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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks37%9484
15Rockets63%9993
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
38.8
22.4
25
68%
3
3
0
0
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
38.1
32.7
10
39%
10
2
1
1
1
1
3
7
0-4
0%
5-11
6-11
45%
52%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
33.4
24.4
12
43%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
2-6
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
28.6
34.5
9
56%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
23.8
31.3
4
20%
8
1
1
1
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
29.0
16.2
14
71%
11
0
0
0
2
0
1
10
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
20.0
19.6
2
25%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
14.6
25.0
5
32%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
13.7
24.0
3
39%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.2
5.9
0
1-2
48%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
4.5
0
0-1
52%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.7
43.0
33.9
19
36%
14
3
2
1
0
0
5
9
3-4
75%
8-25
7-15
32%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.4
38.3
31.8
7
58%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.0
37.3
24.7
36
58%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
14-18
78%
11-21
3-7
52%
47%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.8
34.3
34.4
4
22%
5
6
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.6
24.6
28.4
6
50%
7
4
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.5
23.4
19.9
10
44%
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
2-3
67%
4-10
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.0
18.1
24.4
5
27%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.3
8.9
17.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.7
7.7
12.4
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
4.4
6.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.8
9.3
0
1-3
50%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
4.5
0
1-1
42%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.3
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.8
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.