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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat73%101105
19Clippers27%93111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.0
41.0
36.7
31
62%
7
5
1
2
3
1
1
6
6-7
86%
11-18
8-15
61%
53%
1-4
25%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.0
39.7
38.6
27
52%
8
6
0
2
0
3
2
6
2-5
40%
8-18
8-15
44%
54%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.8
39.6
35.5
26
56%
13
4
0
1
0
1
3
10
13-14
93%
5-14
7-13
36%
52%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.6
22.0
18.6
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.5
18.6
27.8
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
29.4
19.2
12
47%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
3-9
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.4
24.6
19.2
2
100%
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.3
15.9
19.2
1
13%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-3
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.9
5.5
9.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.9
2.5
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.5
1.3
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.8
43.2
37.0
24
55%
14
6
1
1
1
3
1
13
6-9
67%
9-17
8-16
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
41.7
37.1
26
66%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
9-11
82%
7-10
5-11
70%
49%
1-5
20%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.4
38.8
30.8
11
46%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-4
25%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.8
33.5
28.8
20
49%
5
9
0
1
1
4
1
4
1-3
33%
8-16
3-7
50%
45%
1-3
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
24.7
32.9
5
53%
4
1
2
1
1
0
1
3
1-4
25%
2-3
3-6
67%
62%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
18.4
12.6
7
51%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.1
16.2
17.4
3
28%
2
4
1
1
2
2
1
1
0-1
0%
0-4
2-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
13.3
19.5
9
113%
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.3
7.6
10.3
6
77%
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 32.1
2.5
4.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.6
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.2
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.7
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.1
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.