FinalWin Prob.pScore
1048%91
96
1152%92
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.38789.8
CHI logo CHI
110.09088.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI96
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)96
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 296
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot96
6.2%
98
93.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
23.9%
98
76.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0CHIKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)96
23.9%
98
76.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
62.1%
95
37.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Boozer 2' Tip Shot96
76.9%
95
23.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot96
76.4%
95
23.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)96
62.1%
95
37.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)93
27.8%
95
72.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)93
18.4%
95
81.6%
Q4 - 1:18CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (34 PTS)90
7.7%
95
92.3%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)90
21.9%
92
78.1%
Q4 - 1:40CHIRose 2' Driving Layup (31 PTS)87
9.7%
92
90.3%
Q4 - 2:03MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)87
14.8%
90
85.2%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
11.1%
90
88.9%
Q4 - 2:13CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot85
9.2%
90
90.8%
Q4 - 2:32CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
5.8%
90
94.2%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot85
7.1%
90
92.9%
Q4 - 2:57CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)85
12.9%
90
87.1%
Q4 - 3:17CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
7.5%
90
92.5%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 285
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
10.4%
90
89.6%
Q4 - 3:29CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)85
12.8%
90
87.2%
Q4 - 3:29CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)85
13.7%
89
86.3%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)85
21.5%
88
78.5%
Q4 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
20.2%
88
79.8%
Q4 - 3:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
22.0%
88
78.0%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot84
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q4 - 4:19CHIThomas 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)84
21.6%
88
78.4%
Q4 - 4:37CHIBULLS Rebound84
28.2%
86
71.8%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper84
30.9%
86
69.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
37.5%
86
62.5%
Q4 - 4:53CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper84
34.5%
86
65.5%
Q4 - 5:16CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
30.9%
86
69.1%
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot84
33.3%
86
66.7%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
39.1%
86
60.9%
Q4 - 5:35CHIMISS Brewer 19' Jump Shot84
36.5%
86
63.5%
Q4 - 5:58MIAHouse 3' Layup (13 PTS)84
30.8%
86
69.2%
Q4 - 6:12MIAHeat Rebound82
27.0%
86
73.0%
Q4 - 6:13CHIMISS Watson 7' Floating Jump Shot82
25.1%
86
74.9%
Q4 - 6:37MIAHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 3 AST)82
20.9%
86
79.1%
Q4 - 6:59CHIWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)80
16.6%
86
83.4%
Q4 - 7:24MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
28.2%
83
71.8%
Q4 - 7:39CHIBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 7:39CHIBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)77
19.8%
82
80.2%
Q4 - 7:43CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
22.9%
81
77.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIARose BLOCK (3 BLK)77
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q4 - 7:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
28.6%
81
71.4%
Q4 - 8:00CHIMISS Rose 20' Fadeaway Jumper77
26.8%
81
73.2%
Q4 - 8:12CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot77
26.5%
81
73.5%
Q4 - 8:29CHIBoozer 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)77
29.9%
81
70.1%
Q4 - 8:49MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)77
35.7%
79
64.3%
Q4 - 9:08CHIRose 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)75
31.3%
79
68.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)75
36.7%
77
63.3%
Q4 - 9:56CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)72
26.3%
77
73.7%
Q4 - 9:56CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)72
27.1%
76
72.9%
Q4 - 10:04CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
32.1%
75
67.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
33.6%
75
66.4%
Q4 - 10:20CHIGibson Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)72
37.2%
75
62.8%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
32.0%
75
68.0%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)71
31.0%
75
69.0%
Q4 - 10:41MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
27.3%
75
72.7%
Q4 - 10:43CHIMISS Brewer 20' Jump Shot70
25.9%
75
74.1%
Q4 - 10:58CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
23.0%
75
77.0%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.2%
75
75.8%
Q4 - 11:26CHIGibson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)70
28.2%
75
71.8%
Q4 - 11:45CHIBULLS Rebound70
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot70
34.2%
73
65.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI70
37.6%
73
62.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound70
32.7%
73
67.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Deng 3' Running Layup70
36.1%
73
63.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)70
33.7%
73
66.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0CHIDeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)68
28.9%
73
71.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0CHIBULLS Rebound68
25.2%
73
74.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0CHIMISS Rose 3' Layup68
27.7%
73
72.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)68
25.1%
73
74.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHIDeng 2' Running Layup (12 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)68
28.8%
73
71.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)68
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q3 - 1:15MIAHeat Rebound68
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Chalmers 52' 3PT Jump Shot68
35.4%
71
64.6%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHeat Rebound68
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q3 - 1:39CHIMISS Rose 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
37.0%
71
63.0%
Q3 - 1:59CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
34.1%
71
65.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
35.3%
71
64.7%
Q3 - 2:21CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
38.6%
71
61.4%
Q3 - 2:21CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)68
39.4%
70
60.6%
Q3 - 2:25MIAAsik STEAL (1 STL)68
43.3%
69
56.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
47.9%
69
52.1%
Q3 - 2:43CHIMISS Rose 9' Pullup Jump Shot68
46.5%
69
53.5%
Q3 - 2:52CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
43.3%
69
56.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
44.7%
69
55.3%
Q3 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)68
48.3%
69
51.7%
Q3 - 3:21CHIDeng 4' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Rose 8 AST)67
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q3 - 3:37MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
48.0%
67
52.0%
Q3 - 3:55CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)65
43.7%
67
56.3%
Q3 - 4:22MIABosh 16' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)65
39.1%
67
60.9%
Q3 - 4:38CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)63
35.7%
67
64.3%
Q3 - 4:38CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 4:39CHIMISS Boozer 9' Jump Shot63
34.3%
67
65.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
31.5%
67
68.5%
Q3 - 5:18MIAHeat Rebound60
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q3 - 5:18MIARose BLOCK (2 BLK)60
22.7%
67
77.3%
Q3 - 5:39CHIRose 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS)60
25.1%
67
74.9%
Q3 - 5:39CHIRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 5:41CHIMISS Rose 3' Layup60
30.7%
65
69.3%
Q3 - 5:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)60
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q3 - 6:11CHIBoozer Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)57
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q3 - 6:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q3 - 6:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
19.6%
65
80.4%
Q3 - 6:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
17.7%
65
82.3%
Q3 - 6:40CHIMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot55
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q3 - 6:59MIABosh 21' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)55
15.3%
65
84.7%
Q3 - 7:17CHIRose 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)53
14.3%
65
85.7%
Q3 - 7:29CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 7:48CHIThomas 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)53
18.4%
63
81.6%
Q3 - 8:04MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)53
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 8:22MIAHeat Rebound53
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q3 - 8:23CHIMISS Boozer 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot53
23.1%
61
76.9%
Q3 - 8:33CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
21.2%
61
78.8%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot53
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 8:54CHIBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 7 AST)53
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T9)53
30.2%
58
69.8%
Q3 - 9:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
33.4%
58
66.6%
Q3 - 9:17CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
32.4%
58
67.6%
Q3 - 9:31CHIBULLS Rebound53
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 9:49CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
33.4%
58
66.6%
Q3 - 9:49CHIBoozer 2' Layup (10 PTS)53
33.4%
58
66.6%
Q3 - 9:50CHIMISS Rose 22' Jump Shot53
39.2%
56
60.8%
Q3 - 9:57CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot53
37.8%
56
62.2%
Q3 - 10:16CHIRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)53
40.6%
56
59.4%
Q3 - 10:25CHIBULLS Rebound53
47.5%
53
52.5%
Q3 - 10:25CHIMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
50.0%
53
50.0%
Q3 - 10:48MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)53
47.5%
53
52.5%
Q3 - 11:10CHIRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)53
51.2%
53
48.8%
Q3 - 11:24CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot53
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 11:43CHIThomas 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)53
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI53
64.4%
48
35.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)53
64.4%
48
35.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0CHIRose 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)50
57.3%
48
42.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 2 AST)50
61.3%
46
38.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
54.1%
46
45.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
53.3%
46
46.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)47
51.5%
46
48.5%
Q2 - 1:05MIAHeat Rebound44
44.2%
46
55.8%
Q2 - 1:05CHIMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 1:31MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (18 PTS)44
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 1:44CHIKorver 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)42
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q2 - 1:47CHIBULLS Rebound42
41.9%
44
58.1%
Q2 - 1:47CHIMISS Gibson 3' Layup42
43.5%
44
56.5%
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade 3' Tip Shot (16 PTS)42
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 2:03MIARose BLOCK (1 BLK)40
36.4%
44
63.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q2 - 2:08CHIMISS Boozer 6' Hook Shot40
37.6%
44
62.4%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
35.5%
44
64.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
35.0%
44
65.0%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHeat Rebound38
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 2:31CHIMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup38
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 2:46MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)38
29.9%
44
70.1%
Q2 - 3:07CHIKorver 2' Layup (2 PTS)36
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q2 - 3:08CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 3:11CHIMISS Rose 2' Layup36
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAKorver STEAL (2 STL)36
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 3:27CHIDeng Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 3:37CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Howard 18' Fadeaway Jumper36
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 3:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 3:52CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)36
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)35
30.1%
42
69.9%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
28.3%
42
71.7%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot34
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 4:44CHIRose 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)34
28.3%
42
71.7%
Q2 - 4:46CHIBULLS Rebound34
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q2 - 4:46CHIMISS Boozer 6' Jump Shot34
32.6%
40
67.4%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMiller 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
31.3%
40
68.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 5:08CHIMISS Gibson 13' Jump Shot32
28.1%
40
71.9%
Q2 - 5:31CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 132
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q2 - 5:50CHIBoozer 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)30
24.1%
40
75.9%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
26.3%
38
73.7%
Q2 - 6:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 6:16CHIMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 6:38MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)28
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 6:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 6:52CHIMISS Boozer 2' Reverse Layup25
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 7:12CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot25
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 7:31CHIBoozer 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)25
19.6%
38
80.4%
Q2 - 7:45MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)25
21.3%
36
78.7%
Q2 - 7:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 7:48CHIMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot25
22.7%
36
77.3%
Q2 - 8:10MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)25
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 8:27CHIWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)25
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 8:51CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
28.0%
33
72.0%
Q2 - 8:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot25
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Bosh 6' Running Jump Shot25
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 9:11CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:32MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)25
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 9:39CHIMISS Brewer 3' Driving Layup22
23.9%
33
76.1%
Q2 - 9:56CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Bosh 10' Running Hook Shot22
23.1%
33
76.9%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24.8%
33
75.2%
Q2 - 10:19CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 2 of 222
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 10:19CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 222
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)22
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 10:53CHIAsik Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 10:54CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 10:55CHIMISS Deng 14' Fadeaway Jumper19
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 11:15CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
23.1%
30
76.9%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 8' Fadeaway Jumper19
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q2 - 11:38CHIBrewer 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)19
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 11:39CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q2 - 11:40CHIMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
26.8%
28
73.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound19
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBrewer 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
29.0%
28
71.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade 3' Tip Shot (10 PTS)19
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)17
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0CHIMISS Rose 2' Driving Layup17
28.6%
26
71.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper17
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q1 - 1:19CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
29.6%
26
70.4%
Q1 - 1:19CHIRose 3' Layup (6 PTS)17
31.6%
25
68.4%
Q1 - 1:21CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 1:23MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)17
34.7%
23
65.3%
Q1 - 1:49CHIDeng 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
35.8%
23
64.2%
Q1 - 2:07MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
38.7%
21
61.3%
Q1 - 2:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
40.7%
21
59.3%
Q1 - 2:29CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot17
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 2:41CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
38.7%
21
61.3%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 117
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 2:55CHIBrewer 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
36.3%
21
63.7%
Q1 - 3:04CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMISS Brewer 2' Layup15
40.4%
19
59.6%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
38.8%
19
61.2%
Q1 - 3:33MIAHeat Rebound15
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup15
39.5%
19
60.5%
Q1 - 3:45CHIRose 3' Layup (4 PTS)15
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q1 - 3:48CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 3:51MIABoozer BLOCK (1 BLK)15
43.9%
17
56.1%
Q1 - 4:06CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 4:06CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
45.9%
16
54.1%
Q1 - 4:06CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 4:08CHIMISS Deng 3' Layup15
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)15
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 4:31MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 4:33CHIMISS Rose 2' Layup12
42.6%
15
57.4%
Q1 - 4:38CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot12
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 5:02CHIDeng 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)12
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 5:10MIABogans STEAL (1 STL)12
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 5:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 5:19CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 5:43CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper12
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 5:57CHIThomas 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)12
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAArroyo 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 6:27MIAHeat Rebound10
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 6:27CHIMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot10
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 6:39CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Pullup Jump Shot10
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 6:49CHIMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)10
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 7:24CHIRose 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)8
43.5%
11
56.5%
Q1 - 7:34CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Bosh 23' Jump Shot8
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 7:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 7:46CHIMISS Rose 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 7:57CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot8
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 8:09CHIBoozer Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
45.5%
9
54.5%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
45.1%
9
54.9%
Q1 - 8:39CHIBoozer 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)6
43.5%
9
56.5%
Q1 - 8:45CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot6
46.1%
7
53.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAHeat Rebound6
47.5%
7
52.5%
Q1 - 8:58CHIMISS Boozer 20' Fadeaway Jumper6
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 9:24MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
45.9%
7
54.1%
Q1 - 9:40CHIBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)4
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 10:01CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 10:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 10:10CHIMISS Rose 15' Floating Jump Shot4
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 10:45CHIBoozer 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)2
46.1%
4
53.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIABosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 11:16CHIDeng 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:35CHIBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Thomas vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
49.3%
0
50.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
CHI
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
17
71%
CHI
16
29
55%
Midrange
MIA
9
32
28%
CHI
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
28
46%
70%
CHI
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
15
20
75%
CHI
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3366%16.5 / 25
C. Bosh1745%8.5 / 19
E. House1393%6.5 / 7
M. Chalmers1042%5.0 / 12
M. Miller867%4.0 / 6
J. Jones758%3.5 / 6
J. Howard450%2.0 / 4
C. Arroyo233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Rose3455%17.0 / 31
L. Deng1240%6.0 / 15
C. Boozer1243%6.0 / 14
R. Brewer950%4.5 / 9
K. Thomas8100%4.0 / 4
K. Korver758%3.5 / 6
K. Bogans6100%3.0 / 3
C. Watson660%3.0 / 5
O. Asik3150%1.5 / 1
T. Gibson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+10
-12
85
CHI
81
+15
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 55.2%
CHI
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.3
MIA 110.3 +0.3
CHI 110.0
Pace
91.3
90.5
MIA 89.8 +1.6
CHI 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
MIA 16.0 +0.3
CHI 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.1%
MIA 52.6% +2.0%
CHI 50.6%
TO %
14.4%
14.8%
MIA 13.2%
CHI 10.7% +2.5%
ORB %
25.2%
29.4%
MIA 15.8%
CHI 29.4% +13.6%
FTrt
36.3
30.5
MIA 26.0 +5.8
CHI 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.1%
MIA 52.9%
CHI 59.0% +6.1%
STL %
7.3%
8.0%
MIA 2.3%
CHI 6.7% +4.4%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 13.8% +3.6%
CHI 10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.4%
MIA 55.2% +4.2%
CHI 51.0%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.2%
MIA 70.6% +15.4%
CHI 55.2%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.9%
MIA 28.1%
CHI 44.4% +16.3%
3P %
37.0%
36.1%
MIA 46.4% +9.6%
CHI 36.8%
FT %
76.9%
74.4%
MIA 75.0%
CHI 82.4% +7.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
38.7%
MIA 22.1%
CHI 34.5% +12.4%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
39.9%
MIA 41.6% +1.3%
CHI 42.9%
3P Att. %
23.5%
21.5%
MIA 36.4% +13.7%
CHI 22.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8790
Possession Minutes23.324.5
Points9699
Rebounds3042
Assists1823
Steals26
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (7)32 (4)
Field Goals34-7739-84
At-the-Rim FG12-1716-29
Midrange FG9-3216-36
2-Point FG21-4932-65
3-Point FG13-287-19
Free Throws15-2014-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
35.3
33
66%
6
4
0
5
3
4
3
3
9-13
69%
6-13
46%
4-7
57%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
30.7
17
45%
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
6-17
35%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 218 · 30
21.4
7
58%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
11.4
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
38.2
2
100%
5
1
0
3
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
29.3
10
42%
3
3
2
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-9
22%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
25.7
8
67%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
24.0
13
93%
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-3
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
16.1
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
55%
30
18
2
9
12
0
6
24
15-20
75%
21-49
43%
13-28
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.