for complete access.
All Games Sunday, January 16, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Nuggets
28%99
97
2
Spurs
72%106
110
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
97.0100101.8
SAS logo SAS
108.910199.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENMISS Forbes 24' Jump Shot97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASSplitter 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Owens 1 AST)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)97
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENSmith 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)97
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DENForbes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)95
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19DENAfflalo 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23SASQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44SASOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DENMISS Smith 6' Jump Bank Shot91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DENNene Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:05DENSmith 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38SASSPURS Rebound87
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:38DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup87
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 3:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:48SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 4:05DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)85
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37DENSmith 8' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)85
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:58SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:20DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)83
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:29SASHill Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 5:48DENLawson Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 279
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 6:19DENNene 1' Driving Dunk (17 PTS)79
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 6:26SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 277
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:16)77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:31DENMISS Nene 2' Layup77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:46SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q4 - 7:07DENMISS Lawson 1' Reverse Layup77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 7:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)77
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 7:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 7:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:15)77
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 7:20DENDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 7:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 7:29SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 7:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 7:51DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 7:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 7:59SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot77
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 8:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)77
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 8:06DENMISS Afflalo 10' Jump Bank Shot77
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 8:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 8:33DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 276
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 8:44DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 8:45SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 8:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot76
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 9:19DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 9:19DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 9:29SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)74
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 9:42DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 9:42DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 9:48DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 9:49DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 9:57DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 9:58SASMISS Neal 7' Jump Shot72
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 10:19DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)72
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 10:36SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 269
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 10:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 10:51DENAnthony 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)69
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 10:52DENMISS Harrington Layup67
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 11:09SASMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)67
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 11:26SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q4 - 11:27DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot67
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q4 - 11:44DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Neal 4' Running Layup67
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 23' Step Back Jump Shot67
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)67
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)64
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)64
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 1:12SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 1:14DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot64
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 1:29SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)64
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q3 - 1:44SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 1:46DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 1:46DENMISS Martin 1' Putback Dunk64
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 1:48DENMISS Harrington 1' Layup64
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q3 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 2:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 2:26DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)64
4.4%
76
95.6%
Q3 - 2:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 2:39DENMISS Smith Layup61
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)61
3.3%
76
96.7%
Q3 - 3:03SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)61
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 3:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:22DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 3:28DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot61
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 3:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:39DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 3:46SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)61
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 4:00DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 4:00DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 260
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 4:14SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)60
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 4:34DENMartin 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)60
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 4:48SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)58
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q3 - 5:09DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 5:23SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 5:23SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)56
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 5:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)56
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 5:38DENMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot56
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 5:51DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot56
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 6:06DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 6:06DENAfflalo 2' Layup (9 PTS)56
6.3%
67
93.7%
Q3 - 6:08DENMISS Afflalo 9' Jump Bank Shot54
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q3 - 6:26SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)54
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 6:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)54
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 7:01SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)51
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 7:26DENAnthony 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)51
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)49
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 7:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)49
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 7:58DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 8:16SASParker 1' Layup (18 PTS)49
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 8:17SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:18SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup49
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 8:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:25DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot49
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 8:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 8:46SASMISS Duncan Layup49
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 8:53DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)49
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 8:58SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)49
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 9:03SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)49
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 9:09SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)49
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 9:15DENParker STEAL (2 STL)49
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 9:28DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 249
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 249
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 9:40DENParker STEAL (1 STL)49
8.0%
59
92.0%
Q3 - 9:57DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 9:58SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)49
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Jump Shot49
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q3 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q3 - 10:41DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)49
10.7%
57
89.3%
Q3 - 10:49DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q3 - 10:50SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot47
9.1%
57
90.9%
Q3 - 11:08DENAfflalo 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)47
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 11:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 11:28SASMISS Blair 9' Jump Shot45
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)45
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Martin 1' Layup45
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q3 - 11:40DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot45
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)45
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASParker 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)42
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)42
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Bank Shot42
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)42
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot42
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 1:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Jefferson 1' Layup42
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q2 - 1:28DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
6.4%
55
93.6%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 241
6.3%
55
93.7%
Q2 - 1:37SASDuncan 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)41
6.2%
55
93.8%
Q2 - 1:54DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 1:54DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 2:07SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)39
6.5%
53
93.5%
Q2 - 2:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 2:26DENMISS Nene 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q2 - 2:50SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
9.2%
50
90.8%
Q2 - 2:50SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
9.4%
49
90.6%
Q2 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
10.3%
48
89.7%
Q2 - 2:54DENMISS Anthony 18' Turnaround Jump Shot39
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 3:10SASParker 2' Layup (14 PTS)39
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q2 - 3:20DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 3:34SASHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)39
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 3:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
17.7%
43
82.3%
Q2 - 3:45DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot39
18.4%
43
81.6%
Q2 - 4:15SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)39
19.7%
43
80.3%
Q2 - 4:24SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 4:26DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup39
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 4:49SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
26.1%
40
73.9%
Q2 - 5:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
28.2%
38
71.8%
Q2 - 5:08DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup39
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 5:17SASParker 1' Layup (10 PTS)39
30.6%
38
69.4%
Q2 - 5:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot39
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 5:36SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)39
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 5:53DENAfflalo 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 6:03SASHill Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)37
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 6:07DENHill STEAL (2 STL)37
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 6:32SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)37
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 6:36DENSmith Layup (6 PTS)37
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 6:44SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)35
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 7:03DENEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 7:03DENEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
33.9%
31
66.1%
Q2 - 7:23SASNeal 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)33
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 7:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Ely 6' Jump Shot33
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 8:00SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)33
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 8:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 8:16DENSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)33
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q2 - 8:27SASGinobili 4' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)33
44.5%
26
55.5%
Q2 - 8:39DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q2 - 8:39DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 232
46.6%
24
53.4%
Q2 - 8:51SASGinobili 2' Running Layup (7 PTS)32
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q2 - 9:02DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T3)32
48.7%
22
51.3%
Q2 - 9:15SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (3 PTS)32
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 9:31DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)32
54.0%
20
46.0%
Q2 - 9:42DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
48.9%
20
51.1%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q2 - 9:51SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q2 - 9:53DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot29
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q2 - 10:11DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q2 - 10:12SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
47.5%
20
52.5%
Q2 - 10:34DENHarrington 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)29
45.6%
20
54.4%
Q2 - 10:42DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Shot27
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q2 - 10:50SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
40.6%
20
59.4%
Q2 - 10:51DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
41.4%
20
58.6%
Q2 - 10:59DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q2 - 11:00SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup27
42.5%
20
57.5%
Q2 - 11:12DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)27
40.3%
20
59.7%
Q2 - 11:25SASHill Foul Turnover (P2.T9)24
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q2 - 11:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q2 - 11:40DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)24
34.7%
20
65.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENHill STEAL (1 STL)24
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 224
35.5%
19
64.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENMISS Smith 11' Turnaround Jump Shot24
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 1:04DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 1:06SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot24
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 1:27DENHarrington 10' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
34.9%
19
65.1%
Q1 - 1:41SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)22
32.2%
19
67.8%
Q1 - 2:06DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 2:18SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)20
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 2:35DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
30.5%
17
69.5%
Q1 - 2:45SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 3:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 3:03DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot18
26.9%
17
73.1%
Q1 - 3:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 3:27SASMISS Parker 1' Layup18
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 3:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 3:32DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup18
26.9%
17
73.1%
Q1 - 3:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 3:46DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 218
26.6%
17
73.4%
Q1 - 3:46DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 3:51DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Ginobili 18' Step Back Jump Shot17
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 4:15DENNene 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)17
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 4:20SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
22.7%
17
77.3%
Q1 - 4:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q1 - 4:29DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot15
21.5%
17
78.5%
Q1 - 4:48SASParker 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)15
22.7%
17
77.3%
Q1 - 5:00SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q1 - 5:01DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup15
24.6%
15
75.4%
Q1 - 5:22SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)15
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 5:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 5:31DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot15
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 5:43DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 5:45SASMISS Parker 1' Layup15
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 5:52SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 5:53DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 6:12SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)15
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 6:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 6:16DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot15
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 6:30SASParker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 6:40DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)15
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 6:51DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 6:52SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot15
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 7:13DENNene Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)15
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 7:23DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup13
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 7:45DENAnthony 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)13
28.3%
10
71.7%
Q1 - 7:50SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 8:04DENNene 1' Dunk (4 PTS)11
24.9%
10
75.1%
Q1 - 8:18SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)9
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 8:32DENMartin 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)9
24.9%
8
75.1%
Q1 - 8:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 8:46SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 9:00DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 9:04SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)4
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 9:06SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 9:08SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 9:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 9:12SASMISS Blair 17' Jump Shot4
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 9:34DENMartin 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
18.4%
8
81.6%
Q1 - 9:59SASGinobili 11' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
17.3%
8
82.7%
Q1 - 10:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 10:06DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
18.9%
6
81.1%
Q1 - 10:18SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)2
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 10:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot2
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 10:41SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
23.5%
3
76.5%
Q1 - 10:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.0%
3
78.0%
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 22
22.2%
3
77.8%
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 22
22.8%
3
77.2%
Q1 - 10:59SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
23.5%
3
76.5%
Q1 - 11:11DENNene 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 11:33DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:34SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Nene: Tip to Ginobili0
23.1%
0
76.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
38
58%
SAS
10
18
56%
Midrange
DEN
9
32
28%
SAS
14
28
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
SAS
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
Free Throws
DEN
17
24
71%
SAS
29
37
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington1864%9.0 / 14
Nene1765%8.5 / 13
C. Anthony1233%6.0 / 18
A. Afflalo1250%6.0 / 12
J. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
T. Lawson950%4.5 / 9
C. Billups735%3.5 / 10
K. Martin650%3.0 / 6
M. Ely250%1.0 / 2
G. Forbes250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3083%15.0 / 18
M. Ginobili1853%9.0 / 17
G. Hill1488%7.0 / 8
G. Neal1470%7.0 / 10
R. Jefferson1050%5.0 / 10
T. Duncan950%4.5 / 9
A. McDyess675%3.0 / 4
T. Splitter660%3.0 / 5
D. Blair350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
90
+7
-10
97
SAS
82
+4
-19
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
111.5
DEN 97.0 +11.9
SAS 108.9
Pace
95.2
92.7
DEN 101.8 +2.6
SAS 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.7
DEN 14.1 +0.4
SAS 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
52.7%
DEN 46.5%
SAS 59.6% +13.1%
TO %
14.5%
13.8%
DEN 9.4% +9.8%
SAS 19.2%
ORB %
23.8%
25.0%
DEN 14.0% +2.6%
SAS 11.4%
FTrt
36.7
29.9
DEN 27.9
SAS 54.4 +26.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.3%
DEN 56.8%
SAS 68.6% +11.8%
STL %
7.7%
7.9%
DEN 15.0% +8.1%
SAS 6.9%
BLK %
6.8%
6.7%
DEN 10.9% +3.8%
SAS 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
55.3%
DEN 49.0%
SAS 63.2% +14.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.3%
DEN 57.9% +2.3%
SAS 55.6%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.6%
DEN 28.1%
SAS 50.0% +21.9%
3P %
38.8%
39.7%
DEN 37.5%
SAS 50.0% +12.5%
FT %
76.6%
76.7%
DEN 70.8%
SAS 78.4% +7.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
34.3%
DEN 44.2% +17.7%
SAS 26.5%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
39.7%
DEN 37.2% +4.0%
SAS 41.2%
3P Att. %
25.8%
26.1%
DEN 18.6%
SAS 32.4% +13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points97110
Rebounds3847
Assists2124
Steals157
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)4 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (0)43 (1)
Field Goals37-8635-68
At-the-Rim FG22-3810-18
Midrange FG9-3214-28
2-Point FG31-7024-46
3-Point FG6-1611-22
Free Throws17-2429-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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11 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27
35.5
12
33%
5
3
3
2
4
3
1
4
2-3
67%
5-17
29%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
35.2
12
50%
4
2
1
2
1
3
2
2
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-3
0%
Nene
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
34.5
17
65%
7
4
5
0
2
2
1
6
5-6
83%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
27.0
7
35%
4
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
20.4
6
50%
5
2
0
0
0
4
2
3
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
27.2
12
55%
6
4
4
0
1
4
1
5
1-2
50%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
22.9
9
50%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
22.6
18
64%
4
0
1
0
1
5
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
4-8
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
10.3
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
4.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36
Chris Andersen
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Renaldo Balkman
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
38
21
15
5
10
0
7
31
17-24
71%
31-70
44%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.