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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 22, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks47%94103
23Bobcats53%9587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
36.8
27.1
14
67%
8
4
2
1
0
0
0
8
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
35.6
34.8
16
55%
7
2
0
1
2
2
1
6
0-1
0%
8-14
5-11
57%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
34.4
34.2
32
78%
5
5
1
1
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
9-14
6-12
64%
48%
3-4
75%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
29.9
27.2
9
58%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
27.9
18.8
9
67%
8
1
2
1
0
2
1
7
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
35.4
26.8
14
46%
0
3
0
1
1
3
0
0
5-5
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-6
17%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
26.4
8.1
4
52%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
6.8
4.5
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
5.5
13.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
1.1
12.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
33.2
1
6-11
54%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
10.0
0
1-2
44%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
37.6
37.9
10
34%
1
2
0
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
0-5
5-11
0%
46%
3-9
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
36.5
37.5
7
33%
8
4
1
1
0
0
0
8
3-4
75%
2-5
4-9
40%
50%
0-4
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
34.8
34.6
12
76%
7
4
2
1
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
34.5
34.3
20
57%
1
7
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
15.8
23.4
7
102%
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
21.8
16.1
10
56%
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
17.9
18.7
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
17.6
12.6
9
65%
3
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
6.2
3.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
6.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
5.8
3.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
5.2
5.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.