for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 17, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz62%100101
25Wizards38%96108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
39.4
35.5
28
71%
4
11
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
51%
6-10
60%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.0
34.1
30.2
25
61%
10
1
1
1
0
2
6
4
3-6
50%
11-18
6-12
61%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.9
33.8
28.1
11
37%
6
3
1
1
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
4-13
6-11
31%
55%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.3
32.3
29.9
5
31%
2
1
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
30.8
32.6
6
61%
4
4
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
51%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
27.8
24.0
8
40%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
51%
2-6
33%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
13.4
14.0
8
69%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
10.8
12.3
6
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
2-3
67%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.6
9.1
15.3
3
75%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.9
6.3
4.5
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.2
2.1
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.1
5.2
0
1-1
52%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
40.4
36.1
19
63%
5
15
1
2
0
7
1
4
5-7
71%
7-12
5-11
58%
45%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
38.1
28.6
21
58%
11
3
3
1
4
3
4
7
5-7
71%
8-15
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
37.1
38.4
25
81%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
8-8
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
48%
3-5
60%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
36.2
33.3
13
74%
8
2
1
1
1
1
1
7
3-4
75%
2-2
3-6
100%
49%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
23.6
24.7
7
54%
11
2
0
1
1
2
3
8
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.0
25.3
23.5
9
58%
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
20.3
15.5
10
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
43%
0-1
0%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.1
18.5
23.8
4
67%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
0.6
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
4.4
0
0-1
49%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.1
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.