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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 19, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors19%9695
4Spurs81%108104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
41.6
35.1
28
61%
3
1
4
1
0
5
1
2
8-9
89%
10-19
6-13
53%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
37.8
35.6
14
56%
1
8
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
2-2
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.2
37.4
38.0
14
34%
7
1
1
1
2
1
1
6
1-1
100%
5-15
7-15
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
33.4
29.4
9
39%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
1-1
100%
4-11
4-7
36%
57%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
28.5
21.0
4
35%
6
4
2
1
1
1
3
3
2-4
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
26.5
24.3
6
104%
11
2
0
1
0
0
3
8
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
21.6
7.9
10
57%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
43%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.8
11.1
13.6
10
68%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
2.1
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.0
20.2
0
3-5
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.1
10.8
0
2-3
49%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.8
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
35.9
29.8
23
60%
4
7
1
2
0
4
1
3
14-14
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
1-5
20%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.7
34.6
18.4
22
69%
11
1
1
1
1
3
8
3
0-0
-
11-16
3-6
69%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
32.8
30.8
17
50%
5
5
3
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
8-15
6-12
53%
54%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.7
32.3
30.1
10
54%
12
4
0
1
3
3
1
11
4-5
80%
3-7
6-12
43%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.6
24.0
31.0
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-2
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.7
28.4
29.2
14
60%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-6
83%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
1-4
25%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
28.1
18.5
8
57%
6
4
3
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
21.1
22.0
8
34%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-7
2-4
14%
51%
2-4
50%
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
1.9
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.0
1.0
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
56%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.8
14.2
0
1-2
51%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.