FinalWin Prob.pScore
361%101
111
2039%98
96
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
119.49394.6
IND logo IND
99.09795.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLIND
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL111
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09INDJones 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (George 2 AST)106
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)106
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)106
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03ORLMagic Rebound103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 2:16ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 2:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 2:48ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 3:07INDDunleavy 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)103
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 3:22INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:53ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13INDDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)100
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 4:26ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)100
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 4:45INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)97
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 5:02INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 5:03ORLMISS Nelson 12' Fadeaway Jumper97
98.3%
86
1.7%
Q4 - 5:18INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)97
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 5:23INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 5:24ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
98.3%
86
1.7%
Q4 - 5:49INDGranger 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 5:55INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 5:57ORLMISS Nelson 14' Fadeaway Jumper97
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 6:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)97
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 6:10INDMISS Collison 5' Jump Shot97
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 6:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)97
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 6:44INDCollison 4' Driving Layup (21 PTS)94
98.1%
83
1.9%
Q4 - 6:48INDJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)94
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 6:50ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot94
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 6:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)94
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 6:52ORLDunleavy BLOCK (1 BLK)94
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 7:19INDDunleavy 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)94
98.6%
81
1.4%
Q4 - 7:27INDJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)94
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 7:29INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 7:46ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)94
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 7:53ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 7:55INDMISS Price 16' Pullup Jump Shot91
98.0%
79
2.0%
Q4 - 8:10ORLRichardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)91
96.9%
79
3.1%
Q4 - 8:25ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
96.1%
79
3.9%
Q4 - 8:26INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
95.8%
79
4.2%
Q4 - 8:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)89
95.0%
79
5.0%
Q4 - 8:55ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
91.9%
79
8.1%
Q4 - 8:55INDMISS Price Free Throw 2 of 286
91.6%
79
8.4%
Q4 - 8:55INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)86
90.1%
79
9.9%
Q4 - 9:04INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 9:05ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)86
91.4%
78
8.6%
Q4 - 9:13ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
92.6%
78
7.4%
Q4 - 9:14ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
91.4%
78
8.6%
Q4 - 9:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)86
92.7%
78
7.3%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
92.2%
78
7.8%
Q4 - 9:44INDJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
90.9%
78
9.1%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
92.2%
78
7.8%
Q4 - 9:52INDPACERS Rebound86
90.9%
78
9.1%
Q4 - 9:52INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
90.9%
78
9.1%
Q4 - 9:52INDMISS Jones 1' Tip Shot86
92.2%
78
7.8%
Q4 - 9:53INDMISS Price 9' Floating Jump Shot86
92.2%
78
7.8%
Q4 - 10:07ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)86
90.0%
78
10.0%
Q4 - 10:21INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
91.9%
78
8.1%
Q4 - 10:21INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 286
92.1%
77
7.9%
Q4 - 10:35INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 10:36ORLMISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
92.4%
77
7.6%
Q4 - 10:51INDGeorge 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)86
93.4%
77
6.6%
Q4 - 11:04INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 11:05ORLMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.3%
75
5.7%
Q4 - 11:13ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
95.1%
75
4.9%
Q4 - 11:14INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.8%
75
5.2%
Q4 - 11:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 11:19INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.8%
75
5.2%
Q4 - 11:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 11:32ORLMISS Redick 16' Step Back Jump Shot86
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q4 - 11:47INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Price 2 AST)86
95.1%
75
4.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND86
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound86
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Collison 13' Jump Shot86
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 286
96.4%
72
3.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 286
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)86
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
97.0%
72
3.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
97.1%
71
2.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLTurkoglu 12' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q3 - 1:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 1:05INDMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 1:13INDPACERS Rebound84
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q3 - 1:13INDMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot84
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 1:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q3 - 1:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 284
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q3 - 1:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 284
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 1:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 1:32ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot84
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q3 - 1:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)84
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 1:44INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot84
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q3 - 1:58ORLTurkoglu 15' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)84
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q3 - 2:14INDRush 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)82
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q3 - 2:32INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
96.2%
67
3.8%
Q3 - 2:33ORLFoster BLOCK (2 BLK)82
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q3 - 2:52INDFoster 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)82
96.8%
67
3.2%
Q3 - 3:00INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q3 - 3:02ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Bank Shot82
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q3 - 3:14INDCollison 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)82
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q3 - 3:25INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 3:27INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 3:37ORLHoward 13' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)82
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 3:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)80
97.6%
63
2.4%
Q3 - 3:53INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 4:10INDPACERS Rebound80
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 4:27INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
97.4%
63
2.6%
Q3 - 4:27INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
97.4%
62
2.6%
Q3 - 4:46INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q3 - 4:48ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q3 - 4:48ORLMISS Bass 2' Tip Shot80
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 4:49ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
97.9%
61
2.1%
Q3 - 5:05INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
97.8%
61
2.2%
Q3 - 5:05INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q3 - 5:05INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
98.1%
59
1.9%
Q3 - 5:05ORLFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)80
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q3 - 5:26INDCollison 18' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)80
98.4%
59
1.6%
Q3 - 5:47ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 5:47ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)79
98.6%
57
1.4%
Q3 - 5:50ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 5:51INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot78
98.4%
57
1.6%
Q3 - 6:13ORLBass 3' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)78
97.9%
57
2.1%
Q3 - 6:32INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)76
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 6:52INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
97.1%
57
2.9%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMISS Richardson 5' Jump Shot76
97.3%
57
2.7%
Q3 - 7:06INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)76
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 7:19INDPACERS Rebound76
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 7:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 7:50ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 7:51INDMISS Granger 4' Layup76
97.1%
57
2.9%
Q3 - 7:58ORLNelson 2' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)76
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 8:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
96.0%
57
4.0%
Q3 - 8:19INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q3 - 8:45ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
95.3%
57
4.7%
Q3 - 9:01INDMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 171
93.4%
57
6.6%
Q3 - 9:01INDCollison 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q3 - 9:04INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
94.3%
55
5.7%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
94.6%
55
5.4%
Q3 - 9:30INDCollison 9' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
95.1%
55
4.9%
Q3 - 9:45ORLTurkoglu 3' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)71
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 10:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
94.8%
53
5.2%
Q3 - 10:01INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 269
94.7%
53
5.3%
Q3 - 10:01INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 269
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q3 - 10:18ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)69
94.0%
53
6.0%
Q3 - 10:24ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
93.2%
53
6.8%
Q3 - 10:25INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q3 - 10:37ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)67
92.2%
53
7.8%
Q3 - 10:52INDHibbert 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 11:10ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)65
91.8%
51
8.2%
Q3 - 11:21INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
89.6%
51
10.4%
Q3 - 11:50ORLDunleavy STEAL (1 STL)62
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND62
92.9%
48
7.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound62
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
92.6%
48
7.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
91.5%
48
8.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
91.3%
48
8.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDMISS Collison 9' Jump Shot60
89.9%
48
10.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLArenas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)60
89.2%
48
10.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
89.6%
48
10.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDCollison 16' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
90.2%
48
9.8%
Q2 - 1:03ORLArenas Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)60
91.3%
46
8.7%
Q2 - 1:07INDPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)60
92.1%
46
7.9%
Q2 - 1:16ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)60
94.0%
43
6.0%
Q2 - 1:30ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
92.1%
43
7.9%
Q2 - 1:30INDMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 257
92.0%
43
8.0%
Q2 - 1:30INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
91.2%
43
8.8%
Q2 - 1:52ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)57
92.3%
42
7.7%
Q2 - 2:07INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
89.8%
42
10.2%
Q2 - 2:07INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
89.9%
41
10.1%
Q2 - 2:24INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
90.8%
40
9.2%
Q2 - 2:25ORLMISS Bass 13' Turnaround Jump Shot54
91.2%
40
8.8%
Q2 - 2:47INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
91.9%
40
8.1%
Q2 - 2:47INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
92.0%
39
8.0%
Q2 - 3:02ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)54
92.5%
38
7.5%
Q2 - 3:02ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
93.4%
38
6.6%
Q2 - 3:07INDMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
93.2%
38
6.8%
Q2 - 3:25ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T7)54
92.5%
38
7.5%
Q2 - 3:39INDCollison Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)54
93.5%
38
6.5%
Q2 - 3:49ORLTurkoglu 20' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
92.5%
38
7.5%
Q2 - 3:57ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
91.8%
38
8.2%
Q2 - 3:58INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
91.4%
38
8.6%
Q2 - 4:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
90.2%
38
9.8%
Q2 - 4:07INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot52
91.0%
38
9.0%
Q2 - 4:21INDPACERS Rebound52
90.3%
38
9.7%
Q2 - 4:23INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 252
91.2%
38
8.8%
Q2 - 4:23INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 252
90.7%
38
9.3%
Q2 - 4:36INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
90.3%
38
9.7%
Q2 - 4:36ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 252
90.4%
38
9.6%
Q2 - 4:36ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)52
91.1%
38
8.9%
Q2 - 4:39ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
90.4%
38
9.6%
Q2 - 4:40INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q2 - 4:55INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
89.2%
38
10.8%
Q2 - 4:56ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
89.6%
38
10.4%
Q2 - 5:10INDCollison 18' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
90.1%
38
9.9%
Q2 - 5:31ORLAnderson 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)51
91.1%
36
8.9%
Q2 - 5:42ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
90.1%
36
9.9%
Q2 - 5:43INDMISS Hansbrough 16' Jump Shot49
89.8%
36
10.2%
Q2 - 6:05ORLRedick 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
88.3%
36
11.7%
Q2 - 6:21INDCollison 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
87.3%
36
12.7%
Q2 - 6:27INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
88.3%
34
11.7%
Q2 - 6:28ORLMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot47
88.7%
34
11.3%
Q2 - 6:41INDHansbrough 4' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)47
89.6%
34
10.4%
Q2 - 6:47ORLGeorge STEAL (2 STL)47
90.5%
32
9.5%
Q2 - 7:02INDGranger 12' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)47
91.2%
32
8.8%
Q2 - 7:08INDPACERS Rebound47
92.1%
30
7.9%
Q2 - 7:10INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot47
92.6%
30
7.4%
Q2 - 7:36ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)47
92.1%
30
7.9%
Q2 - 7:44ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
90.3%
30
9.7%
Q2 - 7:46INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot44
90.0%
30
10.0%
Q2 - 8:03ORLBass 4' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)44
88.8%
30
11.2%
Q2 - 8:08INDHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)42
87.8%
30
12.2%
Q2 - 8:25ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)42
86.5%
30
13.5%
Q2 - 8:38INDHansbrough 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)39
83.9%
30
16.1%
Q2 - 8:59ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)39
85.3%
28
14.7%
Q2 - 9:10ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
82.0%
28
18.0%
Q2 - 9:11INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot36
81.5%
28
18.5%
Q2 - 9:24ORLRedick 3' Layup (2 PTS)36
80.3%
28
19.7%
Q2 - 9:34INDHansbrough 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
78.7%
28
21.3%
Q2 - 9:46ORLBass 2' Layup (2 PTS)34
80.3%
26
19.7%
Q2 - 10:07INDGeorge 11' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
78.3%
26
21.7%
Q2 - 10:22INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
79.9%
24
20.1%
Q2 - 10:22ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
80.4%
24
19.6%
Q2 - 10:38ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
81.6%
24
18.4%
Q2 - 10:41INDMISS Price 15' Pullup Jump Shot32
81.1%
24
18.9%
Q2 - 10:57ORLArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)32
79.9%
24
20.1%
Q2 - 11:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 11:11INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
75.6%
24
24.4%
Q2 - 11:27ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)29
74.2%
24
25.8%
Q2 - 11:37INDGranger 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Price 1 AST)26
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q2 - 11:47ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
74.2%
21
25.8%
Q2 - 11:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)25
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
72.4%
21
27.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMagic Rebound21
65.6%
21
34.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
64.3%
21
35.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
65.6%
21
34.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDMISS George 13' Step Back Jump Shot21
65.0%
21
35.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLHoward 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)21
63.7%
21
36.3%
Q1 - 1:01INDPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)19
61.3%
21
38.7%
Q1 - 1:18ORLPosey STEAL (1 STL)19
66.2%
18
33.8%
Q1 - 1:23ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
67.7%
18
32.3%
Q1 - 1:24INDMISS George 2' Finger Roll Layup19
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q1 - 1:35INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
66.2%
18
33.8%
Q1 - 1:35ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot19
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q1 - 1:56INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
67.7%
18
32.3%
Q1 - 2:01ORLGeorge STEAL (1 STL)19
66.1%
18
33.9%
Q1 - 2:14INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
68.0%
18
32.0%
Q1 - 2:14INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 2:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 2:24ORLGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)19
70.7%
16
29.3%
Q1 - 2:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q1 - 2:36INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
71.3%
16
28.7%
Q1 - 2:46ORLTurkoglu 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 2:59INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)17
67.9%
16
32.1%
Q1 - 3:10ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)17
70.2%
14
29.8%
Q1 - 3:22INDFoster 2' Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)17
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 3:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
73.8%
12
26.2%
Q1 - 3:29ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 3:51INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
75.6%
12
24.4%
Q1 - 3:51INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
75.8%
11
24.2%
Q1 - 4:13ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)17
76.9%
10
23.1%
Q1 - 4:28INDCollison 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
73.8%
10
26.2%
Q1 - 4:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
75.3%
8
24.7%
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Anderson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot14
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 4:49INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)14
77.1%
8
22.9%
Q1 - 4:58ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 4:58ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
75.0%
8
25.0%
Q1 - 5:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
73.3%
8
26.7%
Q1 - 5:02INDMISS Granger 1' Driving Reverse Layup12
72.7%
8
27.3%
Q1 - 5:14INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
71.4%
8
28.6%
Q1 - 5:15ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Bank Shot12
72.0%
8
28.0%
Q1 - 5:29INDHibbert 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)12
73.3%
8
26.7%
Q1 - 5:42ORLHoward 10' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (8 PTS)12
74.8%
6
25.2%
Q1 - 6:06INDGranger 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
73.2%
6
26.8%
Q1 - 6:14INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 6:15ORLMISS Richardson 3' Finger Roll Layup10
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 6:30INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
76.3%
4
23.7%
Q1 - 6:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 6:43ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 7:02ORLMagic Rebound10
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 7:05INDMISS Hibbert 10' Jump Hook Shot10
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:25INDPACERS Rebound10
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 7:25ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 7:25ORLMISS Bass 2' Putback Dunk10
75.1%
4
24.9%
Q1 - 7:26ORLMISS Richardson 3' Layup10
75.1%
4
24.9%
Q1 - 7:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 7:32INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Shot10
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:34INDPACERS Rebound10
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 7:35INDMISS Hansbrough 2' Layup10
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:36INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 7:37INDMISS Hibbert 9' Hook Shot10
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 7:50ORLNelson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)10
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 8:01INDCollison 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)8
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 8:14ORLHoward 3' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
74.8%
2
25.2%
Q1 - 8:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 8:25INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot6
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 8:31INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
71.6%
2
28.4%
Q1 - 8:32ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
72.1%
2
27.9%
Q1 - 8:49INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)6
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 9:14ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)6
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 9:30INDHansbrough 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)6
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 9:38ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
74.7%
0
25.3%
Q1 - 9:43ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
76.1%
0
23.9%
Q1 - 9:44INDMISS Granger 16' Pullup Jump Shot6
75.7%
0
24.3%
Q1 - 9:57INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
74.7%
0
25.3%
Q1 - 9:57ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 16
74.9%
0
25.1%
Q1 - 10:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
73.0%
0
27.0%
Q1 - 10:12INDMISS Dunleavy 3' Layup4
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 10:35ORLNelson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 10:40ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 10:41INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 11:03ORLHoward 2' Dunk (2 PTS)2
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:24INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot0
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:42INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 11:45INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot0
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Howard: Tip to Collison0
65.4%
0
34.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 61.0%
IND
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
21
62%
IND
11
19
58%
Midrange
ORL
12
27
44%
IND
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
IND
8
12.0
30
27%
40%
Free Throws
ORL
13
19
68%
IND
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson1959%9.5 / 16
D. Howard1950%9.5 / 19
H. Turkoglu1882%9.0 / 11
R. Anderson1470%7.0 / 10
J. Nelson1255%6.0 / 11
J. Redick1063%5.0 / 8
B. Bass857%4.0 / 7
G. Arenas867%4.0 / 6
Q. Richardson3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2754%13.5 / 25
D. Collison2153%10.5 / 20
M. Dunleavy1071%5.0 / 7
P. George1045%5.0 / 11
T. Hansbrough850%4.0 / 8
R. Hibbert429%2.0 / 7
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
A. Price433%2.0 / 6
J. Posey338%1.5 / 4
B. Rush375%1.5 / 2
S. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+9
-13
89
IND
87
+15
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.22 61.0%
IND
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
105.1
ORL 119.4
IND 99.0 +20.4
Pace
91.2
94.5
ORL 94.6
IND 95.3 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.9
ORL 15.2
IND 15.1 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
48.6%
ORL 59.8% +13.9%
IND 45.9%
TO %
15.7%
15.5%
ORL 12.6%
IND 10.2% +2.4%
ORB %
26.1%
25.9%
ORL 19.5% +2.1%
IND 17.4%
FTrt
32.8
30.0
ORL 23.2
IND 30.6 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
53.6%
ORL 48.8% +5.9%
IND 42.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
ORL 5.4% +1.3%
IND 4.1%
BLK %
7.5%
8.4%
ORL 7.3%
IND 10.4% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.0%
ORL 61.0% +13.9%
IND 47.1%
Rim FG%
61.7%
56.8%
ORL 61.9% +4.0%
IND 57.9%
Mid FG%
40.4%
39.2%
ORL 44.4%
IND 44.4%
3P %
36.6%
35.4%
ORL 47.1% +20.4%
IND 26.7%
FT %
69.2%
78.2%
ORL 68.4%
IND 69.2% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
33.8%
ORL 25.6% +3.3%
IND 22.4%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
41.9%
ORL 32.9% +9.4%
IND 42.4%
3P Att. %
32.8%
24.4%
ORL 41.5% +6.2%
IND 35.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLIND
Possessions9397
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points11196
Rebounds4641
Assists2015
Steals54
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)33 (3)
Field Goals41-8235-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2111-19
Midrange FG12-2716-36
2-Point FG25-4827-55
3-Point FG16-348-30
Free Throws13-1918-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
39.4
19
59%
9
2
1
0
1
2
1
8
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
4-9
44%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
37.9
19
50%
16
0
2
3
3
4
3
13
3-8
38%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
36.8
18
82%
6
4
1
0
2
4
1
5
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
26.8
12
55%
2
4
0
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
22.4
8
57%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27
30.5
10
63%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 240 · 23
22.2
14
70%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
21.2
8
67%
3
3
1
0
3
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
2.8
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 33
F · 6'10" 234 · 23
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
61%
46
20
5
4
13
0
8
38
13-19
68%
25-48
52%
16-34
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.