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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 19, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz67%9995
29Nets33%94103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
41.3
36.9
20
62%
5
10
3
1
0
3
1
4
7-7
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
51%
3-7
43%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.0
32.9
31.5
21
57%
8
0
1
1
1
2
6
2
1-1
100%
10-18
6-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
31.5
31.3
17
56%
8
1
4
1
2
0
2
6
13-14
93%
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.3
30.5
30.4
4
50%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.9
26.9
30.8
6
34%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-2
0%
3-8
6-11
38%
55%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
26.7
25.6
13
44%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-8
3-7
25%
51%
2-5
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
16.1
14.1
8
51%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.9
15.3
5.3
4
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
11.1
11.6
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.6
6.7
12.0
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.1
0.8
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.8
0.2
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
35.3
29.9
13
59%
8
1
0
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.8
31.9
33.0
20
46%
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
8-11
73%
6-17
7-13
35%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
31.6
31.5
14
55%
2
8
2
1
0
6
1
1
5-6
83%
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.5
29.8
17.7
12
82%
6
1
0
0
3
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-6
2-5
83%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
28.6
21.6
5
43%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
30.0
28.2
15
98%
7
4
3
1
0
1
0
7
6-6
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
22.6
25.4
12
76%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
19.1
24.5
11
80%
3
8
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
3-5
60%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
11.1
12.0
1
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
8.1
0
1-2
49%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.7
6.1
0
0-1
41%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.7
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.