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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 21, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors19%9772
4Magic81%109112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
30.9
36.9
16
45%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
6-16
7-14
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
28.0
35.9
0
0%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.2
26.9
37.2
11
35%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-12
7-14
17%
48%
1-2
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.0
22.6
14.8
4
29%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
15.1
5.6
0
0%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
26.5
23.5
6
43%
10
2
2
1
0
3
5
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
23.4
24.7
2
50%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
23.0
13.6
10
45%
2
3
2
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
0-4
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.8
18.2
12.4
10
51%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
15.8
30.4
11
85%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
1-1
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
57%
0-0
-
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.8
9.6
0.8
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-2
0%
1-4
0-0
25%
47%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.1
8.7
0
1-2
49%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
31.6
27.4
10
56%
9
2
1
0
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
30.3
34.9
31
58%
19
1
0
1
1
1
9
10
7-13
54%
12-21
7-12
57%
61%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
28.0
35.3
7
51%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.9
24.8
33.1
9
38%
4
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
51%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.8
24.1
34.4
6
75%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
25.8
25.5
21
64%
10
0
1
1
0
0
6
4
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
4-9
44%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
23.8
26.7
12
76%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.0
21.0
15.1
7
60%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.8
9.9
3.4
4
67%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
8.3
2.6
4
38%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
7.6
3.4
1
17%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.2
4.8
2.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.6
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.