FinalWin Prob.pScore
353%94
72
1447%93
96
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
84.785100.0
NOH
110.38775.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASNeal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASOwens Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMISS Owens Free Throw 1 of 271
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Pondexter 5' Jump Shot71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:01SASSpurs Rebound71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:02NOHMISS Pondexter 18' Jump Shot71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:16NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29NOHMbenga 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)71
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30NOHMISS Jack 6' Jump Shot71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 171
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54NOHPondexter 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)69
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13SASOwens 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26NOHPondexter 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)67
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53NOHMISS Pondexter 21' Jump Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11SASOwens 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18NOHMISS Andersen 22' Jump Shot65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48SASQuinn 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57NOHJack 10' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 263
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22NOHPondexter Foul Turnover (P1.T13)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02SASBlair Running Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16SASSpurs Rebound60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 260
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23NOHMISS Pondexter 8' Jump Shot59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42SASNeal 5' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 257
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38SASSpurs Rebound56
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38NOHMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 256
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56SASMISS Blair 13' Jump Shot56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11NOHThornton 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T12)56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37NOHOkafor 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48SASMISS Neal 8' Jump Shot56
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05NOHThornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)56
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:35SASQuinn 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)56
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 8:47NOHOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)54
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:10SASSplitter 3' Layup (9 PTS)54
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q4 - 9:13SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:15SASMISS Neal 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:25SASOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:26NOHMISS Jack 14' Jump Shot52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:40NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:41SASMISS Quinn 7' Jump Shot52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:51NOHJack 1' Layup (6 PTS)52
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 9:57NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 9:59SASMISS Blair 8' Jump Shot52
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 10:19NOHJack Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)52
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 10:30NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 10:49NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)52
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 11:04SASSplitter Dunk (7 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)52
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q4 - 11:10NOHMISS Okafor 7' Jump Shot50
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q4 - 11:35SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 11:35SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 11:43NOHThornton 4' Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH48
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound48
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot48
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)47
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)46
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Thornton 4' Jump Bank Shot46
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot46
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 1:10SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 1:12NOHMISS Paul 7' Jump Shot46
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 1:26NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 1:28SASMISS Neal 13' Jump Shot46
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 1:46NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 1:46NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 246
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 1:47NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 1:48SASThornton BLOCK (1 BLK)46
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 1:52NOHSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)46
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 2:13SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 2:13SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 2:34NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)44
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 3:00SASJefferson 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 3:24NOHPaul 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 3:31NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 3:52NOHWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)42
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 3:52NOHWest 2' Tip Shot (16 PTS)42
2.5%
64
97.5%
Q3 - 3:53NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup42
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 4:09SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)42
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 4:36NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 3 AST)42
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 4:57SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)42
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q3 - 4:57SASSpurs Rebound42
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 4:58SASOkafor BLOCK (5 BLK)42
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 5:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 5:02SASOkafor BLOCK (4 BLK)42
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 5:23SASMISS Hill Free Throw Technical42
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 5:25NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Belinelli 4 AST)42
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 5:43NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)42
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 5:44SASMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot42
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 6:12NOHWest 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)42
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 6:15SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)42
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 6:26SASSpurs Rebound42
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q3 - 6:26NOHMISS Paul 4' Fadeaway Jumper42
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 6:35NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
14.0%
54
86.0%
Q3 - 6:37SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 7:07NOHWest 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)42
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q3 - 7:16NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
19.4%
52
80.6%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot42
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q3 - 7:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 7:42NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 242
21.7%
52
78.3%
Q3 - 7:42NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
20.2%
52
79.8%
Q3 - 7:56NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
21.9%
51
78.1%
Q3 - 7:57SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot42
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 8:18NOHWest 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)42
25.5%
51
74.5%
Q3 - 8:41NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q3 - 8:42SASMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot42
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q3 - 9:02NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)42
32.0%
49
68.0%
Q3 - 9:20NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
35.2%
47
64.8%
Q3 - 9:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q3 - 9:32NOHOkafor 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)42
38.7%
47
61.3%
Q3 - 9:47SASParker 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)42
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q3 - 10:05NOHBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)40
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q3 - 10:25NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q3 - 10:26NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup40
48.8%
42
51.2%
Q3 - 10:38SASParker 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)40
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q3 - 10:42NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)38
42.8%
42
57.2%
Q3 - 10:51NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
39.3%
42
60.7%
Q3 - 10:52SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot38
40.3%
42
59.7%
Q3 - 11:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
43.5%
42
56.5%
Q3 - 11:06NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 238
43.0%
42
57.0%
Q3 - 11:06NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
41.4%
42
58.6%
Q3 - 11:24SASPaul STEAL (2 STL)38
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q3 - 11:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q3 - 11:34NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot38
45.8%
41
54.2%
Q3 - 11:46SASWest STEAL (2 STL)38
43.2%
41
56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH38
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound38
43.2%
41
56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Belinelli 35' 3PT Jump Shot38
45.8%
41
54.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASGinobili 15' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)38
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)36
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
47.6%
38
52.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot36
48.4%
38
51.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHThornton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)36
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 1:03NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)36
57.7%
35
42.3%
Q2 - 1:04SASWest BLOCK (1 BLK)36
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 1:29SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 1:30NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot36
59.3%
35
40.7%
Q2 - 1:46NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)36
57.7%
35
42.3%
Q2 - 1:47SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot36
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 2:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
60.3%
35
39.7%
Q2 - 2:05NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 236
59.9%
35
40.1%
Q2 - 2:05NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q2 - 2:08NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
60.2%
34
39.8%
Q2 - 2:10SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot36
61.2%
34
38.8%
Q2 - 2:36NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
63.3%
34
36.7%
Q2 - 2:50SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)36
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 3:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 3:15NOHWest 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)33
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 3:16NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup33
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 3:29NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 3:29SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot33
64.1%
30
35.9%
Q2 - 3:54NOHOkafor Dunk (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)33
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 4:10SASJefferson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)33
68.3%
28
31.7%
Q2 - 4:15NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
65.9%
28
34.1%
Q2 - 4:32SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)31
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 4:49NOHWest 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)28
57.4%
28
42.6%
Q2 - 5:08SASDuncan Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)28
60.3%
26
39.7%
Q2 - 5:21NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
57.4%
26
42.6%
Q2 - 5:42SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)26
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q2 - 5:53SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
57.4%
23
42.6%
Q2 - 5:54NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot23
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q2 - 6:08SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
54.2%
23
45.8%
Q2 - 6:08SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
53.6%
23
46.4%
Q2 - 6:20NOHWest 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)21
51.8%
23
48.2%
Q2 - 6:38SASHill 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q2 - 6:50NOHWest 2' Layup (2 PTS)19
46.1%
23
53.9%
Q2 - 6:55NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)19
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q2 - 6:56NOHMISS West 5' Jump Shot19
50.8%
21
49.2%
Q2 - 7:15SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)19
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q2 - 7:31NOHThornton 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
43.6%
21
56.4%
Q2 - 7:46NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
46.2%
19
53.8%
Q2 - 7:47SASMbenga BLOCK (1 BLK)16
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q2 - 8:14NOHPondexter 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
49.4%
19
50.6%
Q2 - 8:38NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q2 - 8:39SASMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot16
52.8%
17
47.2%
Q2 - 8:50SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q2 - 8:51NOHMISS Jack 8' Jump Shot16
53.9%
17
46.1%
Q2 - 9:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q2 - 9:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q2 - 9:15SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q2 - 9:16SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot14
47.6%
17
52.4%
Q2 - 9:34SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q2 - 9:35NOHMISS Thornton 21' Jump Shot14
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q2 - 9:45SASJack STEAL (1 STL)14
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q2 - 9:51NOHJack 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)14
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q2 - 10:04SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)14
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q2 - 10:20NOHMbenga Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)12
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q2 - 10:24NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q2 - 10:25NOHMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot12
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q2 - 10:48NOHHORNETS Rebound12
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q2 - 10:49NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot12
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q2 - 11:00NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q2 - 11:01SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot12
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q2 - 11:19NOHJack 6' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
49.4%
15
50.6%
Q2 - 11:42NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q2 - 11:43SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot12
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH12
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASSmith STEAL (2 STL)12
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
54.0%
13
46.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0NOHMISS Jack 20' Jump Shot12
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASMISS Splitter 5' Jump Shot12
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0NOHAriza Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T4)12
54.0%
13
46.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
52.0%
13
48.0%
Q1 - 1:01NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot12
53.6%
13
46.4%
Q1 - 1:25NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 1:26SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 2 of 212
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 1:26SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
54.0%
13
46.0%
Q1 - 1:43SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 1:43NOHMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot11
51.2%
13
48.8%
Q1 - 1:52SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)11
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 2:15NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Green 1 AST)9
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 2:40SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)9
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 2:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 2:57NOHMISS Green 16' Jump Shot9
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 3:16NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 3:17SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot9
53.1%
10
46.9%
Q1 - 3:44SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 3:47NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot9
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 3:55NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 3:56SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot9
53.1%
10
46.9%
Q1 - 4:08SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 4:09NOHMISS Green 22' Jump Shot9
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 4:24SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 4:36NOHAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)9
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 4:39SASWest STEAL (1 STL)9
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 4:53SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
54.7%
10
45.3%
Q1 - 4:54NOHMISS Ariza 10' Jump Shot9
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 5:03NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 5:05SASOkafor BLOCK (3 BLK)9
52.9%
10
47.1%
Q1 - 5:14SASHill Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)9
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 5:28SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 5:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)8
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 5:29NOHMISS Okafor 1' Tip Shot8
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 5:30NOHMISS Belinelli 13' Jump Shot8
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 5:52NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 5:54NOHMISS Ariza 3' Jump Shot8
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 5:55NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 5:56NOHMISS Belinelli 2' Layup8
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 6:01NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 6:03SASOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 6:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 6:16SASOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)8
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 6:26NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 6:26NOHMISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 28
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 6:41SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 6:41SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
51.9%
9
48.1%
Q1 - 6:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 6:45NOHMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot6
49.7%
9
50.3%
Q1 - 6:56NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
48.1%
9
51.9%
Q1 - 6:57SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot6
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 7:14NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 7:14NOHOkafor 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)6
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 7:15NOHMISS Ariza 3' Layup6
54.0%
7
46.0%
Q1 - 7:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
52.4%
7
47.6%
Q1 - 7:31SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot6
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 7:42SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
54.6%
7
45.4%
Q1 - 7:44NOHMISS Okafor 11' Jump Shot6
54.0%
7
46.0%
Q1 - 8:09SASParker 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 8:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 8:17NOHMISS Paul 4' Driving Layup4
50.2%
7
49.8%
Q1 - 8:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 8:27SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.4%
7
50.6%
Q1 - 8:37SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.8%
7
49.2%
Q1 - 8:38NOHMISS Belinelli 23' Jump Shot4
50.2%
7
49.8%
Q1 - 8:50SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 9:07NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
47.5%
7
52.5%
Q1 - 9:20SASPaul STEAL (1 STL)2
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 9:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
47.5%
7
52.5%
Q1 - 9:26NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot2
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 9:41NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 9:42SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot2
46.2%
7
53.8%
Q1 - 10:03NOHPaul 8' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)2
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 10:12NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.6%
5
50.4%
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot2
50.2%
5
49.8%
Q1 - 10:24NOHBelinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 10:42SASBlair 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
49.6%
5
50.4%
Q1 - 10:56NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)0
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 11:01NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
52.0%
2
48.0%
Q1 - 11:04NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 10
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 11:13NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:14SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:14SASMISS Blair 3' Tip Shot0
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Parker 2' Layup0
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 11:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:38NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Duncan: Tip to Ariza0
55.2%
0
44.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.88 43.9%
NOH
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
12
19
63%
NOH
13
26
50%
Midrange
SAS
9
35
26%
NOH
13
40
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
NOH
12
18.0
15
80%
120%
Free Throws
SAS
18
25
72%
NOH
8
15
53%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Splitter1155%5.5 / 10
T. Parker1056%5.0 / 9
R. Jefferson950%4.5 / 9
G. Neal844%4.0 / 9
G. Hill857%4.0 / 7
D. Blair750%3.5 / 7
T. Duncan625%3.0 / 12
L. Owens583%2.5 / 3
M. Ginobili425%2.0 / 8
C. Quinn450%2.0 / 4
A. McDyess0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West1875%9.0 / 12
M. Thornton1890%9.0 / 10
T. Ariza1583%7.5 / 8
C. Paul1142%5.5 / 13
E. Okafor945%4.5 / 10
J. Jack950%4.5 / 9
M. Belinelli732%3.5 / 11
Q. Pondexter750%3.5 / 7
D. Mbenga2100%1.0 / 1
J. Smith0-0.0 / 3
W. Green0-0.0 / 2
D. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
74
+7
-11
81
NOH
74
+18
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.88 43.9%
NOH
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
106.0
SAS 84.7 +25.6
NOH 110.3
Pace
92.7
88.9
SAS 100.0 +24.3
NOH 75.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
SAS 14.4 +4.6
NOH 19.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
49.3%
SAS 39.1%
NOH 54.3% +15.2%
TO %
13.8%
13.6%
SAS 14.0%
NOH 13.8% +0.2%
ORB %
25.0%
25.1%
SAS 10.6%
NOH 35.7% +25.1%
FTrt
29.9
29.6
SAS 36.2 +17.7
NOH 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
57.4%
SAS 60.0% +10.0%
NOH 50.0%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
SAS 7.1%
NOH 9.2% +2.1%
BLK %
6.7%
7.6%
SAS 0.0%
NOH 14.8% +14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
52.0%
SAS 43.9%
NOH 51.6% +7.7%
Rim FG%
60.3%
57.5%
SAS 63.2% +13.2%
NOH 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.6%
42.1%
SAS 25.7%
NOH 32.5% +6.8%
3P %
39.7%
36.0%
SAS 26.7%
NOH 80.0% +53.3%
FT %
76.7%
76.5%
SAS 72.0% +18.7%
NOH 53.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
32.2%
SAS 27.5%
NOH 32.1% +4.6%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
48.6%
SAS 50.7%
NOH 49.4% +1.3%
3P Att. %
26.1%
19.2%
SAS 21.7% +3.2%
NOH 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes20.427.6
Points7296
Rebounds3257
Assists1519
Steals68
Blocks08
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)42 (0)
Field Goals25-6938-81
At-the-Rim FG12-1913-26
Midrange FG9-3513-40
2-Point FG21-5426-66
3-Point FG4-1512-15
Free Throws18-258-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
28.3
9
50%
4
1
0
0
3
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
27.8
7
50%
6
0
1
0
0
4
1
5
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
25.1
10
56%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
22.7
6
25%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
22.2
4
25%
2
6
1
0
4
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
30.5
8
44%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
25.3
11
55%
6
1
1
0
1
3
1
5
7-10
70%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
19.4
8
57%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
14.2
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28
12.3
5
83%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
12.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
44%
32
15
6
0
11
0
5
27
18-25
72%
21-54
39%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.