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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Wizards46%10197
26Timberwolves54%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
43.1
35.1
15
50%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-8
5-11
25%
48%
3-6
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
40.9
35.7
14
48%
4
10
3
2
1
2
0
4
6-8
75%
4-10
5-11
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
32.4
36.2
19
73%
5
2
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
49%
3-7
43%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.1
25.6
16.3
14
71%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
17.4
31.5
5
87%
7
0
0
1
3
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-2
4-8
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.0
32.6
24.5
18
51%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.2
26.4
9.1
8
40%
8
0
0
0
1
3
4
4
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
42%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.1
8.0
3.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
7.1
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.1
4.7
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
1.9
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
30.6
1
6-13
48%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.7
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 22.3
40.8
38.0
35
89%
11
4
0
1
0
1
5
6
4-4
100%
8-12
6-11
67%
49%
5-6
83%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.9
35.3
31.5
16
63%
4
9
1
1
0
4
2
2
3-4
75%
2-7
4-7
29%
50%
3-4
75%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 24.9
33.9
27.9
10
40%
4
1
4
1
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.6
33.3
23.4
14
44%
11
2
0
1
2
4
3
8
0-0
-
7-16
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
15.4
20.5
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
2-2
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
23.7
2.1
11
65%
7
5
1
0
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 24.1
23.0
24.4
11
66%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
47%
0-2
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.9
12.7
15.0
4
29%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
11.7
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 25.0
10.1
8.6
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.9
10.3
0
2-3
50%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.