FinalWin Prob.pScore
2419%96
95
481%108
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
100.095102.2
SAS logo SAS
110.69487.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR95
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORDeRozan 3' Running Dunk (28 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)95
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:04TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)93
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:15SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)91
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)91
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot91
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:49SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Johnson: Tip to Hill91
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:50TORDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)91
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 2:06SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)91
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 2:27TORBayless 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)91
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 2:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 2:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 289
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 2:39TORParker STEAL (3 STL)89
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 2:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 2:48SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 3:16TORBargnani 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)89
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 3:26TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 3:28SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot87
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 3:50TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)87
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 3:50TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)86
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 3:56TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 3:58SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot85
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:16TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:16TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:37SASBlair 4' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:55TORCalderon 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)83
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 5:12SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)80
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 5:33TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)80
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 5:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 5:33TORJohnson 1' Layup (8 PTS)79
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 5:34TORNeal BLOCK (1 BLK)77
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 5:39TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Neal 11' Step Back Jump Shot77
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 6:02TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)77
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 6:11TORMISS Calderon Free Throw Technical77
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:30SASMcDyess 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)77
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:35TORMcDyess STEAL (3 STL)77
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 6:53TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 6:55SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 7:11SASSPURS Rebound77
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 7:11TORMISS Gaines 10' Jump Shot77
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 7:23SASHill 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST)77
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 7:45TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 7:45TORDavis 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)77
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 7:47TORMISS Bayless 3' Layup75
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q4 - 8:02SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)75
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 8:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 8:23TORMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot75
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 8:45SASGinobili Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)75
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 8:45SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)75
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q4 - 8:45SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)75
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 9:03TORDavis 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 9:05TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 9:07TORMISS Bargnani 9' Jump Bank Shot73
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q4 - 9:24SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)73
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 9:39SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q4 - 9:41TORMISS Bayless 19' Jump Shot73
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q4 - 9:49TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q4 - 9:50SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Bank Shot73
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q4 - 10:02TORGaines Foul Turnover (P2.T12)73
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 10:25TORWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 10:26SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 273
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q4 - 10:26SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 10:43TORBayless 2' Layup (8 PTS)73
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 10:48TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q4 - 10:50SASMISS Neal 15' Jump Shot71
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q4 - 10:58SASBlair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)71
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 11:00TORMISS Bargnani 17' Jump Shot71
6.9%
78
93.1%
Q4 - 11:19SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)71
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q4 - 11:37TORGaines 1' Layup (10 PTS)71
12.3%
75
87.7%
Q4 - 11:41SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)69
10.1%
75
89.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS69
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
8.8%
75
91.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASBlair 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)69
10.4%
75
89.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASParker 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORBayless 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)67
12.7%
71
87.3%
Q3 - 1:00SASBlair 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)65
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 1:13SASBlair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2)65
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 1:14TORMISS Bargnani 9' Floating Jump Shot65
13.3%
69
86.7%
Q3 - 1:34SASParker 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)65
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 1:43SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
17.8%
67
82.2%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Neal 9' Running Jump Shot65
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q3 - 1:59SASSPURS Rebound65
17.8%
67
82.2%
Q3 - 1:59TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot65
18.6%
67
81.4%
Q3 - 2:15SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q3 - 2:15SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
20.6%
66
79.4%
Q3 - 2:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
23.5%
65
76.5%
Q3 - 2:26TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot65
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q3 - 2:44SASMcDyess 1' Dunk (6 PTS)65
27.0%
65
73.0%
Q3 - 2:56TORMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)65
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 3:11SASHill 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)65
33.6%
63
66.4%
Q3 - 3:31TORMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)65
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 3:51SASMcDyess 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)65
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q3 - 4:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)65
44.9%
59
55.1%
Q3 - 4:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)64
44.0%
59
56.0%
Q3 - 4:19TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 4:21SASBlair REBOUND (Off:8 Def:1)63
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 4:21SASMISS Blair 2' Tip Shot63
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Blair 3' Layup63
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q3 - 4:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)63
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot63
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q3 - 4:37TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)63
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 4:53SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)61
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 4:58TORParker STEAL (2 STL)61
36.6%
57
63.4%
Q3 - 5:06TORWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 5:07SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot61
38.4%
57
61.6%
Q3 - 5:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 5:20SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot61
38.5%
57
61.5%
Q3 - 5:39TORCalderon 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)61
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 5:42TORWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 5:44TORMISS Calderon 14' Jump Shot59
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q3 - 5:52SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)59
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)59
28.2%
57
71.8%
Q3 - 5:58TORMISS Wright 7' Turnaround Jump Shot59
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q3 - 6:20TORRaptors Rebound59
30.9%
57
69.1%
Q3 - 6:21SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot59
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q3 - 6:46TORCalderon 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q3 - 7:04SASBlair 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)57
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q3 - 7:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
26.4%
55
73.6%
Q3 - 7:11TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot57
27.4%
55
72.6%
Q3 - 7:35SASBlair 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)57
29.7%
55
70.3%
Q3 - 7:50SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
32.9%
53
67.1%
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS DeRozan 5' Jump Shot57
34.0%
53
66.0%
Q3 - 8:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)57
35.8%
53
64.2%
Q3 - 8:22TORWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
42.8%
50
57.2%
Q3 - 8:22TORWright 1' Layup (4 PTS)57
42.8%
50
57.2%
Q3 - 8:24TORDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)55
36.7%
50
63.3%
Q3 - 8:35TORRaptors Rebound55
39.4%
50
60.6%
Q3 - 8:36SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup55
38.2%
50
61.8%
Q3 - 8:48TORCalderon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q3 - 9:07SASBlair REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)55
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q3 - 9:07SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)55
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q3 - 9:08SASMISS Ginobili 2' Reverse Layup55
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)55
41.7%
48
58.3%
Q3 - 9:21TORMISS DeRozan 9' Jump Shot55
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q3 - 9:38SASBlair 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)55
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q3 - 9:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
49.0%
46
51.0%
Q3 - 9:53TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
50.2%
46
49.8%
Q3 - 10:08SASParker 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
50.7%
46
49.3%
Q3 - 10:25TORJohnson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)55
54.2%
44
45.8%
Q3 - 10:45SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)53
50.9%
44
49.1%
Q3 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
47.2%
44
52.8%
Q3 - 10:54TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot53
48.3%
44
51.7%
Q3 - 11:13SASDuncan 13' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)53
49.2%
44
50.8%
Q3 - 11:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q3 - 11:37TORMISS DeRozan 7' Jump Bank Shot53
53.6%
42
46.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR53
56.2%
42
43.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
56.2%
42
43.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' Jump Shot53
55.1%
42
44.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
51.3%
42
48.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS McDyess 2' Reverse Dunk53
53.1%
42
46.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
51.4%
42
48.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORMISS Bargnani 8' Jump Shot53
52.2%
42
47.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
54.0%
42
46.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
53.2%
42
46.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0TORBargnani 1' Running Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)53
51.4%
42
48.6%
Q2 - 1:04SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
46.1%
42
53.9%
Q2 - 1:04SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
46.5%
41
53.5%
Q2 - 1:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q2 - 1:22TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 1:22TORDeRozan 1' Layup (20 PTS)51
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 1:24TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
46.1%
40
53.9%
Q2 - 1:24TORMISS Johnson 2' Layup49
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 1:27TORMISS Johnson 2' Layup49
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q2 - 1:32TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
46.1%
40
53.9%
Q2 - 1:34SASMISS Parker 2' Layup49
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 1:39TORParker STEAL (1 STL)49
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 1:54SASMcDyess 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)49
46.2%
40
53.8%
Q2 - 2:14TORJohnson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)49
48.5%
38
51.5%
Q2 - 2:25SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)47
45.5%
38
54.5%
Q2 - 2:38TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
42.3%
38
57.7%
Q2 - 2:38TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 2:38TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 2:40SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot45
38.3%
38
61.7%
Q2 - 2:53TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)45
36.3%
38
63.7%
Q2 - 2:56SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)42
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 3:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)42
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 3:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)41
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 3:28SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 3:28SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 3:41TORDeRozan 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)40
27.0%
36
73.0%
Q2 - 3:50SASJefferson Foul Turnover (P2.T10)38
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 3:56SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)38
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot38
24.3%
36
75.7%
Q2 - 4:14TORCalderon 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)38
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 4:22SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
20.1%
36
79.9%
Q2 - 4:25SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)36
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 4:26TORMISS Bargnani 14' Jump Shot36
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 4:38SASParker 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
20.1%
36
79.9%
Q2 - 4:43SASOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 4:45TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot36
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 5:01SASParker 2' Layup (6 PTS)36
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 5:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 5:07TORMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 236
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 5:07TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 236
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q2 - 5:17TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 5:19TORMISS Bargnani 10' Turnaround Jump Shot36
26.7%
32
73.3%
Q2 - 5:41TORRaptors Rebound36
28.4%
32
71.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot36
27.7%
32
72.3%
Q2 - 6:01TORGaines Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
25.5%
32
74.5%
Q2 - 6:12SASParker 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 6:24TORGaines Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 6:24TORMISS Gaines Free Throw 1 of 232
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 7:00SASHill 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q2 - 7:13SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)32
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q2 - 7:15SASMISS Blair 10' Jump Shot32
26.5%
28
73.5%
Q2 - 7:21SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q2 - 7:23TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q2 - 7:41TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 7:59SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q2 - 8:00TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot32
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 8:17SASBlair 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)32
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 8:42TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)32
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 9:08SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)29
24.0%
26
76.0%
Q2 - 9:15SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q2 - 9:17TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot29
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q2 - 9:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q2 - 9:31TORMISS Gaines 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
26.6%
24
73.4%
Q2 - 9:53SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)29
28.1%
24
71.9%
Q2 - 10:13TORGaines 8' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)29
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 10:20SASJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)27
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q2 - 10:37TORGaines Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q2 - 10:52TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q2 - 10:54SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q2 - 10:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q2 - 11:00SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot27
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q2 - 11:24TORGaines 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)27
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q2 - 11:29SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q2 - 11:48TORDeRozan 2' Dunk (11 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)25
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)23
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0SASMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot21
16.6%
22
83.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORDeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
15.8%
22
84.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Neal Free Throw 2 of 219
14.2%
22
85.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 219
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot19
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 1:07SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
14.2%
22
85.8%
Q1 - 1:27TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 1:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
14.2%
22
85.8%
Q1 - 1:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 1:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 1:54TORMISS Dorsey 4' Driving Jump Shot19
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 2:04TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 2:06SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 219
16.7%
20
83.3%
Q1 - 2:06SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 2:13SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 2:15TORMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot19
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 2:29SASNeal 4' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)19
18.2%
19
81.8%
Q1 - 2:43SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 2:45SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot19
20.7%
17
79.3%
Q1 - 3:03TORBayless Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)19
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 3:06TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 3:08SASMISS Hill 7' Jump Shot19
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 3:21TORJohnson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)19
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 3:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 3:35SASMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot17
17.6%
17
82.4%
Q1 - 3:48TORDeRozan 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)17
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 3:54SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 3:56SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 3:58SASMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot15
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 4:13TORDeRozan 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
13.9%
17
86.1%
Q1 - 4:27SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
13.0%
17
87.0%
Q1 - 4:27SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
13.3%
16
86.7%
Q1 - 4:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 4:39TORMISS Calderon 2' Layup13
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:54TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 4:55SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot13
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 5:13SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 5:15TORMISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot13
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 5:18TORRaptors Rebound13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:18TORDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)13
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 5:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 5:26SASMISS Neal 5' Running Jump Shot13
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 5:41TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 5:46TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:48SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 5:48SASMISS Jefferson 1' Putback Layup10
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 5:49SASMISS Parker 1' Layup10
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 5:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 5:54TORMISS Calderon 3' Layup10
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 6:01SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
12.0%
15
88.0%
Q1 - 6:19TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 6:19TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 29
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 6:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 6:25SASMISS Parker 3' Layup9
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 6:40TORWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 6:41TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 6:43TORMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot9
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 6:50TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot9
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 7:15TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)9
10.3%
15
89.7%
Q1 - 7:26SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 7:29TORGinobili STEAL (1 STL)7
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 7:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 7:41SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot7
11.7%
12
88.3%
Q1 - 8:03TORBargnani 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
11.0%
12
89.0%
Q1 - 8:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:17SASBlair 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)5
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 8:18SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot5
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:22SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot5
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:29TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot5
11.2%
10
88.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
11.8%
10
88.2%
Q1 - 8:46TORCalderon 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 8:54TORRaptors Rebound3
10.2%
10
89.8%
Q1 - 8:55SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup3
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 9:06TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)3
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 9:10TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
8.4%
10
91.6%
Q1 - 9:12TORBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)0
8.0%
10
92.0%
Q1 - 9:28SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
8.4%
10
91.6%
Q1 - 9:39SASSPURS Rebound0
9.0%
8
91.0%
Q1 - 9:42TORMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot0
9.2%
8
90.8%
Q1 - 9:51SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 9:51SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 9:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 10:02TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot0
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 10:11SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 10:22SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 10:24TORMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot0
10.7%
6
89.3%
Q1 - 10:47SASBlair 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 10:53SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:56TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot0
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 11:15SASJefferson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)0
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 11:20TORBlair STEAL (1 STL)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:33SASBlair 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)0
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 11:41SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:43SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot0
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Bargnani: Tip to Parker0
15.1%
0
84.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
21
34
62%
SAS
27
42
64%
Midrange
TOR
12
40
30%
SAS
7
25
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
SAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
TOR
20
25
80%
SAS
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2861%14.0 / 23
J. Calderon1458%7.0 / 12
A. Bargnani1435%7.0 / 20
J. Bayless1056%5.0 / 9
S. Gaines1071%5.0 / 7
A. Johnson938%4.5 / 12
E. Davis6100%3.0 / 3
J. Wright433%2.0 / 6
J. Dorsey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2364%11.5 / 18
D. Blair2269%11.0 / 16
T. Parker1750%8.5 / 17
G. Hill1464%7.0 / 11
T. Duncan1056%5.0 / 9
A. McDyess857%4.0 / 7
G. Neal833%4.0 / 12
R. Jefferson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
80
+12
-15
92
SAS
78
+17
-16
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.99 49.5%
SAS
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.5
TOR 100.0
SAS 110.6 +10.6
Pace
93.1
92.7
TOR 102.2 +14.3
SAS 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
TOR 14.1 +2.3
SAS 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.7%
TOR 45.7%
SAS 48.2% +2.5%
TO %
15.0%
13.8%
TOR 13.9% +1.2%
SAS 15.1%
ORB %
28.3%
25.0%
TOR 25.6%
SAS 38.6% +13.0%
FTrt
29.3
29.9
TOR 30.5
SAS 34.9 +4.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
58.3%
TOR 55.6%
SAS 60.5% +4.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
TOR 11.6% +3.1%
SAS 8.5%
BLK %
6.7%
6.7%
TOR 4.5%
SAS 8.1% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.3%
TOR 49.5%
SAS 53.1% +3.6%
Rim FG%
58.9%
60.3%
TOR 61.8%
SAS 64.3% +2.5%
Mid FG%
41.2%
41.6%
TOR 30.0% +2.0%
SAS 28.0%
3P %
31.6%
39.7%
TOR 37.5% +12.5%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
75.5%
76.7%
TOR 80.0%
SAS 82.8% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
34.3%
TOR 41.5%
SAS 50.6% +9.1%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
39.7%
TOR 48.8%
SAS 30.1% +18.7%
3P Att. %
16.2%
26.1%
TOR 9.8%
SAS 19.3% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsTORSAS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points95104
Rebounds3849
Assists2023
Steals118
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)17 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)32 (3)
Field Goals36-8238-83
At-the-Rim FG21-3427-42
Midrange FG12-407-25
2-Point FG33-7434-67
3-Point FG3-84-16
Free Throws20-2524-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
41.6
28
61%
3
1
4
0
5
3
1
2
8-9
89%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
37.8
14
58%
1
8
2
0
3
3
0
1
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
37.4
14
35%
7
1
1
2
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
5-15
33%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
33.4
9
38%
8
1
0
0
0
4
3
5
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
28.5
4
33%
6
4
2
1
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
26.5
6
100%
11
2
0
0
0
2
3
8
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
21.6
10
56%
1
3
1
0
3
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 200 · 25
11.1
10
71%
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
· 6'8" 268 · 27
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 26
G · 6'3" 194 · 28
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
#24 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
38
20
11
3
15
0
11
27
20-25
80%
33-74
45%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.