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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 18, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hawks31%9393
4Heat69%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
45.1
37.7
19
37%
5
10
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
8-18
6-13
44%
46%
0-6
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
44.3
38.6
15
39%
12
2
3
1
0
2
3
9
3-3
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
36.9
36.0
15
63%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
4-10
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
20.9
42.0
6
38%
9
3
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-8
8-14
38%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
14.3
10.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
31.8
18.2
11
56%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
1-5
20%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
31.6
30.3
19
60%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
6-9
3-8
67%
44%
2-6
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
22.9
9.4
4
31%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
11.6
5.3
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
3.4
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
2.3
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
5.6
0
1-1
43%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
45.6
35.0
27
53%
6
3
1
1
1
6
0
6
11-12
92%
8-16
8-14
50%
53%
0-4
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.1
44.3
26.2
34
49%
10
7
2
1
0
6
2
8
10-11
91%
9-20
5-10
45%
55%
2-10
20%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
43.2
25.2
0
0%
16
0
1
0
3
1
8
8
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
12.8
13.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
8.2
17.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
39.9
26.7
10
63%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
28.5
13.8
12
61%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-5
40%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
18.4
18.2
3
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-3
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
9.7
18.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
9.7
12.8
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
4.7
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.