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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 24, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Wizards26%98106
11Knicks74%107115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
41.4
38.0
22
58%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
2-5
40%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
33.9
37.0
18
54%
7
9
2
2
0
4
1
6
7-8
88%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
29.7
28.1
15
76%
10
0
0
1
1
1
2
8
1-2
50%
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.5
29.4
34.4
20
65%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
49%
1-4
25%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
28.3
33.0
6
26%
5
1
2
1
0
3
1
4
2-4
50%
2-10
6-14
20%
47%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.1
23.6
18.2
10
68%
5
1
2
0
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
22.1
4.4
7
41%
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-8
1-1
38%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.1
14.6
9.2
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
14.1
6.3
6
60%
5
4
1
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
1.3
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
0.8
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.2
0.8
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.6
39.1
35.6
17
57%
2
15
4
2
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.2
38.6
35.4
30
58%
9
5
1
1
2
3
5
4
4-7
57%
13-23
10-19
57%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
37.5
29.0
25
57%
7
1
1
1
1
0
2
5
3-4
75%
5-12
4-8
42%
54%
4-8
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
35.9
30.8
17
51%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
6-8
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.6
18.8
29.0
4
100%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.0
28.5
23.8
7
61%
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
22.2
25.5
3
25%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.9
11.8
16.7
9
58%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
7.7
11.3
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
2.5
0
0-0
44%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.5
1.5
0
0-1
48%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.5
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 28.1
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.