FinalWin Prob.pScore
2125%99
107
475%108
121
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
111.59695.9
DEN logo DEN
123.59898.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN107
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot107
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)107
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 2106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Price 8 AST)106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DENMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39INDGeorge 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)103
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30DENMISS Forbes 3' Alley Oop Layup98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45INDHansbrough 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)98
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)96
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot96
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DENCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)96
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)96
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15INDPacers Rebound91
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26INDEly BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54DENShel. Williams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)91
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENMISS Ely 4' Jump Hook Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12DENMISS Shel. Williams 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33INDMISS Hansbrough 19' Jump Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47INDPacers Rebound91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48INDMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENAfflalo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34INDNene STEAL (4 STL)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)89
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup89
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:58INDHansbrough 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Price 7 AST)89
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09DENAfflalo 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:25INDGeorge 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 7:42DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)85
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 7:51DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 7:52INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 8:10DENAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)85
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 8:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 8:20INDMISS Price 2' Layup85
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 8:29INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 8:30DENMISS Nene 17' Jump Shot85
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 8:50INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Price 6 AST)85
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:09DENHarrington 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Afflalo 5 AST)83
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:24INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Price 5 AST)83
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 9:34DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)80
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 9:45INDSmith STEAL (2 STL)80
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 10:03DENLawson 11' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 10:29INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 10:29INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)79
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 10:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 10:35DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup78
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 10:50DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 10:51INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot78
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 10:59INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 11:00DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot78
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot78
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 11:20INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)78
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 11:31INDPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 11:32DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 178
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 11:45DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 11:46INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot78
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound78
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot78
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMartin STEAL (2 STL)78
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDPacers Rebound78
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup78
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDPrice Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)78
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)77
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)76
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot75
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)75
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q3 - 1:03DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)72
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 1:22INDHibbert 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)72
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q3 - 1:39DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)70
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 1:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 1:49INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 1:57INDPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 2:06INDHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 2:25DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)70
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q3 - 2:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 2:40INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 270
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 2:40INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 270
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 2:56DENBillups 2' Layup (12 PTS)70
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q3 - 3:00INDBillups STEAL (1 STL)70
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q3 - 3:08DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)70
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q3 - 3:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 3:14DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot70
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 3:35INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Foster 3 AST)70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 3:45DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)67
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q3 - 4:02DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
3.6%
80
96.4%
Q3 - 4:04INDMISS Price 18' Jump Shot67
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 4:16DENHarrington 1' Dunk (11 PTS)67
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 4:20INDHarrington STEAL (1 STL)67
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 4:26DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)67
6.1%
78
93.9%
Q3 - 4:28DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup67
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q3 - 4:46INDHansbrough 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)67
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 5:04DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 5:04DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 5:15INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)65
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q3 - 6:01DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)60
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 6:01DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 260
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 6:18INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 6:18INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
4.0%
73
96.0%
Q3 - 6:22DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 6:35DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 6:36INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 6:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 6:46DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 158
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q3 - 6:52DENBillups Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)58
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 7:08INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 7:08INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 7:09INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)56
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 7:10INDMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)56
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 7:17INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 7:19DENMISS Billups 7' Running Bank Shot56
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 7:26DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)56
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 7:28INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 7:36INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
4.4%
70
95.6%
Q3 - 7:37DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q3 - 8:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 8:03INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 8:17INDCollison Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)56
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 8:40DENAnthony 28' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)55
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 9:04INDHansbrough 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 9:16DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)53
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 9:23DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 9:25INDMISS Collison 12' Fadeaway Jumper53
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 9:49DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)53
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q3 - 10:00INDHansbrough 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 10:03INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 10:04INDMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot51
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 10:08INDPacers Rebound51
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 10:09INDMISS Granger 7' Jump Shot51
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 10:31DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)51
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 10:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 10:35DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 10:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 10:54INDMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)51
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 11:05DENNene Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)51
8.5%
61
91.5%
Q3 - 11:16DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 11:19INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot51
9.9%
59
90.1%
Q3 - 11:41INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q3 - 11:45DENMISS Martin 13' Jump Shot51
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN51
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound51
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper51
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0INDMISS George 7' Running Jump Shot49
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q2 - 0:53.0DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)49
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDNene STEAL (3 STL)49
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q2 - 1:08INDPacers Rebound49
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 1:09INDMISS Collison 11' Jump Shot49
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q2 - 1:19DENAnthony 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)49
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q2 - 1:24INDNene STEAL (2 STL)49
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q2 - 1:34INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q2 - 1:35DENMISS Nene 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q2 - 1:51DENNUGGETS Rebound49
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q2 - 1:52INDMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q2 - 2:14DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)49
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 2:27INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)49
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 2:51DENNene 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)46
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 3:03INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 3:03INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
12.2%
52
87.8%
Q2 - 3:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 3:04INDMISS Granger 7' Jump Shot44
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 3:22DENNene 1' Layup (8 PTS)44
11.5%
52
88.5%
Q2 - 3:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 3:26DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot44
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q2 - 3:50INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 3:50INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 3:59DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T3)42
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 4:02DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 4:03INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot42
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 4:13DENLawson 2' Layup (9 PTS)42
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 4:18INDNene STEAL (1 STL)42
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 4:25INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Lawson 5' Running Jump Shot42
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 4:46INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
12.6%
48
87.4%
Q2 - 4:46INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 5:11DENHarrington 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q2 - 5:32DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 5:33INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 5:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 5:52DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot40
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 5:59INDDunleavy Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)40
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 6:00INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 6:01DENMISS Harrington 2' Driving Layup40
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q2 - 6:10DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 6:11INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot40
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 6:28DENLawson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
14.5%
46
85.5%
Q2 - 6:33DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 6:35INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot40
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 6:51DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)40
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 7:10INDHansbrough 2' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)40
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 7:23DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 7:23DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 7:28INDSmith STEAL (1 STL)38
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 7:40INDPacers Rebound38
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 7:40DENMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot38
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 7:50DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 7:52DENMISS Lawson 7' Running Bank Shot38
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 8:04INDCollison 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 8:10DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)36
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 8:32INDHibbert Putback Dunk (8 PTS)36
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 8:34INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 8:36INDMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 8:43INDPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
18.9%
37
81.1%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot34
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 8:50DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 8:51INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot34
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 9:02DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 9:02DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 9:21DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 9:22INDMISS Hibbert 21' Jump Shot34
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 9:33INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 9:34DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 9:43INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 10:03DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 10:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 10:12INDMISS Hibbert 12' Turnaround Jump Shot32
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 10:29DENSmith 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)32
22.2%
33
77.8%
Q2 - 10:58INDFoster 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)32
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 11:18DENHarrington 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)30
22.2%
31
77.8%
Q2 - 11:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q2 - 11:30INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot30
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q2 - 11:46DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)30
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN30
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound30
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 63' 3PT Jump Shot30
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
27.5%
27
72.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot30
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENMartin 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)30
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDGranger 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)30
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENAnthony 1' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)28
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 1:01INDPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)28
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 1:28DENHarrington 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)25
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 1:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.2%
21
70.8%
Q1 - 1:36INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 1:36INDMISS Foster Tip Shot25
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 1:38INDMISS Price 9' Jump Shot25
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 1:55DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
30.7%
21
69.3%
Q1 - 2:05DENNUGGETS Rebound25
32.9%
19
67.1%
Q1 - 2:05INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot25
33.5%
19
66.5%
Q1 - 2:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
34.8%
19
65.2%
Q1 - 2:12DENMISS Martin 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup25
34.2%
19
65.8%
Q1 - 2:26INDGeorge 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
32.9%
19
67.1%
Q1 - 2:37DENSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)23
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 2:57INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)23
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 3:15DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 3:34INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 2 AST)21
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q1 - 3:50DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 4:02INDFoster 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 4:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 4:05INDMISS Hansbrough 2' Layup16
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 4:19DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 4:30INDHansbrough 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)16
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 4:39DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 5:03INDHansbrough 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)14
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 5:25INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 5:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)12
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 5:27DENMISS Anthony 1' Tip Shot12
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 5:29DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup12
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 5:41INDGeorge 1' Dunk (2 PTS)12
24.1%
10
75.9%
Q1 - 5:45DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 5:57INDCollison Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)10
21.1%
10
78.9%
Q1 - 6:08INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 6:11DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup10
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 6:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
20.9%
10
79.1%
Q1 - 6:16INDMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 6:44DENNene 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 6:53DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.8%
8
76.2%
Q1 - 6:54INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 7:02DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 7:10INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot10
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 7:22INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)10
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 7:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 7:23DENMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot10
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 7:24DENMISS Anthony 1' Reverse Layup10
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 7:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 7:28DENMISS Billups 1' Layup10
29.3%
5
70.7%
Q1 - 7:34INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)10
28.1%
5
71.9%
Q1 - 7:50INDPacers Rebound8
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 7:51INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot8
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 8:02INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 8:03DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup8
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 8:20INDCollison 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)8
24.6%
5
75.4%
Q1 - 8:34INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.1%
5
76.9%
Q1 - 8:35DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot6
22.7%
5
77.3%
Q1 - 8:46DENNUGGETS Rebound6
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 8:46INDMISS Hansbrough 10' Jump Hook Shot6
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 8:59DENNene 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
23.2%
5
76.8%
Q1 - 9:18INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)6
24.4%
3
75.6%
Q1 - 9:31DENBillups 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)4
23.0%
3
77.0%
Q1 - 9:36DENJump Ball Martin vs. Hansbrough: Tip to Billups4
24.4%
1
75.6%
Q1 - 9:37INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)4
25.8%
1
74.2%
Q1 - 9:38INDMISS Hibbert 16' Jump Shot4
24.8%
1
75.2%
Q1 - 9:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.8%
1
74.2%
Q1 - 9:51DENMISS Nene 2' Layup4
25.4%
1
74.6%
Q1 - 10:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.9%
1
76.1%
Q1 - 10:11INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 24
24.1%
1
75.9%
Q1 - 10:11INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 24
25.0%
1
75.0%
Q1 - 10:14INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
25.5%
1
74.5%
Q1 - 10:15INDMISS Hibbert 14' Jump Shot4
24.4%
1
75.6%
Q1 - 10:26INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
25.5%
1
74.5%
Q1 - 10:27DENMISS Nene 2' Layup4
25.0%
1
75.0%
Q1 - 10:33INDAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)4
23.9%
1
76.1%
Q1 - 10:56DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
25.5%
1
74.5%
Q1 - 10:56DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 24
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:15INDHibbert 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)4
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:31INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:32DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot2
23.0%
0
77.0%
Q1 - 11:52INDGranger 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 11:54INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:55INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:55INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Tip Shot0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 11:56INDMISS Granger 2' Layup0
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Hibbert: Tip to Granger0
21.1%
0
78.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
DEN
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
10
20
50%
DEN
19
38
50%
Midrange
IND
18
46
39%
DEN
17
34
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
DEN
11
16.5
20
55%
83%
Free Throws
IND
24
29
83%
DEN
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Hansbrough2768%13.5 / 20
P. George1777%8.5 / 11
R. Hibbert1238%6.0 / 16
M. Dunleavy1071%5.0 / 7
B. Rush9113%4.5 / 4
D. Granger833%4.0 / 12
J. Foster880%4.0 / 5
A. Price643%3.0 / 7
D. Collison525%2.5 / 10
J. Posey338%1.5 / 4
S. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3662%18.0 / 29
A. Harrington1673%8.0 / 11
Nene1568%7.5 / 11
T. Lawson1381%6.5 / 8
C. Billups1260%6.0 / 10
A. Afflalo956%4.5 / 8
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
K. Martin440%2.0 / 5
S. Williams467%2.0 / 3
A. Carter375%1.5 / 2
G. Forbes117%0.5 / 3
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+16
-14
98
DEN
88
+14
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
DEN
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
112.7
IND 111.5
DEN 123.5 +12.0
Pace
94.5
95.2
IND 95.9
DEN 98.1 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.3
IND 15.0
DEN 14.7 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.6%
52.6%
IND 47.7%
DEN 57.1% +9.4%
TO %
15.5%
14.5%
IND 12.3%
DEN 9.0% +3.3%
ORB %
25.9%
23.8%
IND 26.7%
DEN 26.8% +0.1%
FTrt
30.0
36.7
IND 33.3 +10.5
DEN 22.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.6%
57.6%
IND 67.6% +8.0%
DEN 59.6%
STL %
7.5%
7.7%
IND 5.2%
DEN 11.2% +6.0%
BLK %
8.4%
6.8%
IND 1.4%
DEN 7.6% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
56.3%
IND 54.0%
DEN 58.2% +4.2%
Rim FG%
56.8%
58.5%
IND 50.0%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.2%
40.0%
IND 39.1%
DEN 50.0% +10.9%
3P %
35.4%
38.8%
IND 42.9%
DEN 55.0% +12.1%
FT %
78.2%
76.6%
IND 82.8% +6.6%
DEN 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
42.5%
IND 23.0%
DEN 41.3% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
31.8%
IND 52.9%
DEN 37.0% +15.9%
3P Att. %
24.4%
25.8%
IND 24.1% +2.4%
DEN 21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points107121
Rebounds4244
Assists2528
Steals511
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)33 (3)
Field Goals37-8747-92
At-the-Rim FG10-2019-38
Midrange FG18-4617-34
2-Point FG28-6636-72
3-Point FG9-2111-20
Free Throws24-2916-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
30.4
27
68%
10
1
0
0
1
4
5
5
7-9
78%
10-17
59%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 230 · 30
26.9
10
71%
3
4
0
0
3
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 222 · 28
25.3
8
33%
2
3
0
0
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
0-2
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 24
21.9
12
38%
6
1
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-2
0%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
20.9
5
25%
1
2
1
0
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 24
27.1
6
43%
0
8
0
0
4
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 220 · 21
26.5
17
77%
0
0
2
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26
21.1
9
113%
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34
18.5
8
80%
9
3
1
0
1
1
4
5
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 34
13.9
3
38%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 235 · 27
7.6
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 165 · 28
#1 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · · 6'10" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'6" 230 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
54%
42
25
5
1
14
0
12
30
24-29
83%
28-66
42%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.