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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs53%9472
14Hornets47%9396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.6
28.3
26.5
9
51%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.8
27.8
31.9
7
48%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
3-6
5-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
25.1
33.7
10
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
51%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
22.7
32.1
6
25%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-11
6-12
18%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
22.2
31.4
4
25%
2
6
1
2
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
30.5
25.8
8
44%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
2-5
40%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
25.3
3.8
11
59%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
7-10
70%
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
19.4
18.4
8
52%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
14.2
6.1
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
12.3
5.7
5
87%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
12.2
20.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.8
13.7
0
1-1
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
30.6
32.6
11
43%
6
6
2
2
0
0
1
5
2-4
50%
3-10
4-8
30%
50%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
30.2
31.1
9
46%
12
0
0
0
5
1
3
9
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
55%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
29.8
34.0
18
76%
10
3
2
1
1
4
6
4
2-2
100%
8-11
7-13
73%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
25.9
25.2
15
80%
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
1-3
33%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
4-4
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
20.7
17.9
7
32%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
23.4
18.5
18
90%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
4-4
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
20.7
18.7
9
51%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
16.5
12.2
0
0%
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
14.5
15.4
7
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
12.8
9.8
2
100%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
10.6
18.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
4.3
3.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.