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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat48%9196
11Bulls52%9299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
35.3
35.2
33
64%
6
4
0
1
5
3
3
3
9-13
69%
6-13
8-15
46%
51%
4-7
57%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
30.7
33.6
17
44%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-3
67%
6-17
6-13
35%
51%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
21.4
16.4
7
51%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
1-5
20%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
11.4
21.4
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
7.9
17.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
38.2
17.0
2
100%
5
1
0
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
29.3
25.6
10
42%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
2-9
22%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
25.7
14.6
8
67%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
24.0
7.6
13
93%
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
3-3
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
16.1
11.1
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
13.1
0
1-1
56%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.7
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
42.7
36.0
34
56%
4
8
0
1
3
2
1
3
8-8
100%
10-21
7-14
48%
48%
2-6
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
38.6
40.9
12
40%
6
4
0
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.2
35.5
28.4
12
43%
10
3
0
1
1
2
3
7
0-0
-
6-14
7-13
43%
53%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.3
23.9
29.8
8
100%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.7
16.9
14.1
6
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
2-3
67%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.8
21.5
30.5
9
51%
3
1
0
2
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.5
17.3
6.9
3
104%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
16.3
18.0
2
26%
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
13.8
11.5
6
60%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.8
13.6
16.7
7
58%
3
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
1-4
25%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
0.9
0
0-0
44%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.