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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 21, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hornets46%93100
16Hawks54%9559
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
29.7
34.7
16
59%
3
8
3
2
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
3-8
4-9
38%
51%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.4
28.7
37.7
15
71%
8
4
0
1
0
6
4
4
7-8
88%
4-6
8-15
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
27.5
7.3
7
58%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
23.6
36.5
4
40%
12
0
1
1
0
2
0
12
0-0
-
2-5
5-8
40%
55%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
22.2
14.7
15
84%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
3-5
60%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
24.6
14.4
6
30%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-10
2-4
30%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.1
22.3
2.6
6
60%
7
2
0
0
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
21.6
16.5
11
70%
7
2
1
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.2
18.3
19.1
8
38%
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.9
15.0
10.4
5
56%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.6
6.4
1.8
7
117%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
37.8
2
3-7
47%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
34.2
21.8
5
50%
1
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
30.6
38.5
13
50%
8
0
0
2
1
5
1
7
2-2
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
50%
1-1
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
29.9
38.1
9
36%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
18.5
34.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
14.7
11.8
2
50%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
24.3
29.1
14
47%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
24.2
13.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
20.8
2.6
6
30%
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
1-7
0-1
14%
45%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
16.0
4.0
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
9.4
7.0
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
9.1
1.6
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
8.3
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.