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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Nets31%96100
20Warriors69%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.8
35.6
32.3
20
61%
7
1
1
1
2
3
3
4
2-3
67%
9-14
7-14
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
33.7
28.4
8
100%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
32.6
31.8
19
52%
1
8
0
1
0
3
0
1
9-10
90%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
22.9
21.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.5
19.4
17.0
0
0%
7
2
0
0
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
28.6
22.6
8
44%
2
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
27.0
29.9
16
60%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
22.0
28.2
11
48%
10
2
0
1
0
0
3
7
5-8
63%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
12.3
12.0
8
50%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.7
5.1
7.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
0.7
3.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
8.8
0
1-2
49%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
42.0
37.4
26
46%
5
9
3
2
1
1
1
4
4-7
57%
11-21
7-14
52%
51%
0-4
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
35.9
36.4
24
75%
10
4
0
1
0
1
3
7
6-7
86%
9-13
7-12
69%
54%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
29.9
24.1
9
65%
7
0
0
1
3
0
3
4
1-2
50%
4-6
3-4
67%
59%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.1
26.6
38.1
10
52%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
5-6
83%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
23.1
29.5
13
55%
2
6
0
2
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.3
26.7
18.5
12
67%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
21.1
19.5
5
83%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.0
18.4
13.1
8
58%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.1
6.4
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
5.2
6.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
4.8
6.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
3.8
0
1-1
54%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.