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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 26, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1876ers56%102107
26Raptors44%9994
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
38.4
33.8
15
68%
5
6
3
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.6
36.2
31.9
15
42%
5
11
1
1
2
5
3
2
3-4
75%
6-13
4-9
46%
49%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
31.6
30.9
14
64%
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.7
20.6
12.8
3
19%
6
4
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-7
2-4
14%
51%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
20.1
22.9
2
17%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
26.0
28.7
10
50%
3
0
4
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
6-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
25.0
26.2
15
75%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
3-5
60%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
24.9
26.3
10
51%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
17.2
11.0
23
86%
9
1
0
0
0
3
6
3
3-3
100%
10-11
2-4
91%
50%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.2
12.4
0
1-2
47%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
3.8
0
0-1
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.0
1.1
0
0-0
44%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
39.7
36.0
29
62%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
11-12
92%
9-18
8-15
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
38.0
38.0
17
72%
5
2
2
1
3
2
0
5
4-4
100%
5-8
8-16
63%
49%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
37.7
24.5
8
41%
5
13
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
0-4
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
34.9
26.5
15
69%
6
1
1
1
3
1
2
4
1-2
50%
7-10
4-7
70%
60%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
26.0
30.0
8
36%
2
2
4
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
51%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
17.2
24.0
4
67%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
14.2
9.8
6
43%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
14.1
26.8
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.4
12.3
3
38%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
6.0
7.0
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
5.0
0
0-1
51%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-1
51%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.2
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.