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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 18, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bobcats28%8683
11Bulls72%9482
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
40.8
38.1
13
42%
16
4
0
1
1
1
5
11
3-3
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
36.3
34.3
12
46%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.8
36.1
38.7
12
38%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
43%
0-4
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.2
34.1
34.1
15
51%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
6-10
3-7
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
14.7
29.7
6
55%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
23.8
16.7
8
40%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
22.2
15.8
8
41%
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
18.2
12.1
3
31%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
13.8
14.1
6
43%
1
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
0.0
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
4.5
0
0-1
40%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.8
1.4
0
0-0
35%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
46.7
26.5
9
47%
9
0
0
1
6
0
4
5
5-6
83%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
38.5
38.0
33
55%
5
4
0
1
1
3
2
3
3-4
75%
12-24
8-15
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.3
34.9
26.8
6
39%
10
2
0
1
2
2
3
7
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
33.8
40.2
10
38%
8
4
1
1
1
3
1
7
5-5
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
51%
1-4
25%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.7
16.8
16.0
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
30.6
24.3
12
52%
5
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
6-11
3-5
55%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
23.2
19.0
6
47%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
11.7
11.1
3
38%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
3.9
11.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.2
21.2
1
5-9
56%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-1
50%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
0.9
0
0-0
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.