FinalWin Prob.pScore
155%102
102
645%100
130
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.09990.6
DEN logo DEN
131.399109.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)102
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot102
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)102
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)99
0%
130
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)99
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:12MIAHeat Rebound99
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:13DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot99
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMiller 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)99
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:36DENEly 1' Layup (10 PTS)97
0%
127
100%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHoward 1' Layup (7 PTS) (House 2 AST)97
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:05MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:06DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMiller 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:35DENShel. Williams 1' Layup (2 PTS)93
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 2:50DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 193
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot91
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DENForbes 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS)91
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAForbes STEAL (1 STL)91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAHoward 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49DENMISS Shel. Williams 11' Jump Shot89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Chalmers 23' Jump Shot89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)89
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47DENEly 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DENMISS Forbes 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIALawson STEAL (3 STL)83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAHeat Rebound83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)83
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)82
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)82
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39DENEly REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot82
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05DENSmith 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)82
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DENMISS Forbes 1' Driving Layup82
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 7:46DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot82
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 7:58MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00DENMISS Ely 2' Layup82
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 8:02DENEly REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)82
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 8:04DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot82
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 8:14MIADampier Foul Turnover (P2.T13)82
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 8:27DENEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 8:27DENEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 8:28DENEly REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 8:29DENMISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup82
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 8:40MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)82
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 8:58DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)79
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIAHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)79
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 9:29MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)77
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 9:29DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T8)76
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)76
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 9:54DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 2 of 274
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 9:54DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 10:05MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)74
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 10:43DENHarrington 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 11:07MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)71
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 11:17DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 11:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 11:40DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 11:44DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 37' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)68
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)68
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)67
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMISS Ely 12' Turnaround Jump Shot66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIABosh 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)66
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 1:13DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)64
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 1:22DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Dampier 3' Reverse Layup64
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q3 - 1:39DENAnthony 1' Dunk (21 PTS)64
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q3 - 1:43MIAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)64
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q3 - 1:50DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)64
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 2:02MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q3 - 2:21DENAnthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 13 AST)64
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q3 - 2:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q3 - 2:44DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 2:59MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)64
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 3:09DENNene 2' Dunk (17 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)62
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q3 - 3:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot62
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q3 - 3:26DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot62
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q3 - 3:39MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 3:39MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)61
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 3:58DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)60
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 4:10DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot60
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 4:32DENNene 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 4:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 4:46MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper60
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 5:07DENAfflalo 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 12 AST)60
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 5:21MIABosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)60
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 5:47DENMartin 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)58
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 6:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot58
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 6:16DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 6:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot58
4.8%
78
95.2%
Q3 - 6:40DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 6:40DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIABosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot56
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 7:30DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)56
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 7:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 8:00DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)56
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q3 - 8:28MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 8:40MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 8:42DENMISS Anthony 10' Jump Shot54
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q3 - 8:58MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 9:16DENMartin 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)52
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 9:23DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
10.4%
68
89.6%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot52
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Bank Shot52
10.8%
68
89.2%
Q3 - 9:38DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)52
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 9:53MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 10:07DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)50
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 10:24MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
14.4%
64
85.6%
Q3 - 10:38DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
12.8%
64
87.2%
Q3 - 10:38DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
13.0%
63
87.0%
Q3 - 10:47MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
14.4%
62
85.6%
Q3 - 11:04DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)46
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 11:24MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)46
15.3%
60
84.7%
Q3 - 11:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q3 - 11:39DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)43
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)43
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)43
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)43
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)40
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q2 - 1:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 240
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
18.9%
54
81.1%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHeat Rebound40
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 1:10MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)40
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q2 - 1:23DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)40
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)40
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 1:56DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q2 - 1:56DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 237
17.2%
51
82.8%
Q2 - 2:00DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Nene 1' Layup37
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q2 - 2:34MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)37
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 2:56DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q2 - 2:56DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 3:11DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
22.5%
49
77.5%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot37
23.3%
49
76.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
25.1%
49
74.9%
Q2 - 3:23DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
24.3%
49
75.7%
Q2 - 3:40MIAChalmers 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 3:57DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)35
20.7%
49
79.3%
Q2 - 4:02DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 4:03DENMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup35
27.2%
46
72.8%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWade Tip Shot (9 PTS)35
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot33
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 4:34MIAHeat Rebound33
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 4:34DENMISS Smith 1' Layup33
22.7%
46
77.3%
Q2 - 4:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup33
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 4:59DENLawson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)33
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIALawson STEAL (2 STL)33
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 5:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
28.7%
44
71.3%
Q2 - 5:15DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot33
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 5:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper33
27.0%
44
73.0%
Q2 - 5:48DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)33
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 5:51DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
33.7%
41
66.3%
Q2 - 5:52DENMISS Lawson 7' Floating Jump Shot33
35.6%
41
64.4%
Q2 - 5:56MIALawson STEAL (1 STL)33
33.7%
41
66.3%
Q2 - 5:59DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)33
36.4%
41
63.6%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)33
39.5%
39
60.5%
Q2 - 6:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Ely 15' Turnaround Jump Shot31
36.3%
39
63.7%
Q2 - 6:40MIADampier 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)31
34.2%
39
65.8%
Q2 - 6:56DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
32.0%
39
68.0%
Q2 - 7:03DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
35.1%
37
64.9%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot29
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 129
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
30.9%
37
69.1%
Q2 - 7:33DENEly 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)27
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 7:47MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)27
35.0%
35
65.0%
Q2 - 8:05DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)27
38.5%
35
61.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIABosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)27
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 8:48DENEly Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)25
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:57DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)25
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)25
38.8%
32
61.2%
Q2 - 9:28DENEly 1' Layup (2 PTS)25
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 9:31DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 9:32DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 9:40DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 9:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 9:41DENMISS Harrington 2' Tip Shot25
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 9:42DENMISS Anthony Layup25
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 9:44DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 9:46DENMISS Anthony Driving Reverse Layup25
45.7%
30
54.3%
Q2 - 10:09DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.8%
30
56.2%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot25
44.7%
30
55.3%
Q2 - 10:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
46.6%
30
53.4%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 225
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 10:24DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)25
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q2 - 10:27DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
46.4%
29
53.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 10:54DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)25
49.2%
29
50.8%
Q2 - 11:04MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)25
54.0%
26
46.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
53.6%
26
46.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
51.7%
26
48.3%
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot23
50.9%
26
49.1%
Q2 - 11:36DENNUGGETS Rebound23
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 11:37DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot23
50.9%
26
49.1%
Q2 - 11:41DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q2 - 11:43DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
50.9%
26
49.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
49.0%
26
51.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)20
44.1%
26
55.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
51.4%
23
48.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot20
50.8%
23
49.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
51.3%
23
48.7%
Q1 - 1:04MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 1:06DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot19
48.8%
23
51.2%
Q1 - 1:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot19
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q1 - 1:42DENBillups 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q1 - 1:48DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
52.3%
21
47.7%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot19
52.8%
21
47.2%
Q1 - 1:51MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
54.0%
21
46.0%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot19
52.8%
21
47.2%
Q1 - 2:04DENHarrington 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)19
54.4%
21
45.6%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
56.9%
19
43.1%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q1 - 2:27DENMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot17
53.8%
19
46.2%
Q1 - 2:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot17
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
54.4%
19
45.6%
Q1 - 2:57DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot17
53.7%
19
46.3%
Q1 - 3:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Bosh 23' Jump Shot17
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q1 - 3:29DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)17
54.8%
19
45.2%
Q1 - 3:40DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot17
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 3:48MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
61.4%
16
38.6%
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 4:12MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)17
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound15
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)15
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 4:35DENAnthony 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)15
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 4:39MIANene STEAL (1 STL)15
59.1%
14
40.9%
Q1 - 4:50MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
61.4%
14
38.6%
Q1 - 4:52DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 215
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q1 - 4:52DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 4:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 4:55DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot15
62.8%
13
37.2%
Q1 - 5:06MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)15
60.8%
13
39.2%
Q1 - 5:21MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
59.0%
13
41.0%
Q1 - 5:22DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot13
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 5:29DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
56.7%
13
43.3%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 5:45DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
59.0%
13
41.0%
Q1 - 5:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
60.8%
11
39.2%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 6:13MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
62.9%
11
37.1%
Q1 - 6:14DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 213
62.6%
11
37.4%
Q1 - 6:14DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
61.2%
11
38.8%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)13
62.8%
10
37.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAHeat Rebound11
60.9%
10
39.1%
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Martin 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
60.3%
10
39.7%
Q1 - 6:36DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
58.8%
10
41.2%
Q1 - 6:37DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
60.3%
10
39.7%
Q1 - 6:56MIAIlgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)11
58.8%
10
41.2%
Q1 - 7:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
61.0%
10
39.0%
Q1 - 7:12DENMISS Anthony 3PT Jump Shot11
60.3%
10
39.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
58.8%
10
41.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 7:44DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot9
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)9
54.9%
10
45.1%
Q1 - 8:14DENNene 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)9
57.2%
10
42.8%
Q1 - 8:26MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)9
59.1%
8
40.9%
Q1 - 8:32MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 8:34DENMISS Billups 2' Driving Layup6
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 8:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
53.2%
8
46.8%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 26
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
54.8%
8
45.2%
Q1 - 8:59DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)6
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 9:16MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)6
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 9:37DENAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)4
55.7%
6
44.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAArroyo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 10:21DENNene 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)2
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 10:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot2
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 10:52DENMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot2
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 11:01DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot2
58.2%
2
41.8%
Q1 - 11:18DENNene 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 11:34MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Bosh0
59.2%
0
40.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
DEN
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
19
74%
DEN
24
35
69%
Midrange
MIA
17
47
36%
DEN
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
DEN
15
22.5
31
48%
73%
Free Throws
MIA
10
18
56%
DEN
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2460%12.0 / 20
D. Wade1636%8.0 / 22
E. House1568%7.5 / 11
M. Chalmers1470%7.0 / 10
C. Arroyo1071%5.0 / 7
J. Howard739%3.5 / 9
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
M. Miller429%2.0 / 7
E. Dampier467%2.0 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2882%14.0 / 17
C. Anthony2153%10.5 / 20
Nene1794%8.5 / 9
A. Afflalo1470%7.0 / 10
T. Lawson1359%6.5 / 11
M. Ely1063%5.0 / 8
A. Harrington1056%5.0 / 9
C. Billups643%3.0 / 7
K. Martin660%3.0 / 5
G. Forbes338%1.5 / 4
S. Williams250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-16
98
DEN
90
+14
-9
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.0%
DEN
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
112.7
MIA 103.0
DEN 131.3 +28.3
Pace
91.3
95.2
MIA 90.6
DEN 109.1 +18.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.3
MIA 15.9
DEN 13.2 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.6%
MIA 51.7%
DEN 61.4% +9.7%
TO %
14.4%
14.5%
MIA 14.2%
DEN 8.1% +6.1%
ORB %
25.2%
23.8%
MIA 24.0%
DEN 29.3% +5.3%
FTrt
36.3
36.7
MIA 20.2
DEN 23.9 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.6%
MIA 56.1%
DEN 63.3% +7.2%
STL %
7.3%
7.7%
MIA 3.0%
DEN 8.1% +5.1%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 8.2% +3.7%
DEN 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
56.3%
MIA 52.0%
DEN 62.5% +10.5%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.5%
MIA 73.7% +5.1%
DEN 68.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.0%
MIA 36.2%
DEN 38.5% +2.3%
3P %
37.0%
38.8%
MIA 43.5%
DEN 48.4% +4.9%
FT %
76.9%
76.6%
MIA 55.6%
DEN 77.3% +21.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
42.5%
MIA 21.3%
DEN 38.0% +16.7%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
31.8%
MIA 52.8%
DEN 28.3% +24.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
25.8%
MIA 25.8%
DEN 33.7% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points102130
Rebounds4150
Assists2331
Steals38
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)38 (0)
Field Goals41-8949-92
At-the-Rim FG14-1924-35
Midrange FG17-4710-26
2-Point FG31-6634-61
3-Point FG10-2315-31
Free Throws10-1817-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
31.1
16
36%
4
4
0
1
3
1
2
2
2-7
29%
7-16
44%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
30.3
24
60%
6
2
0
0
2
0
1
5
6-6
100%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
19.2
10
71%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 218 · 30
14.7
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
13.7
0
0%
5
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
33.4
4
29%
8
8
1
0
3
3
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
28.8
14
70%
0
3
2
0
3
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
25.4
4
67%
6
0
0
2
2
1
1
5
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
17.7
7
39%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
16.9
15
68%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
4-8
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
8.8
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
41
23
3
5
16
0
12
29
10-18
56%
31-66
47%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.