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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Suns60%10274
26Pistons40%9975
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.0
37.3
33.2
14
75%
3
8
1
1
0
5
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
54%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
33.3
37.5
8
29%
8
2
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
2-12
17%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.0
31.4
34.1
9
38%
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
7
1-2
50%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
2-6
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.3
29.9
34.9
8
29%
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-14
6-11
29%
51%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.8
14.5
15.1
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
33.4
25.2
11
74%
13
0
0
1
1
1
3
10
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
28.0
22.9
13
66%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.5
12.6
12.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
11.9
15.6
2
41%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
7.8
5.6
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-3
33%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.6
5.6
0
1-1
57%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
2.1
0
0-1
51%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.9
39.4
34.4
17
43%
13
5
1
1
0
1
3
10
1-2
50%
8-18
6-12
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.8
30.0
27.9
11
31%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-6
83%
3-13
4-10
23%
46%
0-2
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
24.3
29.3
3
30%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
23.1
35.7
6
75%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
19.3
23.9
6
43%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
28.6
15.4
11
46%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
24.9
24.1
9
51%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
24.9
14.1
0
0%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.0
21.3
16.3
12
59%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.9
4.3
7.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.9
6.7
0
1-2
47%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.4
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.