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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 21, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings33%99112
20Warriors67%105119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.3
48.4
37.8
35
52%
3
5
3
2
0
6
1
2
6-10
60%
13-26
7-14
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
46.6
39.6
11
55%
4
7
3
1
0
5
0
4
7-7
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
44.0
24.1
14
47%
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
2-6
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.4
38.7
24.1
21
51%
8
5
1
1
1
4
3
5
5-8
63%
8-17
5-12
47%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.5
35.3
27.4
12
51%
12
2
1
0
1
1
5
7
2-4
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.3
21.9
20.3
10
58%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
4-6
67%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.9
12.3
13.9
4
50%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.1
9.2
13.2
5
64%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.7
6.5
21.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
2.2
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
4.3
0
1-1
46%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.2
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
49.0
40.5
28
46%
4
9
3
2
1
7
0
4
3-4
75%
11-23
8-16
48%
51%
1-6
17%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
46.1
36.0
13
51%
12
3
3
1
1
3
0
12
3-4
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-3
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
44.2
28.7
34
71%
3
3
4
1
0
4
1
2
7-7
100%
9-14
4-7
64%
50%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
42.8
34.8
22
60%
10
3
1
1
0
3
1
9
4-5
80%
9-16
6-12
56%
55%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
23.7
25.4
4
67%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
15.2
4.1
4
40%
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.0
14.3
15.3
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
11.9
16.7
2
100%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
10.1
6.3
4
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
4.8
16.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
3.0
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.