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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings22%9398
8Hawks78%103100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
40.0
35.7
17
52%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.3
37.6
37.3
16
45%
5
3
3
2
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
6-14
6-14
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.9
35.1
1.9
7
51%
11
2
0
0
0
1
4
7
0-2
0%
2-3
0-0
67%
45%
1-3
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.4
30.1
23.2
20
46%
8
2
0
1
2
3
4
4
4-6
67%
8-19
5-11
42%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.5
27.9
22.8
16
47%
8
1
1
0
0
1
6
2
2-2
100%
7-16
3-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.3
24.4
23.9
9
57%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.7
22.2
20.2
7
42%
5
4
1
0
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
50%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.1
11.9
18.2
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
8.8
23.6
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
2.0
7.2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.2
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
46.3
39.7
23
65%
9
6
0
1
7
2
1
8
3-4
75%
10-16
8-14
63%
57%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.7
42.5
31.3
11
41%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
41.4
35.4
36
64%
5
6
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
15-20
6-12
75%
50%
1-7
14%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.1
40.0
38.1
19
64%
10
4
1
2
2
5
3
7
3-4
75%
5-10
6-12
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.1
14.9
5.5
1
27%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.8
33.2
28.2
8
37%
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.2
8.8
26.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.0
4.7
2.7
2
35%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.0
3.1
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.9
3.1
14.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.8
1.8
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.6
9.0
0
1-2
48%
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.