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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls52%9596
16Grizzlies48%9484
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
43.1
17.3
10
45%
7
1
1
0
6
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
3-5
45%
47%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
42.0
39.7
28
75%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
8-10
5-10
80%
49%
3-7
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
39.8
37.6
22
46%
10
12
1
1
1
1
2
8
7-9
78%
6-17
7-15
35%
49%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.3
27.4
27.2
9
57%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.7
18.3
14.8
4
52%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
25.6
15.4
22
92%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
6-10
60%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
19.9
27.1
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
14.5
10.3
1
57%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
9.3
12.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.2
30.3
1
7-13
54%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
35.8
40.4
9
31%
6
0
0
2
1
1
1
5
7-10
70%
1-10
6-13
10%
49%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.5
33.4
34.9
21
42%
13
0
0
1
0
1
9
4
7-12
58%
7-19
8-15
37%
49%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.6
30.6
20.6
5
40%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-3
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
28.8
30.5
5
39%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.0
26.4
32.2
12
72%
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
2-3
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
30.1
25.5
15
52%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
1-3
33%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.0
24.8
16.4
7
38%
0
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
15.5
19.6
8
58%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.9
11.4
5.5
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.7
3.1
1.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.0
11.0
1
2-3
48%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.