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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Grizzlies45%9294
22Bucks55%9481
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
39.9
39.3
11
44%
7
3
0
1
0
3
0
7
5-6
83%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
37.6
32.7
8
34%
5
2
1
1
2
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.0
33.5
26.1
24
71%
16
2
0
1
3
4
2
14
10-11
91%
7-11
3-6
64%
54%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
33.4
37.7
16
68%
11
2
1
1
0
4
3
8
2-4
50%
7-10
8-17
70%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
24.8
18.9
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
25.1
28.5
11
79%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
3-8
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
23.2
18.2
14
64%
4
2
2
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.0
10.4
15.9
0
0%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.0
6.2
10.4
2
50%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.9
5.9
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.9
5.1
0
1-1
45%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.7
1.4
0
0-0
47%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
36.3
31.2
12
47%
8
5
2
1
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
31.9
33.6
14
50%
9
3
2
1
3
2
6
3
0-0
-
7-14
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
23.8
32.3
7
32%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
1-5
20%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
21.3
21.5
6
60%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
15.4
24.4
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
36.0
24.7
23
48%
3
3
4
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
5-16
3-8
31%
45%
3-6
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
32.5
16.8
5
19%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
1-7
14%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.2
26.8
9.0
12
55%
6
0
0
0
3
0
4
2
0-0
-
6-11
1-3
55%
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
9.2
17.6
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
6.9
4.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
19.2
0
3-7
48%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
14.5
0
2-4
45%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.