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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Mavericks61%9789
27Pistons39%93103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.8
35.9
29.6
0
0%
1
13
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-7
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
35.3
27.3
18
59%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
8-11
4-9
73%
50%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.6
31.0
18.4
32
78%
5
5
1
0
0
4
0
5
8-8
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
52%
4-7
57%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
26.9
28.7
4
25%
7
1
0
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-8
5-9
25%
54%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.1
26.6
19.6
6
45%
7
0
1
0
0
1
5
2
2-6
33%
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.6
21.1
23.0
7
50%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.8
21.0
24.7
5
63%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.2
14.8
12.5
6
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.7
13.2
15.9
6
100%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
2-3
67%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.7
6.3
7.5
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.2
4.5
15.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
3.4
10.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.9
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
40.6
34.0
16
62%
9
1
4
1
0
0
4
5
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.9
33.9
34.6
19
74%
5
5
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
9-11
6-11
82%
49%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.7
30.2
27.5
20
84%
0
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
8-9
89%
6-8
4-9
75%
44%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.7
25.7
24.3
8
62%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
24.0
22.7
8
67%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
28.2
25.8
11
54%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.4
22.8
27.1
15
83%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
3-5
60%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.0
18.1
14.8
4
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.6
14.1
14.0
2
20%
8
2
1
0
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-2
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
2.4
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.9
8.2
0
1-3
45%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.9
5.4
0
1-1
50%
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 20.9
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.