ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
---|---|---|---|
100.0 | 95 | 102.2 | |
110.6 | 94 | 87.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
Score / WinProb | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Clock | Team | Event | TOR | SAS |
Q4 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 95 0% | 104 100% | |
Q4 - 0:24.0 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Splitter BLOCK (1 BLK) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:42.0 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 104 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:42.0 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS) | 95 0.1% | 103 99.9% |
Q4 - 0:46.0 | TOR | DeRozan 3' Running Dunk (28 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST) | 95 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
Q4 - 1:02 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS) | 93 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
Q4 - 1:02 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS) | 93 0.3% | 101 99.7% |
Q4 - 1:04 | TOR | Bargnani 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST) | 93 0.5% | 100 99.5% |
Q4 - 1:15 | SAS | Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16) | 91 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
Q4 - 1:24 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 91 0.3% | 100 99.7% |
Q4 - 1:25 | SAS | MISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot | 91 0.4% | 100 99.6% |
Q4 - 1:49 | SAS | Jump Ball Duncan vs. Johnson: Tip to Hill | 91 0.5% | 100 99.5% |
Q4 - 1:50 | TOR | Duncan BLOCK (3 BLK) | 91 0.6% | 100 99.4% |
Q4 - 2:06 | SAS | Hill 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST) | 91 0.9% | 100 99.1% |
Q4 - 2:27 | TOR | Bayless 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 91 2.0% | 97 98.0% |
Q4 - 2:36 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 89 1.5% | 97 98.5% |
Q4 - 2:36 | SAS | MISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 | 89 1.6% | 96 98.4% |
Q4 - 2:39 | TOR | Parker STEAL (3 STL) | 89 1.2% | 96 98.8% |
Q4 - 2:46 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 89 2.5% | 96 97.5% |
Q4 - 2:48 | SAS | MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 2.0% | 96 98.0% |
Q4 - 3:16 | TOR | Bargnani 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST) | 89 1.6% | 96 98.4% |
Q4 - 3:26 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 87 1.2% | 96 98.8% |
Q4 - 3:28 | SAS | MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot | 87 1.0% | 96 99.0% |
Q4 - 3:50 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS) | 87 1.3% | 96 98.7% |
Q4 - 3:50 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS) | 86 1.2% | 96 98.8% |
Q4 - 3:56 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 85 0.9% | 96 99.1% |
Q4 - 3:58 | SAS | MISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot | 85 0.8% | 96 99.2% |
Q4 - 4:16 | TOR | Davis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 85 0.6% | 96 99.4% |
Q4 - 4:16 | TOR | Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 84 0.5% | 96 99.5% |
Q4 - 4:37 | SAS | Blair 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST) | 83 0.4% | 96 99.6% |
Q4 - 4:55 | TOR | Calderon 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 83 0.6% | 94 99.4% |
Q4 - 5:12 | SAS | Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST) | 80 0.5% | 94 99.5% |
Q4 - 5:33 | TOR | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 80 1.0% | 91 99.0% |
Q4 - 5:33 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 79 0.7% | 91 99.3% |
Q4 - 5:33 | TOR | Johnson 1' Layup (8 PTS) | 79 0.7% | 91 99.3% |
Q4 - 5:34 | TOR | Neal BLOCK (1 BLK) | 77 0.4% | 91 99.6% |
Q4 - 5:39 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 77 0.5% | 91 99.5% |
Q4 - 5:41 | SAS | MISS Neal 11' Step Back Jump Shot | 77 0.4% | 91 99.6% |
Q4 - 6:02 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 77 0.5% | 91 99.5% |
Q4 - 6:11 | TOR | MISS Calderon Free Throw Technical | 77 0.7% | 91 99.3% |
Q4 - 6:30 | SAS | McDyess 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Neal 1 AST) | 77 0.7% | 91 99.3% |
Q4 - 6:35 | TOR | McDyess STEAL (3 STL) | 77 1.0% | 89 99.0% |
Q4 - 6:53 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 77 1.3% | 89 98.7% |
Q4 - 6:55 | SAS | MISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 1.2% | 89 98.8% |
Q4 - 7:11 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 77 1.2% | 89 98.8% |
Q4 - 7:11 | TOR | MISS Gaines 10' Jump Shot | 77 1.4% | 89 98.6% |
Q4 - 7:23 | SAS | Hill 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST) | 77 1.7% | 89 98.3% |
Q4 - 7:45 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 77 2.1% | 87 97.9% |
Q4 - 7:45 | TOR | Davis 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS) | 77 2.1% | 87 97.9% |
Q4 - 7:47 | TOR | MISS Bayless 3' Layup | 75 1.3% | 87 98.7% |
Q4 - 8:02 | SAS | Duncan 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 1 AST) | 75 2.0% | 87 98.0% |
Q4 - 8:21 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 2.6% | 85 97.4% |
Q4 - 8:23 | TOR | MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot | 75 2.8% | 85 97.2% |
Q4 - 8:45 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS) | 75 3.3% | 85 96.7% |
Q4 - 8:45 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS) | 75 3.4% | 84 96.6% |
Q4 - 8:45 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS) | 75 3.5% | 83 96.5% |
Q4 - 9:03 | TOR | Davis 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 75 6.1% | 82 93.9% |
Q4 - 9:05 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 73 4.9% | 82 95.1% |
Q4 - 9:07 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 9' Jump Bank Shot | 73 4.1% | 82 95.9% |
Q4 - 9:24 | SAS | Neal 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST) | 73 4.8% | 82 95.2% |
Q4 - 9:39 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 73 7.6% | 79 92.4% |
Q4 - 9:41 | TOR | MISS Bayless 19' Jump Shot | 73 8.1% | 79 91.9% |
Q4 - 9:49 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 73 9.4% | 79 90.6% |
Q4 - 9:50 | SAS | MISS Blair 4' Jump Bank Shot | 73 8.8% | 79 91.2% |
Q4 - 10:02 | TOR | Gaines Foul Turnover (P2.T12) | 73 8.0% | 79 92.0% |
Q4 - 10:25 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 73 9.8% | 79 90.2% |
Q4 - 10:26 | SAS | MISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 | 73 9.5% | 79 90.5% |
Q4 - 10:26 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 73 8.2% | 79 91.8% |
Q4 - 10:43 | TOR | Bayless 2' Layup (8 PTS) | 73 9.8% | 78 90.2% |
Q4 - 10:48 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 71 8.0% | 78 92.0% |
Q4 - 10:50 | SAS | MISS Neal 15' Jump Shot | 71 7.5% | 78 92.5% |
Q4 - 10:58 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3) | 71 6.4% | 78 93.6% |
Q4 - 11:00 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot | 71 6.9% | 78 93.1% |
Q4 - 11:19 | SAS | Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST) | 71 8.3% | 78 91.7% |
Q4 - 11:37 | TOR | Gaines 1' Layup (10 PTS) | 71 12.3% | 75 87.7% |
Q4 - 11:41 | SAS | Ginobili Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15) | 69 10.1% | 75 89.9% |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 69 8.3% | 75 91.7% | |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 8.3% | 75 91.7% |
Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 8.8% | 75 91.2% |
Q3 - 0:04.0 | SAS | Blair 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST) | 69 10.4% | 75 89.6% |
Q3 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 69 12.7% | 73 87.3% |
Q3 - 0:25.0 | TOR | Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 68 12.3% | 73 87.7% |
Q3 - 0:32.0 | SAS | Parker 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 67 10.4% | 73 89.6% |
Q3 - 0:48.0 | TOR | Bayless 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST) | 67 12.7% | 71 87.3% |
Q3 - 1:00 | SAS | Blair 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 5 AST) | 65 10.4% | 71 89.6% |
Q3 - 1:13 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2) | 65 12.7% | 69 87.3% |
Q3 - 1:14 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 9' Floating Jump Shot | 65 13.3% | 69 86.7% |
Q3 - 1:34 | SAS | Parker 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 65 14.9% | 69 85.1% |
Q3 - 1:43 | SAS | McDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 65 17.8% | 67 82.2% |
Q3 - 1:45 | SAS | MISS Neal 9' Running Jump Shot | 65 19.7% | 67 80.3% |
Q3 - 1:59 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 65 17.8% | 67 82.2% |
Q3 - 1:59 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot | 65 18.6% | 67 81.4% |
Q3 - 2:15 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 65 20.2% | 67 79.8% |
Q3 - 2:15 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 65 20.6% | 66 79.4% |
Q3 - 2:24 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 65 23.5% | 65 76.5% |
Q3 - 2:26 | TOR | MISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot | 65 24.5% | 65 75.5% |
Q3 - 2:44 | SAS | McDyess 1' Dunk (6 PTS) | 65 27.0% | 65 73.0% |
Q3 - 2:56 | TOR | McDyess STEAL (2 STL) | 65 31.0% | 63 69.0% |
Q3 - 3:11 | SAS | Hill 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 65 33.6% | 63 66.4% |
Q3 - 3:31 | TOR | McDyess STEAL (1 STL) | 65 37.6% | 61 62.4% |
Q3 - 3:51 | SAS | McDyess 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST) | 65 42.2% | 61 57.8% |
Q3 - 4:05 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 65 44.9% | 59 55.1% |
Q3 - 4:05 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS) | 64 44.0% | 59 56.0% |
Q3 - 4:19 | TOR | Calderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 63 41.4% | 59 58.6% |
Q3 - 4:21 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1) | 63 36.5% | 59 63.5% |
Q3 - 4:21 | SAS | MISS Blair 2' Tip Shot | 63 39.9% | 59 60.1% |
Q3 - 4:23 | SAS | MISS Blair 3' Layup | 63 39.9% | 59 60.1% |
Q3 - 4:24 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1) | 63 36.5% | 59 63.5% |
Q3 - 4:26 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot | 63 39.9% | 59 60.1% |
Q3 - 4:37 | TOR | DeRozan 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST) | 63 36.5% | 59 63.5% |
Q3 - 4:53 | SAS | Parker 1' Layup (12 PTS) | 61 33.2% | 59 66.8% |
Q3 - 4:58 | TOR | Parker STEAL (2 STL) | 61 36.6% | 57 63.4% |
Q3 - 5:06 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 61 39.7% | 57 60.3% |
Q3 - 5:07 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot | 61 38.4% | 57 61.6% |
Q3 - 5:18 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 61 35.4% | 57 64.6% |
Q3 - 5:20 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot | 61 38.5% | 57 61.5% |
Q3 - 5:39 | TOR | Calderon 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Wright 4 AST) | 61 35.5% | 57 64.5% |
Q3 - 5:42 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 59 32.2% | 57 67.8% |
Q3 - 5:44 | TOR | MISS Calderon 14' Jump Shot | 59 29.4% | 57 70.6% |
Q3 - 5:52 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 59 32.2% | 57 67.8% |
Q3 - 5:56 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 59 28.2% | 57 71.8% |
Q3 - 5:58 | TOR | MISS Wright 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 59 29.4% | 57 70.6% |
Q3 - 6:20 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 59 30.9% | 57 69.1% |
Q3 - 6:21 | SAS | MISS Parker 14' Jump Shot | 59 29.7% | 57 70.3% |
Q3 - 6:46 | TOR | Calderon 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 59 27.3% | 57 72.7% |
Q3 - 7:04 | SAS | Blair 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST) | 57 23.6% | 57 76.4% |
Q3 - 7:09 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 57 26.4% | 55 73.6% |
Q3 - 7:11 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot | 57 27.4% | 55 72.6% |
Q3 - 7:35 | SAS | Blair 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST) | 57 29.7% | 55 70.3% |
Q3 - 7:50 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 32.9% | 53 67.1% |
Q3 - 7:51 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 5' Jump Shot | 57 34.0% | 53 66.0% |
Q3 - 8:04 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 57 35.8% | 53 64.2% |
Q3 - 8:22 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 57 42.8% | 50 57.2% |
Q3 - 8:22 | TOR | Wright 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 57 42.8% | 50 57.2% |
Q3 - 8:24 | TOR | Duncan BLOCK (2 BLK) | 55 36.7% | 50 63.3% |
Q3 - 8:35 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 55 39.4% | 50 60.6% |
Q3 - 8:36 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup | 55 38.2% | 50 61.8% |
Q3 - 8:48 | TOR | Calderon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 55 35.6% | 50 64.4% |
Q3 - 9:07 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1) | 55 38.1% | 50 61.9% |
Q3 - 9:07 | SAS | Blair 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS) | 55 38.1% | 50 61.9% |
Q3 - 9:08 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 2' Reverse Layup | 55 44.2% | 48 55.8% |
Q3 - 9:20 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 55 41.7% | 48 58.3% |
Q3 - 9:21 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 9' Jump Shot | 55 42.8% | 48 57.2% |
Q3 - 9:38 | SAS | Blair 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 55 45.4% | 48 54.6% |
Q3 - 9:52 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 55 49.0% | 46 51.0% |
Q3 - 9:53 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 50.2% | 46 49.8% |
Q3 - 10:08 | SAS | Parker 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 55 50.7% | 46 49.3% |
Q3 - 10:25 | TOR | Johnson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST) | 55 54.2% | 44 45.8% |
Q3 - 10:45 | SAS | Blair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13) | 53 50.9% | 44 49.1% |
Q3 - 10:52 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 53 47.2% | 44 52.8% |
Q3 - 10:54 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot | 53 48.3% | 44 51.7% |
Q3 - 11:13 | SAS | Duncan 13' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 53 49.2% | 44 50.8% |
Q3 - 11:35 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 53 52.5% | 42 47.5% |
Q3 - 11:37 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 7' Jump Bank Shot | 53 53.6% | 42 46.4% |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 53 56.2% | 42 43.8% | |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 53 56.2% | 42 43.8% |
Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 24' Jump Shot | 53 55.1% | 42 44.9% |
Q2 - 0:06.0 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 53 51.3% | 42 48.7% |
Q2 - 0:07.0 | SAS | MISS McDyess 2' Reverse Dunk | 53 53.1% | 42 46.9% |
Q2 - 0:29.0 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 51.4% | 42 48.6% |
Q2 - 0:30.0 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 8' Jump Shot | 53 52.2% | 42 47.8% |
Q2 - 0:34.0 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 53 54.0% | 42 46.0% |
Q2 - 0:36.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 53.2% | 42 46.8% |
Q2 - 0:48.0 | TOR | Bargnani 1' Running Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wright 3 AST) | 53 51.4% | 42 48.6% |
Q2 - 1:04 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 51 46.1% | 42 53.9% |
Q2 - 1:04 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 51 46.5% | 41 53.5% |
Q2 - 1:04 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 50.2% | 40 49.8% |
Q2 - 1:05 | SAS | MISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 51.9% | 40 48.1% |
Q2 - 1:22 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 50.3% | 40 49.7% |
Q2 - 1:22 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Layup (20 PTS) | 51 50.3% | 40 49.7% |
Q2 - 1:24 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 49 46.1% | 40 53.9% |
Q2 - 1:24 | TOR | MISS Johnson 2' Layup | 49 44.5% | 40 55.5% |
Q2 - 1:27 | TOR | MISS Johnson 2' Layup | 49 44.5% | 40 55.5% |
Q2 - 1:32 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 49 46.1% | 40 53.9% |
Q2 - 1:34 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Layup | 49 45.4% | 40 54.6% |
Q2 - 1:39 | TOR | Parker STEAL (1 STL) | 49 43.8% | 40 56.2% |
Q2 - 1:54 | SAS | McDyess 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST) | 49 46.2% | 40 53.8% |
Q2 - 2:14 | TOR | Johnson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST) | 49 48.5% | 38 51.5% |
Q2 - 2:25 | SAS | Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12) | 47 45.5% | 38 54.5% |
Q2 - 2:38 | TOR | Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 47 42.3% | 38 57.7% |
Q2 - 2:38 | TOR | Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 46 41.2% | 38 58.8% |
Q2 - 2:38 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 45 39.3% | 38 60.7% |
Q2 - 2:40 | SAS | MISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot | 45 38.3% | 38 61.7% |
Q2 - 2:53 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 45 36.3% | 38 63.7% |
Q2 - 2:56 | SAS | Parker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 42 30.6% | 38 69.4% |
Q2 - 3:15 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 42 27.0% | 38 73.0% |
Q2 - 3:15 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 41 26.5% | 38 73.5% |
Q2 - 3:28 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 40 25.1% | 38 74.9% |
Q2 - 3:28 | SAS | Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 40 25.4% | 37 74.6% |
Q2 - 3:41 | TOR | DeRozan 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST) | 40 27.0% | 36 73.0% |
Q2 - 3:50 | SAS | Jefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 38 25.1% | 36 74.9% |
Q2 - 3:56 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 38 22.4% | 36 77.6% |
Q2 - 3:58 | SAS | MISS Parker 4' Jump Shot | 38 24.3% | 36 75.7% |
Q2 - 4:14 | TOR | Calderon 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 38 21.9% | 36 78.1% |
Q2 - 4:22 | SAS | Blair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 36 20.1% | 36 79.9% |
Q2 - 4:25 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 36 18.1% | 36 81.9% |
Q2 - 4:26 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot | 36 18.7% | 36 81.3% |
Q2 - 4:38 | SAS | Parker 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 36 20.1% | 36 79.9% |
Q2 - 4:43 | SAS | Owens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 36 21.9% | 34 78.1% |
Q2 - 4:45 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot | 36 22.6% | 34 77.4% |
Q2 - 5:01 | SAS | Parker 2' Layup (6 PTS) | 36 23.8% | 34 76.2% |
Q2 - 5:06 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 36 26.0% | 32 74.0% |
Q2 - 5:07 | TOR | MISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 | 36 26.3% | 32 73.7% |
Q2 - 5:07 | TOR | MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 | 36 27.6% | 32 72.4% |
Q2 - 5:17 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 36 28.4% | 32 71.6% |
Q2 - 5:19 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 36 26.7% | 32 73.3% |
Q2 - 5:41 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 36 28.4% | 32 71.6% |
Q2 - 5:43 | SAS | MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot | 36 27.7% | 32 72.3% |
Q2 - 6:01 | TOR | Gaines Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 36 25.5% | 32 74.5% |
Q2 - 6:12 | SAS | Parker 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 33 21.7% | 32 78.3% |
Q2 - 6:24 | TOR | Gaines Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 33 23.4% | 30 76.6% |
Q2 - 6:24 | TOR | MISS Gaines Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 22.9% | 30 77.1% |
Q2 - 7:00 | SAS | Hill 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 32 23.7% | 30 76.3% |
Q2 - 7:13 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0) | 32 25.0% | 28 75.0% |
Q2 - 7:15 | SAS | MISS Blair 10' Jump Shot | 32 26.5% | 28 73.5% |
Q2 - 7:21 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 32 25.0% | 28 75.0% |
Q2 - 7:23 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 25.6% | 28 74.4% |
Q2 - 7:41 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 32 27.3% | 28 72.7% |
Q2 - 7:43 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 26.6% | 28 73.4% |
Q2 - 7:59 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 25.0% | 28 75.0% |
Q2 - 8:00 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot | 32 25.7% | 28 74.3% |
Q2 - 8:17 | SAS | Blair 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST) | 32 26.6% | 28 73.4% |
Q2 - 8:42 | TOR | Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST) | 32 28.7% | 26 71.3% |
Q2 - 9:08 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 29 24.0% | 26 76.0% |
Q2 - 9:15 | SAS | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 29 25.9% | 24 74.1% |
Q2 - 9:17 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot | 29 26.5% | 24 73.5% |
Q2 - 9:30 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 29 28.1% | 24 71.9% |
Q2 - 9:31 | TOR | MISS Gaines 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 26.6% | 24 73.4% |
Q2 - 9:53 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST) | 29 28.1% | 24 71.9% |
Q2 - 10:13 | TOR | Gaines 8' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 29 29.8% | 22 70.2% |
Q2 - 10:20 | SAS | Jefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8) | 27 27.9% | 22 72.1% |
Q2 - 10:37 | TOR | Gaines Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 27 25.7% | 22 74.3% |
Q2 - 10:52 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 27.9% | 22 72.1% |
Q2 - 10:54 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 27.2% | 22 72.8% |
Q2 - 10:58 | SAS | McDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 27 25.7% | 22 74.3% |
Q2 - 11:00 | SAS | MISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot | 27 27.2% | 22 72.8% |
Q2 - 11:24 | TOR | Gaines 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST) | 27 25.6% | 22 74.4% |
Q2 - 11:29 | SAS | McDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 25 23.8% | 22 76.2% |
Q2 - 11:48 | TOR | DeRozan 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 25 22.0% | 22 78.0% |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 23 20.4% | 22 79.6% | |
Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Ginobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6) | 23 20.4% | 22 79.6% |
Q1 - 0:02.0 | TOR | Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 23 18.6% | 22 81.4% |
Q1 - 0:02.0 | TOR | Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 22 18.3% | 22 81.7% |
Q1 - 0:12.0 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 21 16.9% | 22 83.1% |
Q1 - 0:14.0 | SAS | MISS Hill 15' Jump Shot | 21 16.6% | 22 83.4% |
Q1 - 0:31.0 | TOR | DeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 21 15.8% | 22 84.2% |
Q1 - 0:44.0 | TOR | Dorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 14.4% | 22 85.6% |
Q1 - 0:45.0 | SAS | MISS Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 19 14.2% | 22 85.8% |
Q1 - 0:45.0 | SAS | MISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 | 19 13.4% | 22 86.6% |
Q1 - 0:51.0 | SAS | McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 19 13.4% | 22 86.6% |
Q1 - 0:54.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot | 19 13.7% | 22 86.3% |
Q1 - 1:07 | SAS | Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 19 14.2% | 22 85.8% |
Q1 - 1:27 | TOR | Bayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 19 13.4% | 22 86.6% |
Q1 - 1:47 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 19 14.2% | 22 85.8% |
Q1 - 1:47 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 19 14.4% | 21 85.6% |
Q1 - 1:52 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 19 15.8% | 20 84.2% |
Q1 - 1:54 | TOR | MISS Dorsey 4' Driving Jump Shot | 19 16.1% | 20 83.9% |
Q1 - 2:04 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 19 16.9% | 20 83.1% |
Q1 - 2:06 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 | 19 16.7% | 20 83.3% |
Q1 - 2:06 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 19 16.0% | 20 84.0% |
Q1 - 2:13 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 17.0% | 19 83.0% |
Q1 - 2:15 | TOR | MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot | 19 17.4% | 19 82.6% |
Q1 - 2:29 | SAS | Neal 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 19 18.2% | 19 81.8% |
Q1 - 2:43 | SAS | Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 19.8% | 17 80.2% |
Q1 - 2:45 | SAS | MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot | 19 20.7% | 17 79.3% |
Q1 - 3:03 | TOR | Bayless Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 19 19.3% | 17 80.7% |
Q1 - 3:06 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 19 20.9% | 17 79.1% |
Q1 - 3:08 | SAS | MISS Hill 7' Jump Shot | 19 20.4% | 17 79.6% |
Q1 - 3:21 | TOR | Johnson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 19 19.4% | 17 80.6% |
Q1 - 3:33 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 17 18.1% | 17 81.9% |
Q1 - 3:35 | SAS | MISS Neal 19' Jump Shot | 17 17.6% | 17 82.4% |
Q1 - 3:48 | TOR | DeRozan 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 17 16.7% | 17 83.3% |
Q1 - 3:54 | SAS | McDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 15 15.5% | 17 84.5% |
Q1 - 3:56 | SAS | McDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 15 14.3% | 17 85.7% |
Q1 - 3:58 | SAS | MISS Neal 17' Jump Shot | 15 15.1% | 17 84.9% |
Q1 - 4:13 | TOR | DeRozan 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 15 13.9% | 17 86.1% |
Q1 - 4:27 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 13 13.0% | 17 87.0% |
Q1 - 4:27 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 13 13.3% | 16 86.7% |
Q1 - 4:37 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 13 14.0% | 15 86.0% |
Q1 - 4:39 | TOR | MISS Calderon 2' Layup | 13 14.3% | 15 85.7% |
Q1 - 4:54 | TOR | Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 15.2% | 15 84.8% |
Q1 - 4:55 | SAS | MISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot | 13 14.8% | 15 85.2% |
Q1 - 5:13 | SAS | McDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 13 14.0% | 15 86.0% |
Q1 - 5:15 | TOR | MISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot | 13 14.4% | 15 85.6% |
Q1 - 5:18 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 13 15.2% | 15 84.8% |
Q1 - 5:18 | TOR | Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK) | 13 14.4% | 15 85.6% |
Q1 - 5:24 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 13 15.2% | 15 84.8% |
Q1 - 5:26 | SAS | MISS Neal 5' Running Jump Shot | 13 14.8% | 15 85.2% |
Q1 - 5:41 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 13 14.0% | 15 86.0% |
Q1 - 5:46 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 12.2% | 15 87.8% |
Q1 - 5:48 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 10 11.2% | 15 88.8% |
Q1 - 5:48 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 1' Putback Layup | 10 11.9% | 15 88.1% |
Q1 - 5:49 | SAS | MISS Parker 1' Layup | 10 11.9% | 15 88.1% |
Q1 - 5:53 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 11.2% | 15 88.8% |
Q1 - 5:54 | TOR | MISS Calderon 3' Layup | 10 11.5% | 15 88.5% |
Q1 - 6:01 | SAS | Ginobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 10 12.0% | 15 88.0% |
Q1 - 6:19 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 10 11.1% | 15 88.9% |
Q1 - 6:19 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 | 9 11.0% | 15 89.0% |
Q1 - 6:23 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 11.2% | 15 88.8% |
Q1 - 6:25 | SAS | MISS Parker 3' Layup | 9 10.9% | 15 89.1% |
Q1 - 6:40 | TOR | Wright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 9 10.3% | 15 89.7% |
Q1 - 6:41 | TOR | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 9 11.2% | 15 88.8% |
Q1 - 6:43 | TOR | MISS Wright 6' Jump Shot | 9 10.6% | 15 89.4% |
Q1 - 6:50 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 9 11.2% | 15 88.8% |
Q1 - 6:52 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot | 9 10.9% | 15 89.1% |
Q1 - 7:15 | TOR | DeRozan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 9 10.3% | 15 89.7% |
Q1 - 7:26 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 7 9.6% | 15 90.4% |
Q1 - 7:29 | TOR | Ginobili STEAL (1 STL) | 7 11.0% | 12 89.0% |
Q1 - 7:39 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 11.9% | 12 88.1% |
Q1 - 7:41 | SAS | MISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot | 7 11.7% | 12 88.3% |
Q1 - 8:03 | TOR | Bargnani 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 7 11.0% | 12 89.0% |
Q1 - 8:17 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 5 10.2% | 12 89.8% |
Q1 - 8:17 | SAS | Blair 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS) | 5 10.2% | 12 89.8% |
Q1 - 8:18 | SAS | MISS Blair 4' Jump Shot | 5 11.5% | 10 88.5% |
Q1 - 8:20 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 5 11.0% | 10 89.0% |
Q1 - 8:22 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot | 5 11.5% | 10 88.5% |
Q1 - 8:26 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 11.0% | 10 89.0% |
Q1 - 8:29 | TOR | MISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot | 5 11.2% | 10 88.8% |
Q1 - 8:37 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 5 11.8% | 10 88.2% |
Q1 - 8:46 | TOR | Calderon 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 5 11.0% | 10 89.0% |
Q1 - 8:54 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 3 10.2% | 10 89.8% |
Q1 - 8:55 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Driving Layup | 3 10.0% | 10 90.0% |
Q1 - 9:06 | TOR | Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 3 9.7% | 10 90.3% |
Q1 - 9:10 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 8.4% | 10 91.6% |
Q1 - 9:12 | TOR | Blair BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 8.0% | 10 92.0% |
Q1 - 9:28 | SAS | Parker 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 0 8.4% | 10 91.6% |
Q1 - 9:39 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 0 9.0% | 8 91.0% |
Q1 - 9:42 | TOR | MISS Wright 10' Jump Shot | 0 9.2% | 8 90.8% |
Q1 - 9:51 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 9.6% | 8 90.4% |
Q1 - 9:51 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 9.7% | 7 90.3% |
Q1 - 9:59 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 10.3% | 6 89.7% |
Q1 - 10:02 | TOR | MISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot | 0 10.7% | 6 89.3% |
Q1 - 10:11 | SAS | Blair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 11.3% | 6 88.7% |
Q1 - 10:22 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 10.5% | 6 89.5% |
Q1 - 10:24 | TOR | MISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot | 0 10.7% | 6 89.3% |
Q1 - 10:47 | SAS | Blair 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST) | 0 11.3% | 6 88.7% |
Q1 - 10:53 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 11.9% | 4 88.1% |
Q1 - 10:56 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot | 0 12.2% | 4 87.8% |
Q1 - 11:15 | SAS | Jefferson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST) | 0 12.6% | 4 87.4% |
Q1 - 11:20 | TOR | Blair STEAL (1 STL) | 0 13.4% | 2 86.6% |
Q1 - 11:33 | SAS | Blair 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST) | 0 14.2% | 2 85.8% |
Q1 - 11:41 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 15.1% | 0 84.9% |
Q1 - 11:43 | SAS | MISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 0 15.6% | 0 84.4% |
Q1 - 12:00 | SAS | Jump Ball Duncan vs. Bargnani: Tip to Parker | 0 15.1% | 0 84.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
Scoring by Shot Type
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
D. DeRozan | 28 | 61% | 14.0 / 23 | |
J. Calderon | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
A. Bargnani | 14 | 35% | 7.0 / 20 | |
J. Bayless | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
S. Gaines | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
A. Johnson | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
E. Davis | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
J. Wright | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
J. Dorsey | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
Total Points
|PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
---|---|---|---|---|
M. Ginobili | 23 | 64% | 11.5 / 18 | |
D. Blair | 22 | 69% | 11.0 / 16 | |
T. Parker | 17 | 50% | 8.5 / 17 | |
G. Hill | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
T. Duncan | 10 | 56% | 5.0 / 9 | |
A. McDyess | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
G. Neal | 8 | 33% | 4.0 / 12 | |
R. Jefferson | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 |
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
Scoring Efficiency
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
Efficiency | 105.9 111.5 | TOR 100.0 SAS 110.6 +10.6 |
Pace | 93.1 92.7 | TOR 102.2 +14.3 SAS 87.8 |
Avg. Poss. Time | 15.1 15.7 | TOR 14.1 +2.3 SAS 16.4 |
Four Factors | This Game | |
EFG % | 49.1% 52.7% | TOR 45.7% SAS 48.2% +2.5% |
TO % | 15.0% 13.8% | TOR 13.9% +1.2% SAS 15.1% |
ORB % | 28.3% 25.0% | TOR 25.6% SAS 38.6% +13.0% |
FTrt | 29.3 29.9 | TOR 30.5 SAS 34.9 +4.4 |
Misc. Stats | This Game | |
AST % | 57.1% 58.3% | TOR 55.6% SAS 60.5% +4.9% |
STL % | 7.6% 7.9% | TOR 11.6% +3.1% SAS 8.5% |
BLK % | 6.7% 6.7% | TOR 4.5% SAS 8.1% +3.6% |
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
---|---|---|
Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
TS% | 52.1% 55.3% | TOR 49.5% SAS 53.1% +3.6% |
Rim FG% | 58.9% 60.3% | TOR 61.8% SAS 64.3% +2.5% |
Mid FG% | 41.2% 41.6% | TOR 30.0% +2.0% SAS 28.0% |
3P % | 31.6% 39.7% | TOR 37.5% +12.5% SAS 25.0% |
FT % | 75.5% 76.7% | TOR 80.0% SAS 82.8% +2.8% |
Shot Distribution | This Game | |
Rim Att. % | 39.1% 34.3% | TOR 41.5% SAS 50.6% +9.1% |
Mid Att. % | 44.7% 39.7% | TOR 48.8% SAS 30.1% +18.7% |
3P Att. % | 16.2% 26.1% | TOR 9.8% SAS 19.3% +9.5% |
Game Totals | TOR | SAS |
---|---|---|
Possessions | 95 | 94 |
Possession Minutes | 22.3 | 25.7 |
Points | 95 | 104 |
Rebounds | 38 | 49 |
Assists | 20 | 23 |
Steals | 11 | 8 |
Blocks | 3 | 6 |
Turnovers (Team) | 15 (0) | 16 (1) |
Fouls | ||
Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (1) | 17 (0) |
Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (4) | 32 (3) |
Field Goals | 36-82 | 38-83 |
At-the-Rim FG | 21-34 | 27-42 |
Midrange FG | 12-40 | 7-25 |
2-Point FG | 33-74 | 34-67 |
3-Point FG | 3-8 | 4-16 |
Free Throws | 20-25 | 24-29 |
Fast Break Pts | ||
2nd Chance Pts | ||
Points in Paint | ||
Pts off Turnovers | ||
Bench Points | ||
Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.