FinalWin Prob.pScore
831%93
93
469%99
89
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
96.99687.5
MIA logo MIA
92.79686.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0ATL93
100%
89
0%
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot93
99.8%
89
0.2%
OT1 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
99.6%
89
0.4%
OT1 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
99.5%
89
0.5%
OT1 - 0:06.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
95.9%
89
4.1%
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
93.4%
89
6.6%
OT1 - 0:34.0ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)91
73.9%
89
26.1%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS)89
52.1%
89
47.9%
OT1 - 0:58.0ATLJohnson 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
79.4%
86
20.6%
OT1 - 1:15MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS)87
65.7%
86
34.3%
OT1 - 1:23ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)87
75.6%
84
24.4%
OT1 - 1:33MIAHouse 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)84
50.7%
84
49.3%
OT1 - 1:35ATLJames STEAL (2 STL)84
62.1%
82
37.9%
OT1 - 1:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
72.7%
82
27.3%
OT1 - 1:59MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
69.3%
82
30.7%
OT1 - 2:18ATLCrawford 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
60.0%
82
40.0%
OT1 - 2:42MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)82
52.9%
82
47.1%
OT1 - 3:06ATLEvans 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
68.7%
79
31.3%
OT1 - 3:08ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
61.6%
79
38.4%
OT1 - 3:09ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)80
51.3%
79
48.7%
OT1 - 3:21MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T16)80
62.1%
79
37.9%
OT1 - 3:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
46.6%
79
53.4%
OT1 - 3:24ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
51.5%
79
48.5%
OT1 - 3:42MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (26 PTS)80
55.4%
79
44.6%
OT1 - 4:04ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)80
64.3%
77
35.7%
OT1 - 4:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
46.1%
77
53.9%
OT1 - 4:23MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
42.9%
77
57.1%
OT1 - 4:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
35.9%
77
64.1%
OT1 - 4:33ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
38.9%
77
61.1%
OT1 - 4:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
46.2%
77
53.8%
OT1 - 4:38ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
38.9%
77
61.1%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Bibby77
46.2%
77
53.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
55.3%
77
44.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
32.8%
77
67.2%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)75
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)75
52.3%
74
47.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)75
68.0%
74
32.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)75
70.9%
73
29.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
79.5%
72
20.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot75
82.7%
72
17.3%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)75
86.3%
72
13.7%
Q4 - 1:23ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
75.6%
72
24.4%
Q4 - 1:23ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 274
73.6%
72
26.4%
Q4 - 1:23ATLHawks Rebound74
76.7%
72
23.3%
Q4 - 1:23MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
73.1%
72
26.9%
Q4 - 1:35ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
62.1%
72
37.9%
Q4 - 1:35ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
58.6%
72
41.4%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)72
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q4 - 2:01ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
35.3%
72
64.7%
Q4 - 2:01ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
33.3%
72
66.7%
Q4 - 2:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
28.5%
72
71.5%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot70
24.4%
72
75.6%
Q4 - 2:32ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)70
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)67
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q4 - 3:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)67
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q4 - 3:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS James 18' Turnaround Jump Shot64
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q4 - 3:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)64
5.5%
70
94.5%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot64
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)64
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q4 - 4:02ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q4 - 4:26MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)64
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q4 - 4:41MIAHEAT Rebound64
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot64
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup64
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q4 - 4:48ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
11.6%
68
88.4%
Q4 - 5:11MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)64
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)64
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot64
33.7%
65
66.3%
Q4 - 5:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)64
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot64
33.7%
65
66.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)64
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup64
33.7%
65
66.3%
Q4 - 6:03ATLCrawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)64
28.4%
65
71.6%
Q4 - 6:26MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
22.6%
63
77.4%
Q4 - 6:29ATLMISS Wilkins 13' Jump Shot61
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q4 - 6:57MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)61
28.9%
63
71.1%
Q4 - 7:10ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)61
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q4 - 7:16ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
41.4%
61
58.6%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
39.2%
61
60.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q4 - 7:38ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot61
36.5%
61
63.5%
Q4 - 8:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
40.3%
61
59.7%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
38.5%
61
61.5%
Q4 - 8:18ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q4 - 8:18ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 260
33.7%
61
66.3%
Q4 - 8:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q4 - 8:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
30.5%
61
69.5%
Q4 - 8:54ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
30.5%
61
69.5%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)60
34.2%
61
65.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)60
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper60
43.9%
59
56.1%
Q4 - 9:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
39.9%
59
60.1%
Q4 - 9:57ATLAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)60
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
44.7%
59
55.3%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
45.2%
58
54.8%
Q4 - 10:13ATLHouse STEAL (1 STL)60
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q4 - 10:29ATLHawks Rebound60
56.0%
57
44.0%
Q4 - 10:30ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot60
52.1%
57
47.9%
Q4 - 10:48MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)60
56.1%
57
43.9%
Q4 - 11:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
61.6%
55
38.4%
Q4 - 11:01ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
61.3%
55
38.7%
Q4 - 11:05ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
64.8%
55
35.2%
Q4 - 11:07ATLHouse BLOCK (1 BLK)60
61.3%
55
38.7%
Q4 - 11:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
64.8%
55
35.2%
Q4 - 11:09ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup60
61.3%
55
38.7%
Q4 - 11:12ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
64.8%
55
35.2%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
63.3%
55
36.7%
Q4 - 11:28ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
59.9%
55
40.1%
Q4 - 11:46ATLHawks Rebound58
54.6%
55
45.4%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL58
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound58
54.6%
55
45.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
49.7%
55
50.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)58
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLCrawford 10' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)58
63.5%
52
36.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
58.2%
52
41.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
56.8%
52
43.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLEvans 4' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)56
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)54
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q3 - 1:23ATLJohnson 9' Running Bank Shot (13 PTS)54
42.5%
52
57.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)52
37.3%
52
62.7%
Q3 - 1:52ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)52
33.3%
52
66.7%
Q3 - 2:05MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)50
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAHEAT Rebound50
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q3 - 2:19ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot50
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)50
28.4%
52
71.6%
Q3 - 2:53ATLEvans 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS)50
32.5%
50
67.5%
Q3 - 2:56MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)48
28.4%
50
71.6%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
24.6%
50
75.4%
Q3 - 3:18ATLMISS Crawford 22' Jump Shot48
25.7%
50
74.3%
Q3 - 3:46MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)48
28.3%
50
71.7%
Q3 - 4:03ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
31.4%
48
68.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)46
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q3 - 4:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q3 - 4:38ATLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)46
25.6%
48
74.4%
Q3 - 4:45ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot46
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHEAT Rebound46
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q3 - 5:01ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot46
25.5%
48
74.5%
Q3 - 5:19MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)46
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q3 - 5:40ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)46
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q3 - 5:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q3 - 5:46ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot43
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q3 - 5:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot43
26.9%
45
73.1%
Q3 - 6:17ATLJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
24.3%
45
75.7%
Q3 - 6:31MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)41
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q3 - 6:39MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q3 - 6:40ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)41
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)41
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q3 - 7:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
30.4%
41
69.6%
Q3 - 7:20ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q3 - 7:28ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
33.9%
41
66.1%
Q3 - 7:29ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot41
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
33.9%
41
66.1%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)41
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
37.3%
39
62.7%
Q3 - 8:01ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot41
38.0%
39
62.0%
Q3 - 8:23MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)41
40.7%
39
59.3%
Q3 - 8:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
44.1%
37
55.9%
Q3 - 8:37ATLMISS Horford 12' Turnaround Hook Shot41
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q3 - 8:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)41
48.1%
37
51.9%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
46.9%
37
53.1%
Q3 - 9:27ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)41
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q3 - 9:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
40.0%
37
60.0%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot39
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q3 - 10:03ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)39
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q3 - 10:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q3 - 10:18ATLMISS Horford 7' Floating Jump Shot36
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q3 - 10:41ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q3 - 11:00ATLCollins 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)36
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q3 - 11:10ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
23.3%
37
76.7%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q3 - 11:23ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)34
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)34
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q3 - 11:43ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)34
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound34
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot34
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
23.9%
35
76.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
27.6%
33
72.4%
Q2 - 1:10ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 1:17ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
27.5%
33
72.5%
Q2 - 1:24MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)32
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
27.0%
33
73.0%
Q2 - 1:35ATLMISS Johnson 12' Floating Jump Shot32
27.5%
33
72.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)32
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q2 - 2:25ATLJohnson 15' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)32
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 2:41MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)30
31.7%
30
68.3%
Q2 - 3:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
33.8%
28
66.2%
Q2 - 3:06ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)30
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
37.2%
28
62.8%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAHEAT Rebound30
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q2 - 3:22ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q2 - 3:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)30
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q2 - 3:26ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup30
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q2 - 3:43MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)30
43.2%
26
56.8%
Q2 - 3:49ATLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)30
45.7%
24
54.3%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)30
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q2 - 4:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
50.9%
22
49.1%
Q2 - 4:20ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup30
51.9%
22
48.1%
Q2 - 4:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q2 - 4:24ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot30
51.9%
22
48.1%
Q2 - 4:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
54.2%
22
45.8%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 230
53.8%
22
46.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
53.9%
21
46.1%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS James 4' Driving Jump Shot30
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q2 - 4:53ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)30
54.0%
21
46.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
56.8%
20
43.2%
Q2 - 5:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q2 - 5:21ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot30
60.0%
19
40.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAJames 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)30
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q2 - 6:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
63.1%
17
36.9%
Q2 - 6:02ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot30
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q2 - 6:20MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)30
66.2%
17
33.8%
Q2 - 6:37ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)30
63.3%
17
36.7%
Q2 - 6:42ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q2 - 6:43ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot27
56.0%
17
44.0%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)27
56.9%
17
43.1%
Q2 - 7:12ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
54.9%
17
45.1%
Q2 - 7:27MIAHEAT Rebound27
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q2 - 7:27MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 227
57.5%
16
42.5%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
56.8%
16
43.2%
Q2 - 7:40ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q2 - 7:48ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
58.9%
16
41.1%
Q2 - 8:02ATLSmith 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)27
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q2 - 8:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
53.1%
16
46.9%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot25
52.2%
16
47.8%
Q2 - 8:33ATLCrawford 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
50.4%
16
49.6%
Q2 - 8:51MIAWade 8' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)23
47.8%
16
52.2%
Q2 - 9:07ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)23
49.3%
14
50.7%
Q2 - 9:27ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
52.1%
14
47.9%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Dampier 12' Jump Shot23
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q2 - 9:41ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)23
49.4%
14
50.6%
Q2 - 9:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
52.1%
14
47.9%
Q2 - 9:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
52.7%
13
47.3%
Q2 - 10:23ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q2 - 10:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 223
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q2 - 11:05ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)23
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q2 - 11:19ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Bank Shot21
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q2 - 11:38ATLWilkins 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
51.0%
11
49.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL19
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)19
48.6%
11
51.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Tip Shot19
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Evans 7' Jump Shot19
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
54.7%
8
45.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 8' Running Jump Shot19
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 119
53.0%
8
47.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
49.8%
8
50.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
49.2%
8
50.8%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot17
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 1:16ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot17
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 1:32MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 1:36ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 1:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
48.8%
8
51.2%
Q1 - 1:42ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot17
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 1:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 2:20ATLSmith 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)17
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 2:34MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
44.0%
8
56.0%
Q1 - 2:46ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)15
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 2:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 2:58ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Bank Shot13
38.2%
8
61.8%
Q1 - 3:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
39.5%
8
60.5%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup13
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 3:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 3:04ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup13
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 3:12ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 3:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot13
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 3:37ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot13
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 3:50ATLHawks Rebound13
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 3:51MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 4:12ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)13
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 4:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot11
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 4:42ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)11
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 5:02ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot9
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 5:29ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 5:38MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 5:41MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 5:42ATLMISS Johnson 10' Floating Jump Shot9
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 6:20ATLHorford 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)9
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 6:28ATLHawks Rebound7
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 6:29ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot7
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 6:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot7
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 7:05ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 7:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup7
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 7:22ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Hook Shot7
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 8:02ATLJohnson 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)7
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 8:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)5
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 8:45ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 24
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 8:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot4
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 9:08ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot4
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 9:27ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot4
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 9:47ATLJohnson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)4
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 9:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 10:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:06ATLMISS Johnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:18ATLHawks Rebound2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:18ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot2
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:39MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 11:08ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Smith: Tip to Anthony0
25.8%
0
74.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 43.9%
MIA
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
10
22
45%
MIA
10
15
67%
Midrange
ATL
21
42
50%
MIA
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
31
23%
34%
MIA
7
10.5
30
23%
35%
Free Throws
ATL
10
14
71%
MIA
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1937%9.5 / 26
J. Crawford1959%9.5 / 16
J. Smith1539%7.5 / 19
M. Bibby1563%7.5 / 12
M. Evans1155%5.5 / 10
A. Horford638%3.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia433%2.0 / 6
J. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
D. Wilkins250%1.0 / 2
J. Crawford0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3449%17.0 / 35
D. Wade2752%13.5 / 26
E. House1260%6.0 / 10
M. Chalmers1063%5.0 / 8
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
Z. Ilgauskas250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard125%0.5 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
86
+19
-10
105
MIA
80
+13
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 43.9%
MIA
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.4
ATL 96.9 +4.2
MIA 92.7
Pace
89.5
91.3
ATL 87.5 +1.1
MIA 86.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.2
ATL 16.5 +0.2
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.4%
ATL 43.7% +2.8%
MIA 40.9%
TO %
14.2%
14.4%
ATL 10.6% +4.5%
MIA 15.1%
ORB %
23.5%
25.2%
ATL 30.0% +5.0%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
26.9
36.3
ATL 14.7
MIA 37.7 +23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
54.1%
ATL 52.6% +9.7%
MIA 42.9%
STL %
6.8%
7.3%
ATL 8.3% +2.0%
MIA 6.3%
BLK %
6.6%
8.5%
ATL 4.3%
MIA 7.8% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.7%
ATL 43.9%
MIA 47.8% +3.9%
Rim FG%
60.0%
64.7%
ATL 45.5%
MIA 66.7% +21.2%
Mid FG%
42.5%
42.2%
ATL 50.0% +15.6%
MIA 34.4%
3P %
35.2%
37.0%
ATL 22.6%
MIA 23.3% +0.7%
FT %
78.0%
76.9%
ATL 71.4%
MIA 89.7% +18.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
31.6%
ATL 23.2% +3.7%
MIA 19.5%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
44.9%
ATL 44.2%
MIA 41.6% +2.7%
3P Att. %
22.2%
23.5%
ATL 32.6%
MIA 39.0% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes26.326.7
Points9389
Rebounds4846
Assists2012
Steals86
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)35 (5)
Field Goals38-9528-77
At-the-Rim FG10-2210-15
Midrange FG21-4211-32
2-Point FG31-6421-47
3-Point FG7-317-30
Free Throws10-1426-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 30
45.1
19
37%
5
10
0
0
3
2
1
4
3-4
75%
8-18
44%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
44.3
15
39%
12
2
3
0
2
3
3
9
3-3
100%
6-15
40%
0-3
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
36.9
15
63%
3
0
1
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
F · 6'10" 245 · 25
20.9
6
38%
9
3
1
0
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
14.3
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
31.8
11
55%
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
31.6
19
59%
5
3
1
0
3
2
0
5
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
22.9
4
33%
4
0
1
0
0
4
2
2
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 225 · 31
11.6
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'4" 195 · 22
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 23
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
93
44%
48
20
8
2
10
0
15
33
10-14
71%
31-64
48%
7-31
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.