
29.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 48' 3PT Jump Shot29
68.7%
24
31.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)29
69.4%
24
30.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
67.4%
24
32.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)27
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0DETMISS Wilcox 4' Hook Shot27
64.6%
24
35.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
63.4%
24
36.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0DETPrince Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)24
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENNuggets Rebound21
55.9%
22
44.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup21
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q1 - 1:16DETPrince 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
56.0%
22
44.0%
Q1 - 1:46DENEly 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)21
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q1 - 1:54DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
56.0%
20
44.0%
Q1 - 1:55DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
55.5%
20
44.5%
Q1 - 2:21DENAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)19
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q1 - 2:36DETWilcox 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)17
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 2:37DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
54.3%
18
45.7%
Q1 - 2:39DETMISS Stuckey Layup17
55.7%
18
44.3%
Q1 - 2:56DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
54.3%
18
45.7%
Q1 - 2:56DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)16
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 3:01DETStuckey 1' Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)15
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 3:29DENShel. Williams Dunk (8 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)15
54.3%
16
45.7%
Q1 - 3:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q1 - 3:33DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot13
51.4%
16
48.6%
Q1 - 4:00DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)13
49.8%
16
50.2%
Q1 - 4:17DETMcGrady Dunk (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)10
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 4:30DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 4:31DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 4:51DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 4:52DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot10
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q1 - 5:09DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 5:10DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot10
48.5%
14
51.5%
Q1 - 5:30DETWilcox Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)10
50.2%
14
49.8%
Q1 - 5:33DENStuckey STEAL (2 STL)10
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 5:37DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 5:38DETMISS McGrady 18' Fadeaway Jumper10
53.7%
12
46.3%
Q1 - 6:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 6:01DENMISS Shel. Williams Layup10
53.0%
12
47.0%
Q1 - 6:22DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)10
54.5%
12
45.5%
Q1 - 6:22DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 6:31DENShel. Williams 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)10
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 6:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
54.5%
10
45.5%
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Billups Layup8
52.9%
10
47.1%
Q1 - 6:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
54.5%
10
45.5%
Q1 - 6:42DETMISS Monroe 19' Jump Shot8
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 7:00DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 7:00DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
51.8%
10
48.2%
Q1 - 7:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
50.7%
10
49.3%
Q1 - 7:04DETMISS Prince 15' Fadeaway Jumper6
50.0%
10
50.0%
Q1 - 7:23DENShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)6
48.4%
10
51.6%
Q1 - 7:34DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
46.6%
10
53.4%
Q1 - 7:35DETMISS Wilcox 8' Hook Shot4
45.9%
10
54.1%
Q1 - 7:50DENAfflalo 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
44.4%
10
55.6%
Q1 - 7:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Afflalo Layup2
41.0%
10
59.0%
Q1 - 8:11DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
42.9%
10
57.1%
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 22
43.6%
9
56.4%
Q1 - 8:30DENBillups Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
43.0%
9
57.0%
Q1 - 8:54DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)0
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 8:59DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 9:00DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 9:21DETPrince Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)0
45.8%
7
54.2%
Q1 - 9:27DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 9:28DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
48.3%
5
51.7%
Q1 - 9:36DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.6%
5
50.4%
Q1 - 9:37DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot0
49.0%
5
51.0%
Q1 - 9:46DENStuckey STEAL (1 STL)0
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 10:06DETStuckey 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)0
50.2%
5
49.8%
Q1 - 10:24DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 10:25DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot0
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 10:35DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup0
52.3%
3
47.7%
Q1 - 10:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.8%
3
46.2%
Q1 - 10:58DETMISS McGrady 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 11:09DETStuckey Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)0
52.4%
3
47.6%
Q1 - 11:24DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 11:25DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot0
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 11:41DETStuckey Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)0
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wilcox vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Monroe0
57.3%
0
42.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.15 57.4%
DET
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
23
35
66%
DET
19
28
68%
Midrange
DEN
4
18
22%
DET
11
36
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
DET
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
DEN
22
27
81%
DET
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2676%13.0 / 17
C. Anthony1847%9.0 / 19
A. Afflalo1771%8.5 / 12
S. Williams1381%6.5 / 8
A. Harrington1038%5.0 / 13
G. Forbes975%4.5 / 6
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
M. Ely4100%2.0 / 2
T. Lawson440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Bynum1973%9.5 / 13
B. Gordon1558%7.5 / 13
T. McGrady1458%7.0 / 12
G. Monroe1470%7.0 / 10
C. Villanueva1161%5.5 / 9
T. Prince1036%5.0 / 14
R. Stuckey770%3.5 / 5
A. Daye638%3.0 / 8
C. Wilcox433%2.0 / 6
B. Wallace0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+14
-9
95
DET
80
+15
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.15 57.4%
DET
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
107.5
DEN 121.1 +7.5
DET 113.6
Pace
95.2
89.3
DEN 97.2 +15.2
DET 82.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.6
DEN 14.8 +2.7
DET 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.5%
DEN 54.4% +6.9%
DET 47.5%
TO %
14.5%
13.5%
DEN 9.8%
DET 9.7% +0.1%
ORB %
23.8%
27.4%
DEN 16.7%
DET 29.5% +12.8%
FTrt
36.7
27.9
DEN 33.8
DET 40.5 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.6%
DEN 52.6%
DET 54.3% +1.7%
STL %
7.7%
8.0%
DEN 3.3%
DET 4.5% +1.2%
BLK %
6.8%
6.6%
DEN 1.6%
DET 11.3% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
51.9%
DEN 57.4% +5.3%
DET 52.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
59.2%
DEN 65.7%
DET 67.9% +2.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.8%
DEN 22.2%
DET 30.6% +8.4%
3P %
38.8%
37.6%
DEN 40.7% +7.4%
DET 33.3%
FT %
76.6%
73.7%
DEN 81.5% +3.4%
DET 78.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
36.3%
DEN 43.8% +8.3%
DET 35.4%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
44.8%
DEN 22.5% +23.1%
DET 45.6%
3P Att. %
25.8%
18.9%
DEN 33.8% +14.8%
DET 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points109100
Rebounds3743
Assists2019
Steals34
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (8)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals38-8035-79
At-the-Rim FG23-3519-28
Midrange FG4-1811-36
2-Point FG27-5330-64
3-Point FG11-275-15
Free Throws22-2725-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
39.5
17
71%
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
37.9
10
38%
7
2
1
0
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-9
22%
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
36.2
18
47%
10
7
0
1
5
4
1
9
8-8
100%
5-14
36%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
32.1
26
76%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
6-9
67%
C · 6'9" 250 · 27
22.2
13
81%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
5-6
83%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
21.9
8
44%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
19.5
4
100%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
16.6
4
40%
1
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
14.0
9
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
F · 6'8" 225 · 27
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
57%
37
20
3
1
9
0
6
31
22-27
81%
27-53
51%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.