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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Nets27%94109
14Suns73%103118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
38.7
19.2
15
51%
1
15
3
1
0
5
0
1
4-6
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.3
37.8
27.1
5
19%
11
3
2
1
0
0
1
10
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-6
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.8
29.7
26.3
16
58%
8
0
0
1
0
4
1
7
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.5
18.4
21.0
12
64%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-3
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
14.2
27.6
2
50%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.8
37.0
24.9
19
73%
3
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
5-8
63%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
32.9
24.4
16
61%
6
2
0
1
3
0
1
5
4-5
80%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.1
25.9
21.9
12
68%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.7
16.6
13.1
6
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
13.9
14.0
6
61%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
14.0
0
1-3
50%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.8
13.9
0
2-4
45%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.3
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
44.2
31.2
21
67%
7
0
1
1
1
3
1
6
5-6
83%
5-10
3-5
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.9
41.8
29.9
23
53%
7
16
1
1
0
3
1
6
11-11
100%
6-17
4-7
35%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.0
41.2
27.4
23
55%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
4-9
44%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.6
21.1
14.7
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.8
20.9
17.4
11
65%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
32.9
28.9
15
68%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
6-9
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
29.5
20.2
9
56%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.9
20.1
18.2
8
58%
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.5
13.3
15.4
6
80%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
17.2
1
1-2
50%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.3
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.2
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.2
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.