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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Magic71%107108
26Timberwolves29%10099
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
38.1
40.2
16
57%
9
1
3
1
1
4
4
5
6-9
67%
5-10
9-15
50%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.0
34.7
35.4
21
71%
3
1
2
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.8
31.9
31.8
9
77%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.9
25.7
32.0
9
77%
0
7
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
24.6
23.7
10
36%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-13
5-9
31%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
32.0
29.6
21
63%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
3-8
38%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
29.4
21.1
15
63%
11
0
2
1
1
0
3
8
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
3-8
38%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.0
22.3
17.5
7
33%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.0
1.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.4
3.7
0
0-0
47%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.8
3.7
0
0-0
44%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.2
2.8
0
0-0
48%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.6
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.4
41.6
38.4
11
43%
15
4
1
1
1
2
2
13
1-2
50%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
35.0
32.4
19
57%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
3-5
60%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.9
34.3
29.8
23
65%
3
1
5
2
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
6-10
3-7
60%
43%
2-5
40%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
21.0
18.3
4
52%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.6
19.3
26.9
13
74%
6
1
0
1
3
2
2
4
3-4
75%
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
24.4
11.3
8
36%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
1-2
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.0
17.9
9.2
8
58%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
17.3
15.0
9
77%
7
0
0
0
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
16.3
23.5
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.9
12.9
14.0
2
17%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.9
6.6
0
1-2
48%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.6
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.