for complete access.
All Games Monday, January 17, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Raptors
28%94
81
14
Hornets
72%102
85
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
95.38589.8
NOH
98.88681.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH81
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:12 Def:4)81
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot81
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)81
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORWest BLOCK (2 BLK)81
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHWest 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)81
18.5%
83
81.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
32.7%
81
67.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)80
29.4%
81
70.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)79
20.4%
81
79.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 1:04NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)79
22.3%
81
77.7%
Q4 - 1:08NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 1:09TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot79
15.7%
81
84.3%
Q4 - 1:25NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q4 - 1:25NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 279
26.0%
80
74.0%
Q4 - 1:25NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)79
23.4%
80
76.6%
Q4 - 1:26NOHMISS Ariza 5' Jump Bank Shot79
32.1%
80
67.9%
Q4 - 1:56NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
24.2%
80
75.8%
Q4 - 1:57TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
27.4%
80
72.6%
Q4 - 2:20TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
38.9%
80
61.1%
Q4 - 2:21NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
33.9%
80
66.1%
Q4 - 2:40NOHHORNETS Rebound79
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q4 - 2:41NOHMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot79
34.1%
80
65.9%
Q4 - 3:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:12 Def:3)79
24.7%
80
75.3%
Q4 - 3:01NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
33.4%
80
66.6%
Q4 - 3:14NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
24.6%
80
75.4%
Q4 - 3:15NOHMISS Jack 19' Jump Shot79
33.6%
80
66.4%
Q4 - 3:30NOHJump Ball Paul vs. Davis: Tip to79
24.5%
80
75.5%
Q4 - 3:48NOHWest 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)79
35.3%
80
64.7%
Q4 - 4:05TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)79
43.8%
78
56.2%
Q4 - 4:20NOHJack Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)76
26.9%
78
73.1%
Q4 - 4:37NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
34.6%
76
65.4%
Q4 - 4:38TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
37.6%
76
62.4%
Q4 - 4:57NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
44.8%
76
55.2%
Q4 - 4:57NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
46.4%
75
53.6%
Q4 - 5:17NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
50.8%
74
49.2%
Q4 - 5:18TORMISS Gaines 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
53.6%
74
46.4%
Q4 - 5:36NOHJack 8' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)76
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q4 - 6:06TORWright 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)76
62.9%
72
37.1%
Q4 - 6:16TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
56.2%
72
43.8%
Q4 - 6:18NOHMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot74
53.8%
72
46.2%
Q4 - 6:36NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
48.2%
72
51.8%
Q4 - 6:38TORMISS Calderon 12' Jump Shot74
50.7%
72
49.3%
Q4 - 6:53NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
56.4%
72
43.6%
Q4 - 6:53NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
57.6%
71
42.4%
Q4 - 7:05TORWright 4' Layup (9 PTS) (Gaines 6 AST)74
59.7%
70
40.3%
Q4 - 7:18NOHWest 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)72
53.5%
70
46.5%
Q4 - 7:35TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)72
59.9%
68
40.1%
Q4 - 7:51TORGaines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
53.6%
68
46.4%
Q4 - 7:52NOHMISS Okafor 4' Layup70
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q4 - 7:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:11 Def:3)70
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q4 - 7:54NOHMISS Thornton 2' Layup70
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q4 - 7:54NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
46.1%
68
53.9%
Q4 - 7:55NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot70
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q4 - 8:18NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
44.9%
68
55.1%
Q4 - 8:19TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot70
46.8%
68
53.2%
Q4 - 8:26TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
51.2%
68
48.8%
Q4 - 8:27NOHMISS Thornton 2' Layup70
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q4 - 8:31TORWest STEAL (2 STL)70
45.0%
68
55.0%
Q4 - 8:49NOHThornton 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)70
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q4 - 8:59NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
57.9%
66
42.1%
Q4 - 9:00TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
59.8%
66
40.2%
Q4 - 9:29NOHOkafor 5' Layup (17 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)70
61.6%
66
38.4%
Q4 - 9:45TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T14)70
67.2%
64
32.8%
Q4 - 9:53TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
72.3%
64
27.7%
Q4 - 9:55NOHMISS Thornton 5' Jump Shot70
70.8%
64
29.2%
Q4 - 10:09TORGaines Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)70
64.8%
64
35.2%
Q4 - 10:25NOHJack 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q4 - 10:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)70
74.5%
62
25.5%
Q4 - 10:47TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
65.1%
62
34.9%
Q4 - 10:48NOHMISS Green 18' Jump Shot67
63.4%
62
36.6%
Q4 - 11:06NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
57.8%
62
42.2%
Q4 - 11:07TORMISS Bargnani 9' Jump Shot67
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q4 - 11:23NOHJack Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)67
63.0%
62
37.0%
Q4 - 11:35TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Gaines 4 AST)67
57.9%
62
42.1%
Q4 - 11:49NOHJack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)65
52.6%
62
47.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR65
47.2%
62
52.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHJack 4' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
50.9%
62
49.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0TORGaines Foul Turnover (P1.T12)65
56.6%
60
43.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)65
61.1%
60
38.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)65
61.8%
59
38.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P7.T11)65
66.3%
58
33.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
70.4%
58
29.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Jack 6' Jump Shot65
69.2%
58
30.8%
Q3 - 1:11NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
64.5%
58
35.5%
Q3 - 1:12NOHMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
67.3%
58
32.7%
Q3 - 1:16NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:10 Def:3)65
64.6%
58
35.4%
Q3 - 1:17NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot65
67.4%
58
32.6%
Q3 - 1:34NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:9 Def:3)65
64.6%
58
35.4%
Q3 - 1:35NOHMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
67.4%
58
32.6%
Q3 - 1:38NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)65
64.6%
58
35.4%
Q3 - 1:39NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
67.4%
58
32.6%
Q3 - 1:43NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
64.6%
58
35.4%
Q3 - 1:46NOHMISS Okafor 3' Jump Shot65
67.5%
58
32.5%
Q3 - 1:56NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)65
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 1:58TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot65
65.9%
58
34.1%
Q3 - 2:12NOHJack 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
66.4%
58
33.6%
Q3 - 2:34TORGaines 22' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)65
70.7%
56
29.3%
Q3 - 2:55TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
66.6%
56
33.4%
Q3 - 2:56NOHMISS West 4' Jump Shot63
65.3%
56
34.7%
Q3 - 3:18TORJohnson 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)63
60.2%
56
39.8%
Q3 - 3:35NOHWest 3' Putback Layup (14 PTS)61
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 3:36NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 3:37NOHMISS Green 4' Layup61
63.4%
54
36.6%
Q3 - 3:41TORPaul STEAL (2 STL)61
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 3:54NOHPaul 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
64.7%
54
35.3%
Q3 - 4:01NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)61
66.9%
52
33.1%
Q3 - 4:02TORGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)61
68.3%
52
31.7%
Q3 - 4:20NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
71.4%
52
28.6%
Q3 - 4:20NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
71.8%
51
28.2%
Q3 - 4:34TORGreen STEAL (1 STL)61
74.3%
50
25.7%
Q3 - 4:35TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
78.0%
50
22.0%
Q3 - 4:37NOHMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot61
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q3 - 4:47TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)61
74.3%
50
25.7%
Q3 - 5:03NOHGreen 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
69.2%
50
30.8%
Q3 - 5:18TORDeRozan 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)59
72.4%
48
27.6%
Q3 - 5:27NOHWest Foul Turnover (P1.T7)57
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q3 - 5:30NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
65.3%
48
34.7%
Q3 - 5:31TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.6%
48
33.4%
Q3 - 5:59NOHJack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 2 AST)57
69.5%
48
30.5%
Q3 - 6:19NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q3 - 6:20TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot57
74.8%
45
25.2%
Q3 - 6:37TORRaptors Rebound57
77.1%
45
22.9%
Q3 - 6:37NOHMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q3 - 6:56TORWright 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)57
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q3 - 7:05TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q3 - 7:06TORMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 255
65.4%
45
34.6%
Q3 - 7:06TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
67.2%
45
32.8%
Q3 - 7:19TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
65.1%
45
34.9%
Q3 - 7:20NOHMISS Green 16' Jump Shot54
64.0%
45
36.0%
Q3 - 7:40TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)54
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q3 - 8:06NOHOkafor 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (West 1 AST)52
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q3 - 8:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q3 - 8:13TORMISS DeRozan 4' Layup52
61.6%
43
38.4%
Q3 - 8:17NOHOkafor Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)52
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q3 - 8:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q3 - 8:31TORMISS Wright 11' Jump Shot52
61.6%
43
38.4%
Q3 - 8:46NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P2.T5)52
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q3 - 8:58TORJohnson 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q3 - 8:59TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
57.0%
43
43.0%
Q3 - 9:00TOROkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)50
54.2%
43
45.8%
Q3 - 9:12TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q3 - 9:13NOHMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot50
54.6%
43
45.4%
Q3 - 9:24TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P5.T8)50
52.1%
43
47.9%
Q3 - 9:32NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
55.8%
43
44.2%
Q3 - 9:32NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
56.2%
42
43.8%
Q3 - 9:44TORJohnson 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)50
59.4%
41
40.6%
Q3 - 9:55NOHBelinelli 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)48
55.9%
41
44.1%
Q3 - 10:11TORJohnson 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)48
57.7%
39
42.3%
Q3 - 10:18NOHAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
54.4%
39
45.6%
Q3 - 10:34NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q3 - 10:35TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 146
51.2%
39
48.8%
Q3 - 10:44TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
47.3%
39
52.7%
Q3 - 10:45NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot44
46.2%
39
53.8%
Q3 - 10:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
43.7%
39
56.3%
Q3 - 10:55TORMISS DeRozan 13' Jump Shot44
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q3 - 11:15NOHOkafor 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)44
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q3 - 11:20NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)44
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q3 - 11:22NOHMISS West 21' Jump Shot44
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q3 - 11:46TORBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)44
49.6%
37
50.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH44
53.3%
37
46.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
49.1%
37
50.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORWest BLOCK (1 BLK)44
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)44
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORDavis 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)44
55.7%
35
44.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
51.8%
35
48.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Belinelli 12' Jump Shot42
51.0%
35
49.0%
Q2 - 1:09TORDavis 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
48.4%
35
51.6%
Q2 - 1:34NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
44.3%
35
55.7%
Q2 - 1:35NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)40
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 1:36NOHMISS Ariza 8' Jump Shot40
50.1%
33
49.9%
Q2 - 2:02TORDeRozan 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)40
47.0%
33
53.0%
Q2 - 2:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
44.1%
33
55.9%
Q2 - 2:12NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot38
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 2:20NOHHORNETS Rebound38
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 2:21NOHMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot38
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 2:46TORJohnson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)38
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 3:08NOHWest 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)36
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 3:27TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 3:27TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 235
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q2 - 3:30TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
40.5%
31
59.5%
Q2 - 3:31TORMISS Gaines 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 3:49NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)35
40.5%
31
59.5%
Q2 - 4:15NOHHORNETS Rebound35
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q2 - 4:16TORMISS Gaines Free Throw 1 of 135
45.5%
28
54.5%
Q2 - 4:26TORGaines REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
42.4%
28
57.6%
Q2 - 4:27TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot33
40.2%
28
59.8%
Q2 - 4:44TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
42.5%
28
57.5%
Q2 - 4:45NOHMISS Belinelli 3' Layup33
41.5%
28
58.5%
Q2 - 5:00NOHHORNETS Rebound33
39.3%
28
60.7%
Q2 - 5:00TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
40.2%
28
59.8%
Q2 - 5:14TORRaptors Rebound33
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q2 - 5:15TORMISS DeRozan 21' Step Back Jump Shot33
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 5:42NOHOkafor 1' Putback Slam Dunk (9 PTS)33
41.7%
28
58.3%
Q2 - 5:42NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)33
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 5:43NOHMISS Jack 6' Jump Shot33
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 5:58TORDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
44.7%
26
55.3%
Q2 - 6:09TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q2 - 6:10TORMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot30
36.4%
26
63.6%
Q2 - 6:30NOHWest 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Pondexter 1 AST)30
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q2 - 6:45TORGaines 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)30
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q2 - 6:57NOHThornton 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)27
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q2 - 7:22TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)27
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q2 - 7:32TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
32.7%
22
67.3%
Q2 - 7:33NOHMISS Thornton 2' Layup24
31.9%
22
68.1%
Q2 - 7:55TORJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gaines 2 AST)24
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q2 - 8:12TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q2 - 8:13NOHMISS Thornton 1' Layup22
27.0%
22
73.0%
Q2 - 8:29TORBargnani 19' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q2 - 8:44TORRaptors Rebound20
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q2 - 8:44NOHMISS West 3' Dunk20
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q2 - 8:56NOHHORNETS Rebound20
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q2 - 8:56NOHMISS Thornton 9' Jump Shot20
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q2 - 9:12TORThornton STEAL (1 STL)20
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q2 - 9:28TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q2 - 9:29NOHMISS Jack 11' Jump Shot20
22.9%
22
77.1%
Q2 - 9:43TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)20
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q2 - 9:43TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q2 - 9:43TORMISS Calderon 4' Layup17
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q2 - 9:48TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q2 - 9:49NOHMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot17
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q2 - 9:55NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q2 - 9:56TORAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)17
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q2 - 9:59TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q2 - 10:00TORMISS Bargnani 9' Jump Shot17
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q2 - 10:20NOHJack 1' Layup (2 PTS)17
18.5%
22
81.5%
Q2 - 10:32NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q2 - 10:33NOHMISS Pondexter 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q2 - 10:50NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q2 - 10:51TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot17
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q2 - 11:07NOHThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q2 - 11:23NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q2 - 11:24TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 217
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q2 - 11:24TORDorsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q2 - 11:28TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q2 - 11:29TORMISS Gaines 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
19.0%
20
81.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR16
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHJack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0TORDavis 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Gaines 1 AST)16
18.6%
20
81.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0NOHMISS Thornton 20' Jump Shot14
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORMISS Bargnani 6' Jump Shot14
16.2%
20
83.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOHMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot14
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 1:14NOHHORNETS Rebound14
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 1:14TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot14
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 1:21TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 1:22NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot14
16.7%
20
83.3%
Q1 - 1:37TORDavis 2' Layup (2 PTS)14
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 1:39TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 1:40TORMISS Davis 2' Layup12
13.9%
20
86.1%
Q1 - 1:58NOHGreen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)12
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 2:05NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 2:06TORMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot12
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 2:25NOHGreen 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)12
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 2:30NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)12
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 2:31NOHMISS Green 20' Jump Shot12
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 2:45TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)12
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 2:51NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 2:51NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 212
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 3:01TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 3:01TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 211
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 3:24NOHWest 4' Running Layup (6 PTS)11
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 3:40NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 3:42TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot11
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 3:57NOHOkafor 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)11
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 3:58NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)11
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 3:58NOHMISS Green 7' Jump Shot11
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 4:38TORDeRozan 6' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)11
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 5:09NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)9
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 5:14TORPaul STEAL (1 STL)9
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 5:16TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 5:18NOHMISS Okafor Layup9
25.6%
9
74.4%
Q1 - 5:21NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 5:22NOHMISS Ariza 15' Jump Shot9
25.6%
9
74.4%
Q1 - 5:37TORWest STEAL (1 STL)9
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 5:54NOHWest 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)9
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 6:00NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.6%
7
72.4%
Q1 - 6:01TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 6:25NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)9
29.1%
7
70.9%
Q1 - 6:41NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 6:42TORMISS Wright 2' Layup9
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 6:43TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 6:44TORMISS Calderon 17' Jump Shot9
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 6:52TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 6:53NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot9
32.1%
5
67.9%
Q1 - 7:12TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T2)9
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 7:28TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 7:29NOHMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
31.6%
5
68.4%
Q1 - 7:52TORWright 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)9
30.3%
5
69.7%
Q1 - 8:05TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 8:06NOHMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot7
27.8%
5
72.2%
Q1 - 8:15TORJohnson Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P1.T1)7
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 8:21NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 8:31TORDeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)7
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 8:48TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 8:49NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 25
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 8:49NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 25
28.9%
2
71.1%
Q1 - 9:03TORJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS)5
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 9:08TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 9:09NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:28NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 9:29TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 9:41TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 9:43TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot3
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:10NOHOkafor Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:27TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:28NOHMISS West 4' Jump Shot1
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 10:50NOHHORNETS Rebound1
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 10:50TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot1
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 10:57TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:58NOHMISS Okafor 1' Layup1
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:03NOHMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot1
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 11:23TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:23TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 20
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 11:43NOHAriza 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Bargnani: Tip to Paul0
23.4%
0
76.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.98 48.8%
NOH
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
20
28
71%
NOH
22
37
59%
Midrange
TOR
11
33
33%
NOH
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
NOH
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
TOR
13
20
65%
NOH
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2352%11.5 / 22
A. Johnson1771%8.5 / 12
A. Bargnani1131%5.5 / 18
J. Wright1161%5.5 / 9
E. Davis1169%5.5 / 8
S. Gaines758%3.5 / 6
J. Dorsey150%0.5 / 1
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West2357%11.5 / 20
E. Okafor1765%8.5 / 13
J. Jack1761%8.5 / 14
M. Thornton833%4.0 / 12
C. Paul630%3.0 / 10
W. Green630%3.0 / 10
T. Ariza531%2.5 / 8
M. Belinelli220%1.0 / 5
J. Smith117%0.5 / 3
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
69
+13
-16
82
NOH
76
+22
-10
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.98 48.8%
NOH
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.0
TOR 95.3
NOH 98.8 +3.5
Pace
93.1
88.9
TOR 89.8 +8.2
NOH 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
TOR 16.0 +1.6
NOH 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
49.3%
TOR 45.9% +5.7%
NOH 40.2%
TO %
15.0%
13.6%
TOR 16.2%
NOH 9.5% +6.7%
ORB %
28.3%
25.1%
TOR 30.0%
NOH 38.8% +8.8%
FTrt
29.3
29.6
TOR 27.0 +5.2
NOH 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
57.4%
TOR 66.7% +7.9%
NOH 58.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.5%
TOR 5.9%
NOH 9.3% +3.4%
BLK %
6.7%
7.6%
TOR 8.0%
NOH 8.2% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.0%
TOR 48.8% +5.4%
NOH 43.4%
Rim FG%
58.9%
57.5%
TOR 71.4% +11.9%
NOH 59.5%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.1%
TOR 33.3% +7.0%
NOH 26.3%
3P %
31.6%
36.0%
TOR 15.4%
NOH 16.7% +1.3%
FT %
75.5%
76.5%
TOR 65.0%
NOH 78.9% +13.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
32.2%
TOR 37.8%
NOH 42.5% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
48.6%
TOR 44.6%
NOH 43.7% +0.9%
3P Att. %
16.2%
19.2%
TOR 17.6% +3.8%
NOH 13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.
Game TotalsTORNOH
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points8185
Rebounds4247
Assists2220
Steals58
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)28 (4)
Field Goals33-7434-87
At-the-Rim FG20-2822-37
Midrange FG11-3310-38
2-Point FG31-6132-75
3-Point FG2-132-12
Free Throws13-2015-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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24 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
41.9
11
31%
4
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
2-3
67%
3-10
30%
1-7
14%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
38.9
0
0%
5
13
0
0
7
4
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
38.6
23
52%
3
0
0
0
2
3
0
3
7-9
78%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
30.7
17
71%
8
1
3
2
2
5
3
5
1-1
100%
8-11
73%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
28.0
11
61%
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
5
1-3
33%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
30.1
11
69%
12
0
0
2
0
3
5
7
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25
23.9
7
58%
2
6
0
1
2
3
1
1
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27
8.0
1
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
Peja Stojakovic
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Sonny Weems
#24 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Reggie Evans
#30 · C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
49%
42
22
5
6
16
0
12
30
13-20
65%
31-61
51%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.