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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 15, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors39%10195
25Wizards61%10598
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.2
39.9
35.7
25
53%
7
1
1
1
0
2
0
7
4-6
67%
6-16
7-15
38%
50%
3-5
60%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
38.0
33.1
21
66%
9
15
1
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
9-14
4-7
64%
51%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
34.1
34.6
7
29%
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-11
7-13
27%
50%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.0
30.6
29.8
11
46%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.7
29.6
30.0
12
61%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
4-4
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
59%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
28.7
17.9
15
66%
8
1
0
0
1
0
2
6
1-1
100%
7-11
2-4
64%
51%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
25.3
13.2
2
25%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.7
13.9
1.9
2
33%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.1
20.0
1
3-6
51%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
14.1
0
2-4
44%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.1
10.4
0
1-2
51%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 22.8
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.7
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.6
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
41.0
37.8
29
64%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
7-8
88%
8-12
6-11
67%
49%
2-7
29%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
39.6
20.1
17
41%
13
0
1
1
1
2
3
10
5-6
83%
6-18
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
36.4
37.2
8
29%
3
9
2
2
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
4-14
5-11
29%
48%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
33.8
33.9
13
73%
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
3-4
75%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
24.7
25.1
10
71%
11
1
0
1
6
3
3
8
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.1
30.2
20.0
9
70%
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
6
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.0
18.7
27.5
2
13%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
49%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
15.2
16.4
10
100%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-5
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.2
0.3
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
6.2
0
1-1
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
5.5
0
1-1
53%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.1
5.4
0
1-1
52%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.