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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors38%103109
18Clippers62%107113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
42.3
41.6
17
35%
3
4
0
2
0
5
2
1
5-7
71%
6-15
8-17
40%
49%
0-6
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
41.8
37.9
14
81%
7
4
0
1
1
0
3
4
6-6
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
47%
2-4
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
41.2
35.9
16
44%
15
3
2
1
0
3
3
12
4-5
80%
6-16
6-12
38%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
40.8
33.1
32
63%
6
8
1
2
1
2
2
4
5-5
100%
9-14
4-9
64%
48%
3-9
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
22.3
23.8
6
75%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
57%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
27.2
14.3
8
80%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
18.3
11.6
16
74%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
6.0
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
0.1
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
0.0
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
6.4
0
1-2
51%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.9
41.4
37.1
30
74%
18
8
0
1
0
4
5
13
9-10
90%
9-15
9-17
60%
54%
1-1
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.4
36.7
32.0
15
55%
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
28.9
37.8
23
56%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
8-8
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
53%
1-6
17%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
28.5
28.4
7
62%
8
1
0
1
4
1
2
6
3-6
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
65%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.8
27.4
30.6
7
34%
1
6
1
1
3
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.1
25.0
14.7
6
50%
4
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.3
19.7
18.7
10
43%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
19.1
14.2
9
51%
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
1-6
17%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
13.4
16.0
6
55%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.1
17.9
0
2-4
44%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.7
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.1
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.2
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.