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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 14, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks42%9294
1976ers58%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.1
36.1
34.4
12
45%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
33.2
32.2
10
44%
12
5
3
1
3
1
3
9
2-3
67%
4-10
6-11
40%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
33.1
30.6
14
75%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.7
23.8
25.6
12
60%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.3
20.1
27.6
2
26%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.6
30.5
21.4
8
34%
4
11
3
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
1-4
25%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
28.8
17.9
16
74%
5
3
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
21.8
10.9
12
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
12.7
25.6
8
84%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.1
7.9
0
1-2
47%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.8
6.9
0
1-1
52%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.4
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.4
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
38.8
35.6
15
64%
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-4
25%
7-10
6-11
70%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
37.5
28.8
15
69%
6
7
1
1
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.6
34.6
36.4
10
83%
5
3
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.7
25.0
12.8
8
100%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.4
17.3
26.7
3
19%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
29.0
22.6
25
66%
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
9-11
82%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
2-5
40%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
23.2
24.3
8
80%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.1
15.2
16.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
10.2
24.1
4
106%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
9.2
17.3
7
61%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.9
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.