for complete access.
All Games Saturday, January 22, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Raptors
13%91
103
2
Heat
87%106
120
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
113.291100.7
MIA logo MIA
129.09384.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Calderon 13 AST)103
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)101
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot101
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)101
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAHEAT Rebound101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49TORAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12TORMISS Bargnani 11' Jump Shot101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)101
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 298
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11TORJames STEAL (2 STL)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38TORDeRozan 9' Hook Shot (30 PTS)98
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)96
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 3:52TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot96
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (37 PTS)96
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 4:21TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot96
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 4:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)96
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 4:31MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 196
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 4:59TORDeRozan 2' Reverse Layup (28 PTS)96
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 5:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)94
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 5:24TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)94
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)94
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 294
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 5:55TORCalderon 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 6:06MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)92
2.1%
102
97.9%
Q4 - 6:27TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)92
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 6:37MIAHouse Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)89
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 6:53TORDeRozan 2' Reverse Layup (26 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)89
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 6:59TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup87
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 7:06MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)87
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 7:26TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)87
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 7:37MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T11)85
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS James 12' Fadeaway Jumper85
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 7:58TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)85
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 8:03TORRaptors Rebound83
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 8:04TORAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)83
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMiller 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)83
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 8:26MIAHEAT Rebound83
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Anthony 5' Hook Shot83
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)83
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 8:45TORMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 9:08MIAHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)83
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 9:32TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)83
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 9:48MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)83
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 10:13TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 10:13TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)81
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 10:23TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup81
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)81
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 281
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 10:58TORDeRozan 3' Alley Oop Dunk (22 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)81
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 11:21TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot79
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 11:47TORDavis 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)79
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 68' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)77
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot75
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)73
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHEAT Rebound73
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q3 - 1:19TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)73
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 1:23TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q3 - 1:46TORBargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)70
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (29 PTS)67
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:15TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 2:15TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 2:29MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 2:56TORDeRozan 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 3:03TORRaptors Rebound63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 3:04TORAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 3:13MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T8)63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 3:22TORBargnani 4' Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)63
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 3:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 3:25TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot61
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)61
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)61
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 3:53TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)61
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (25 PTS)61
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS James 2' Layup61
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 4:37TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)61
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 4:49MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)58
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q3 - 5:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 5:01TORMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot58
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 5:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
0.8%
79
99.2%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot58
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 5:30TORJohnson 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 5:31TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 5:33TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup56
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 5:54MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 6:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:22TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 6:44MIAIlgauskas 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)56
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 6:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 6:52TORMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot56
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 7:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup56
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 7:26TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 7:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot54
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 7:55TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMiller 21' Jump Shot (31 PTS)51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 8:25TORMISS DeRozan 9' Running Hook Shot51
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 8:38TORRaptors Rebound51
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot51
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 9:03TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)51
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)49
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 9:43TORDeRozan 2' Driving Dunk (9 PTS)49
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 9:47MIAIlgauskas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)47
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 10:09TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)47
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 10:25TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 10:51TORWright 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)44
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMiller 2' Layup (26 PTS) (James 4 AST)42
0.5%
70
99.5%
Q3 - 11:25TORJohnson 3' Layup (12 PTS)42
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 11:27TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 11:28TORIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)40
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJames 9' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)40
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound40
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0TORCalderon 2' Layup (6 PTS)40
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot38
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 138
0.5%
66
99.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot38
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q2 - 1:11TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot38
0.7%
64
99.3%
Q2 - 1:42TORWright 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)38
0.6%
64
99.4%
Q2 - 1:57TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 136
0.5%
64
99.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:28TORMISS Bayless 4' Driving Layup36
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:37TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot36
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 2:55TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 136
0.7%
62
99.3%
Q2 - 3:18MIAAnthony 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
0.6%
62
99.4%
Q2 - 3:41TORDavis 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q2 - 3:44TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q2 - 3:45TORMISS Bargnani 3' Driving Layup32
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)32
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q2 - 4:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q2 - 4:03TORJames BLOCK (1 BLK)32
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 4:11TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Anthony 2' Alley Oop Layup32
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 4:20TORMiller STEAL (1 STL)32
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)32
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 4:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup32
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 4:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 4:47TORMISS Bargnani 8' Hook Shot32
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 5:03TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
1.4%
54
98.6%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot32
1.3%
54
98.7%
Q2 - 5:23TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 5:23TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
1.2%
54
98.8%
Q2 - 5:31MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (House 1 AST)30
1.1%
54
98.9%
Q2 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q2 - 5:44TORMISS Bargnani 9' Turnaround Jump Shot30
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q2 - 5:54TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
1.6%
51
98.4%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot30
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:19TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:19TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:26TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.3%
51
98.7%
Q2 - 6:34TORJohnson 3' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)28
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q2 - 6:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 6:37TORMISS Calderon 3' Driving Layup26
1.0%
51
99.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIAMiller 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)26
1.1%
51
98.9%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 6:59TORMISS Bargnani 13' Turnaround Jump Shot26
1.2%
49
98.8%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)26
1.4%
49
98.6%
Q2 - 7:34TORBargnani 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
1.7%
46
98.3%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMiller 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)24
1.6%
46
98.4%
Q2 - 8:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
1.8%
44
98.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
1.5%
44
98.5%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
1.3%
44
98.7%
Q2 - 8:16TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup21
1.4%
44
98.6%
Q2 - 8:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
1.5%
44
98.5%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
1.4%
44
98.6%
Q2 - 8:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
1.3%
44
98.7%
Q2 - 8:33TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot21
1.4%
44
98.6%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)21
1.5%
44
98.5%
Q2 - 9:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
1.9%
41
98.1%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot21
2.1%
41
97.9%
Q2 - 9:25TORJohnson 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)21
1.9%
41
98.1%
Q2 - 9:30TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 9:38MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 9:38TORMISS Bargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot19
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)19
1.7%
41
98.3%
Q2 - 10:22TORBayless Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)19
2.2%
38
97.8%
Q2 - 10:41TORGaines REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
2.4%
38
97.6%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot19
2.4%
38
97.6%
Q2 - 10:59TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
2.2%
38
97.8%
Q2 - 10:59TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
2.1%
38
97.9%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
2.1%
38
97.9%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot17
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q2 - 11:25MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q2 - 11:26TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot17
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)17
2.8%
35
97.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
3.4%
32
96.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
3.5%
32
96.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
3.6%
32
96.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)17
3.8%
32
96.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)17
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)17
4.2%
30
95.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORGaines REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
3.8%
30
96.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot15
3.7%
30
96.3%
Q1 - 1:09TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 1:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)15
3.9%
30
96.1%
Q1 - 1:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)15
3.9%
29
96.1%
Q1 - 1:39TORJones STEAL (1 STL)15
4.3%
28
95.7%
Q1 - 1:57TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
4.6%
28
95.4%
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Gaines 16' Turnaround Jump Shot15
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)15
4.8%
28
95.2%
Q1 - 2:39MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
5.3%
26
94.7%
Q1 - 2:41TORMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot15
5.4%
26
94.6%
Q1 - 2:44MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
5.7%
26
94.3%
Q1 - 2:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
5.3%
26
94.7%
Q1 - 2:48TORHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)15
5.4%
26
94.6%
Q1 - 2:50TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
5.7%
26
94.3%
Q1 - 2:51TORMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot15
5.4%
26
94.6%
Q1 - 3:05MIAJames 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)15
5.7%
26
94.3%
Q1 - 3:16MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
6.2%
24
93.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot15
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)15
6.2%
24
93.8%
Q1 - 3:49TORJames STEAL (1 STL)15
6.8%
23
93.2%
Q1 - 4:10MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)15
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
6.6%
23
93.4%
Q1 - 4:15TORAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)15
6.8%
23
93.2%
Q1 - 4:23TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Anthony 3' Layup15
7.1%
23
92.9%
Q1 - 4:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
6.6%
23
93.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
7.1%
23
92.9%
Q1 - 4:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
6.6%
23
93.4%
Q1 - 4:37TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot15
6.8%
23
93.2%
Q1 - 4:51MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)15
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 5:12TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
8.0%
21
92.0%
Q1 - 5:16TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
7.4%
21
92.6%
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot13
7.0%
21
93.0%
Q1 - 5:36MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)13
7.4%
21
92.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
8.0%
19
92.0%
Q1 - 5:57TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot13
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
8.6%
19
91.4%
Q1 - 6:27TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
9.2%
17
90.8%
Q1 - 6:27TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 212
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 6:37TORRaptors Rebound12
9.3%
17
90.7%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot12
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 6:50TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
8.6%
17
91.4%
Q1 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
7.9%
17
92.1%
Q1 - 7:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
8.0%
16
92.0%
Q1 - 7:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 7:17TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot10
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 7:31MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 7:47TORJohnson 3' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)10
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
9.9%
12
90.1%
Q1 - 8:11TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 8:11TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
8.9%
12
91.1%
Q1 - 8:14TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
8.3%
12
91.7%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup6
8.2%
12
91.8%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7.8%
12
92.2%
Q1 - 8:21TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot6
7.9%
12
92.1%
Q1 - 8:39MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
8.4%
12
91.6%
Q1 - 8:58TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
9.7%
9
90.3%
Q1 - 8:58TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 9:13MIAJames 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
9.0%
9
91.0%
Q1 - 9:28TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 9:40MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
10.3%
7
89.7%
Q1 - 9:54TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
11.1%
5
88.9%
Q1 - 9:54TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 10:03MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
10.4%
5
89.6%
Q1 - 10:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 10:18TORChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 10:33TORRaptors Rebound2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 9' Running Jump Shot2
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 10:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot2
12.3%
2
87.7%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 11:00TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot2
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 11:16MIAJames 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:38TORBargnani 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Bargnani: Tip to Calderon0
12.2%
0
87.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
20
33
61%
MIA
13
21
62%
Midrange
TOR
13
40
33%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
MIA
16
24.0
26
62%
92%
Free Throws
TOR
22
24
92%
MIA
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3058%15.0 / 26
A. Bargnani2852%14.0 / 27
J. Calderon1470%7.0 / 10
A. Johnson1478%7.0 / 9
J. Bayless750%3.5 / 7
E. Davis675%3.0 / 4
J. Wright429%2.0 / 7
S. Gaines0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3856%19.0 / 34
M. Miller3276%16.0 / 21
J. Jones1594%7.5 / 8
E. House1365%6.5 / 10
M. Chalmers10167%5.0 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas467%2.0 / 3
J. Howard450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony225%1.0 / 4
C. Arroyo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
80
+11
-11
91
MIA
80
+14
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.13 56.6%
MIA
1.28 63.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.4
TOR 113.2
MIA 129.0 +15.8
Pace
93.1
91.3
TOR 100.7 +15.9
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
TOR 14.3 +2.7
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.4%
TOR 50.0%
MIA 62.5% +12.5%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
TOR 10.7% +2.6%
MIA 13.3%
ORB %
28.3%
25.2%
TOR 20.0%
MIA 28.6% +8.6%
FTrt
29.3
36.3
TOR 29.6
MIA 32.5 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
54.1%
TOR 52.6%
MIA 64.3% +11.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
TOR 7.7% +3.4%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
TOR 1.9%
MIA 11.0% +9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.7%
TOR 56.6%
MIA 63.8% +7.2%
Rim FG%
58.9%
64.7%
TOR 60.6%
MIA 61.9% +1.3%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.2%
TOR 32.5%
MIA 39.4% +6.9%
3P %
31.6%
37.0%
TOR 62.5% +1.0%
MIA 61.5%
FT %
75.5%
76.9%
TOR 91.7% +14.8%
MIA 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
31.6%
TOR 40.7% +14.5%
MIA 26.3%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
44.9%
TOR 49.4%
MIA 41.3% +8.1%
3P Att. %
16.2%
23.5%
TOR 9.9%
MIA 32.5% +22.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points103120
Rebounds3342
Assists2027
Steals74
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals38-8142-80
At-the-Rim FG20-3313-21
Midrange FG13-4013-33
2-Point FG33-7326-54
3-Point FG5-816-26
Free Throws22-2420-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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25 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
41.6
28
52%
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
3
5-6
83%
7-21
33%
3-3
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
41.6
14
70%
5
13
2
0
2
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
36.1
30
58%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
13-24
54%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
28.4
14
78%
6
1
0
0
2
3
3
3
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
27.6
4
29%
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
30.0
7
50%
3
2
1
0
2
5
0
3
5-5
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
29.1
6
75%
10
0
0
0
0
4
3
7
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25
5.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
Sonny Weems
#24 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Reggie Evans
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
57%
33
20
7
1
11
0
8
25
22-24
92%
33-73
45%
5-8
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.