FinalWin Prob.pScore
454%96
89
1346%95
92
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
92.79691.7
NOH
95.89682.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLNOH
OT1 - 0:00.0NOH89
0%
92
100%
OT1 - 0:03.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0.7%
92
99.3%
OT1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.9%
92
99.1%
OT1 - 0:08.0NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
7.0%
92
93.0%
OT1 - 0:08.0NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
8.4%
91
91.6%
OT1 - 0:09.0NOHHORNETS Rebound89
15.0%
90
85.0%
OT1 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 289
18.8%
90
81.2%
OT1 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 289
28.2%
90
71.8%
OT1 - 0:11.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)89
44.2%
90
55.8%
OT1 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot89
24.7%
90
75.3%
OT1 - 0:23.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)89
46.4%
90
53.6%
OT1 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot89
28.7%
90
71.3%
OT1 - 0:37.0NOHThornton 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)89
46.1%
90
53.9%
OT1 - 0:58.0ORLRichardson 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)89
62.3%
88
37.7%
OT1 - 1:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)87
47.8%
88
52.2%
OT1 - 1:06NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot87
42.8%
88
57.2%
OT1 - 1:31NOHHORNETS Rebound87
34.8%
88
65.2%
OT1 - 1:33ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
39.2%
88
60.8%
OT1 - 1:46NOHAriza 2' Layup (16 PTS) (West 4 AST)87
49.0%
88
51.0%
OT1 - 2:03ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)87
59.3%
86
40.7%
OT1 - 2:03ORLMagic Rebound87
73.8%
86
26.2%
OT1 - 2:03ORLWest BLOCK (2 BLK)87
64.1%
86
35.9%
OT1 - 2:31NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)87
74.6%
86
25.4%
OT1 - 2:31NOHOkafor 1' Putback Slam Dunk (18 PTS)87
74.6%
86
25.4%
OT1 - 2:32NOHMISS Thornton 4' Reverse Layup87
86.7%
84
13.3%
OT1 - 2:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)87
78.5%
84
21.5%
OT1 - 2:54ORLHoward 1' Tip Shot (29 PTS)87
78.5%
84
21.5%
OT1 - 2:57ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot85
63.6%
84
36.4%
OT1 - 3:08ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
72.8%
84
27.2%
OT1 - 3:10NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot85
69.1%
84
30.9%
OT1 - 3:24ORLRichardson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)85
59.1%
84
40.9%
OT1 - 3:24ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
73.1%
84
26.9%
OT1 - 3:24NOHMISS West 2' Layup85
69.3%
84
30.7%
OT1 - 3:26NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
59.1%
84
40.9%
OT1 - 3:27NOHMISS Thornton 4' Jump Shot85
69.3%
84
30.7%
OT1 - 3:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)85
59.4%
84
40.6%
OT1 - 3:53ORLHoward 1' Putback Dunk (27 PTS)85
59.4%
84
40.6%
OT1 - 3:54ORLMISS Nelson 6' Jump Shot83
43.4%
84
56.6%
OT1 - 4:11NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)83
50.6%
84
49.4%
OT1 - 4:24ORLHoward 6' Running Hook Shot (25 PTS)83
68.5%
81
31.5%
OT1 - 4:44NOHThornton Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)81
60.3%
81
39.7%
OT1 - 5:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Howard: Tip to Paul81
49.7%
81
50.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)81
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 278
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOHMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot78
17.1%
80
82.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)78
15.5%
80
84.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 275
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
3.0%
80
97.0%
Q4 - 0:57.0ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)75
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 1:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 1:05NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot72
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q4 - 1:26ORLPaul STEAL (1 STL)72
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 1:36NOHPaul 10' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 1:56NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 1:57NOHMISS Thornton 13' Jump Shot72
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q4 - 2:20NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)72
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 2:22NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 2:23ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot72
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q4 - 2:39NOHAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T10)72
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q4 - 3:00NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 3:01ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
14.9%
76
85.1%
Q4 - 3:16NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)72
20.9%
76
79.1%
Q4 - 3:16NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)72
22.2%
75
77.8%
Q4 - 3:19NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)72
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q4 - 3:20ORLMISS Redick 13' Jump Shot72
30.2%
74
69.8%
Q4 - 3:34ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
41.5%
74
58.5%
Q4 - 3:35NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
38.5%
74
61.5%
Q4 - 3:38NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)72
31.9%
74
68.1%
Q4 - 3:40NOHMISS West 11' Jump Shot72
38.3%
74
61.7%
Q4 - 4:00NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
31.4%
74
68.6%
Q4 - 4:01ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot72
34.2%
74
65.8%
Q4 - 4:14NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
40.9%
74
59.1%
Q4 - 4:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q4 - 4:35ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
33.9%
74
66.1%
Q4 - 4:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)72
40.8%
74
59.2%
Q4 - 4:44NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot72
37.7%
74
62.3%
Q4 - 5:05ORLBass Dunk (6 PTS)72
34.1%
74
65.9%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMagic Rebound70
27.3%
74
72.7%
Q4 - 5:20NOHMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot70
25.2%
74
74.8%
Q4 - 5:49ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)70
20.6%
74
79.4%
Q4 - 6:06NOHPaul 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q4 - 6:28ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q4 - 6:28ORLRichardson 1' Tip Shot (13 PTS)67
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q4 - 6:30ORLMISS Richardson 2' Layup65
12.1%
72
87.9%
Q4 - 6:38ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q4 - 6:40ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
12.1%
72
87.9%
Q4 - 6:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)65
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q4 - 6:55NOHMISS West 16' Jump Shot65
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q4 - 7:17ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q4 - 7:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)63
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q4 - 7:26NOHMISS Jack 17' Jump Shot63
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q4 - 7:43NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q4 - 7:44ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot63
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q4 - 7:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)63
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q4 - 8:00NOHMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q4 - 8:16NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q4 - 8:17NOHMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q4 - 8:45NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)63
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q4 - 8:45ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup63
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q4 - 9:12NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
14.1%
72
85.9%
Q4 - 9:33NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)63
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q4 - 9:34ORLMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot63
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q4 - 10:00NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P3.T8)63
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q4 - 10:13NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
22.3%
69
77.7%
Q4 - 10:14ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot63
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q4 - 10:21NOHThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)63
26.5%
69
73.5%
Q4 - 10:29NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
22.3%
69
77.7%
Q4 - 10:31ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot63
23.5%
69
76.5%
Q4 - 10:45NOHThornton Foul Turnover (P1.T6)63
26.5%
69
73.5%
Q4 - 10:48ORLThornton STEAL (1 STL)63
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q4 - 11:02NOHJack 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)63
27.7%
69
72.3%
Q4 - 11:10NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
32.2%
67
67.8%
Q4 - 11:12ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot63
33.6%
67
66.4%
Q4 - 11:19ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
37.0%
67
63.0%
Q4 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza 2' Layup63
35.5%
67
64.5%
Q4 - 11:43ORLHoward 17' Jump Bank Shot (23 PTS)63
32.1%
67
67.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH61
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound61
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Smith 44' 3PT Jump Shot61
26.3%
67
73.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)61
25.0%
67
75.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)60
24.3%
67
75.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 359
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0NOHAriza 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS)59
21.0%
67
79.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLAriza STEAL (2 STL)59
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
28.6%
65
71.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 259
28.1%
65
71.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 259
26.0%
65
74.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLAnderson Dunk (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)59
24.9%
65
75.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
20.9%
65
79.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 1:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 1:06NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
21.1%
65
78.9%
Q3 - 1:18NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
19.0%
65
81.0%
Q3 - 1:19ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
19.9%
65
80.1%
Q3 - 1:30NOHOkafor 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)57
21.9%
65
78.1%
Q3 - 1:40NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
25.8%
63
74.2%
Q3 - 1:41ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 1:56NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 1:56NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 257
31.0%
62
69.0%
Q3 - 2:07NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot57
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 2:26NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)57
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 2:38ORLAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)57
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q3 - 2:44ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
43.5%
60
56.5%
Q3 - 2:45NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot57
42.1%
60
57.9%
Q3 - 3:06ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)57
40.0%
60
60.0%
Q3 - 3:20NOHPaul 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)54
31.8%
60
68.2%
Q3 - 3:46ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)54
35.6%
58
64.4%
Q3 - 4:02ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
28.9%
58
71.1%
Q3 - 4:04NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.6%
58
72.4%
Q3 - 4:15NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
24.8%
58
75.2%
Q3 - 4:15NOHMISS Paul 3' Driving Layup51
27.6%
58
72.4%
Q3 - 4:37ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)51
24.8%
58
75.2%
Q3 - 4:37ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)50
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 4:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
22.2%
58
77.8%
Q3 - 4:53NOHMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot49
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 5:09NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
19.8%
58
80.2%
Q3 - 5:10ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 5:26NOHPaul 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
22.9%
58
77.1%
Q3 - 5:45ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)49
25.6%
56
74.4%
Q3 - 6:06NOHGreen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (West 3 AST)46
21.3%
56
78.7%
Q3 - 6:23ORLTurkoglu Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)46
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q3 - 6:34NOHGreen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)46
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q3 - 6:48NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 6:48ORLMISS Richardson 3' Jump Shot46
34.8%
51
65.2%
Q3 - 7:00NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)46
37.6%
51
62.4%
Q3 - 7:28ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)46
45.4%
48
54.6%
Q3 - 7:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
41.8%
48
58.2%
Q3 - 7:48NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 244
41.2%
48
58.8%
Q3 - 7:48NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 244
39.4%
48
60.6%
Q3 - 7:58NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 7:59ORLMISS Richardson 13' Jump Shot44
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q3 - 8:21ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 8:22NOHMISS Green 14' Jump Shot44
40.9%
48
59.1%
Q3 - 8:39ORLNelson Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)44
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q3 - 8:53NOHWest 5' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Green 1 AST)44
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 9:11ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)44
45.9%
46
54.1%
Q3 - 9:25NOHOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)41
38.8%
46
61.2%
Q3 - 9:44ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (17 PTS)41
35.2%
46
64.8%
Q3 - 10:05NOHOkafor 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)39
32.9%
46
67.1%
Q3 - 10:16NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q3 - 10:18ORLMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot39
37.0%
44
63.0%
Q3 - 10:30NOHWest 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)39
39.4%
44
60.6%
Q3 - 10:53NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
42.8%
42
57.2%
Q3 - 10:54ORLMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot39
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q3 - 11:13NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)39
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q3 - 11:21NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q3 - 11:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot39
51.3%
40
48.7%
Q3 - 11:36NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)39
53.8%
40
46.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH39
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLRichardson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
50.2%
40
49.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot37
45.2%
40
54.8%
Q2 - 0:17.0NOHAriza 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)37
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLAriza STEAL (1 STL)37
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
52.8%
38
47.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot37
51.8%
38
48.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)37
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOHHORNETS Rebound37
50.9%
38
49.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Thornton 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
52.8%
38
47.2%
Q2 - 1:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 237
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 237
53.4%
38
46.6%
Q2 - 1:31NOHOkafor 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)37
53.7%
38
46.3%
Q2 - 1:49ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 1:59NOHThornton 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 2:10NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 2:11ORLMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot37
58.1%
36
41.9%
Q2 - 2:21ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
60.4%
36
39.6%
Q2 - 2:22NOHMISS West 13' Fadeaway Jumper37
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 2:30NOHHORNETS Rebound37
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 2:30NOHMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot37
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T4)37
57.2%
36
42.8%
Q2 - 2:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
58.2%
36
41.8%
Q2 - 3:04NOHThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
60.7%
36
39.3%
Q2 - 3:04NOHThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
61.2%
35
38.8%
Q2 - 3:30ORLBass 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)37
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 3:50NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)35
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 4:13ORLBass 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 4:40NOHWest 10' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)33
63.2%
31
36.8%
Q2 - 5:08ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)33
65.9%
29
34.1%
Q2 - 5:18ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
63.1%
29
36.9%
Q2 - 5:19NOHMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
62.3%
29
37.7%
Q2 - 5:35ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)31
60.3%
29
39.7%
Q2 - 5:43NOHAriza 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
63.1%
29
36.9%
Q2 - 6:08ORLArenas 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
65.1%
27
34.9%
Q2 - 6:15ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
63.0%
27
37.0%
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 13' Jump Shot29
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q2 - 6:30NOHOkafor Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)29
63.0%
27
37.0%
Q2 - 6:52NOHMISS Thornton 17' Jump Shot29
67.2%
25
32.8%
Q2 - 6:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
65.2%
25
34.8%
Q2 - 7:08ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)29
65.2%
25
34.8%
Q2 - 7:25NOHGray 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)29
67.8%
25
32.2%
Q2 - 7:47NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
70.0%
23
30.0%
Q2 - 7:48ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
70.8%
23
29.2%
Q2 - 8:05NOHThornton 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
72.0%
23
28.0%
Q2 - 8:13NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
74.0%
21
26.0%
Q2 - 8:15ORLMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot29
74.7%
21
25.3%
Q2 - 8:25ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
76.1%
21
23.9%
Q2 - 8:26NOHMISS Jack 16' Jump Shot29
75.5%
21
24.5%
Q2 - 8:48ORLArenas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)29
74.1%
21
25.9%
Q2 - 9:06NOHThornton 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)27
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q2 - 9:28NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q2 - 9:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot27
74.2%
19
25.8%
Q2 - 9:40ORLArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
75.6%
19
24.4%
Q2 - 9:42NOHMISS Jack 2' Layup27
75.0%
19
25.0%
Q2 - 9:54NOHGray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
73.6%
19
26.4%
Q2 - 9:55ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
74.2%
19
25.8%
Q2 - 10:01ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
75.2%
19
24.8%
Q2 - 10:02NOHMISS Thornton 1' Dunk27
74.5%
19
25.5%
Q2 - 10:24ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q2 - 10:44NOHThornton 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q2 - 11:01ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)24
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q2 - 11:11ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q2 - 11:16NOHMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q2 - 11:24NOHPondexter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q2 - 11:25ORLMISS Redick 22' Jump Shot21
64.7%
17
35.3%
Q2 - 11:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q2 - 11:33NOHMISS Jack 1' Layup21
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q2 - 11:49NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q2 - 11:51ORLMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q2 - 12:00NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound21
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Arenas 44' 3PT Jump Shot21
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Pondexter 3' Jump Shot21
65.1%
17
34.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
63.9%
17
36.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot21
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLMagic Rebound21
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Anderson 3' Jump Shot21
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot21
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 1:00NOHOkafor 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)21
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q1 - 1:24ORLHoward Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)21
68.1%
15
31.9%
Q1 - 1:35ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 1:36NOHMISS Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot19
65.0%
15
35.0%
Q1 - 1:44NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
63.9%
15
36.1%
Q1 - 1:46ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
64.4%
15
35.6%
Q1 - 1:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
65.5%
15
34.5%
Q1 - 1:53NOHMISS Okafor 4' Jump Shot19
65.0%
15
35.0%
Q1 - 2:22ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
63.6%
15
36.4%
Q1 - 2:47NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 2:47NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 216
59.3%
14
40.7%
Q1 - 3:04ORLHoward 2' Layup (11 PTS)16
59.2%
14
40.8%
Q1 - 3:23ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 3:24NOHMISS Ariza 5' Jump Shot14
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 3:48NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
54.7%
14
45.3%
Q1 - 3:49ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 4:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 4:02NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot14
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 4:23ORLHoward 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
54.6%
14
45.4%
Q1 - 4:45ORLMagic Rebound12
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 4:46NOHMISS Paul 12' Jump Shot12
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 4:55NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
50.2%
14
49.8%
Q1 - 4:56ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot12
50.9%
14
49.1%
Q1 - 5:16NOHPaul 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)12
52.5%
14
47.5%
Q1 - 5:21NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 5:22NOHMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot12
56.0%
12
44.0%
Q1 - 5:42ORLHoward Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)12
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 5:49ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 5:50NOHMISS Green 17' Jump Shot10
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 5:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
50.1%
12
49.9%
Q1 - 6:01ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot10
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 6:10ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:11NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot10
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 6:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
50.3%
12
49.7%
Q1 - 6:20ORLWest BLOCK (1 BLK)10
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 6:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:34NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot10
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 6:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
50.3%
12
49.7%
Q1 - 7:06ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 7:07NOHMISS Okafor 9' Hook Shot7
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 7:26NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
44.4%
12
55.6%
Q1 - 7:27ORLMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot7
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 7:40NOHAriza 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)7
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 8:01ORLNelson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 8:12NOHGreen 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 8:37ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 8:59NOHOkafor 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)2
44.9%
8
55.1%
Q1 - 9:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
46.9%
6
53.1%
Q1 - 9:01NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot2
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 9:21ORLHoward 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 9:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot0
44.3%
6
55.7%
Q1 - 9:41NOHOkafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)0
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 9:49NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot0
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 10:04NOHWest 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)0
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 10:18NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 10:19ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot0
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 10:39NOHWest 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 11:01NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.3%
0
44.7%
Q1 - 11:02ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot0
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:14NOHMISS West 7' Jump Shot0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:42NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.3%
0
44.7%
Q1 - 11:43ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot0
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Howard: Tip to Turkoglu0
56.8%
0
43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 44.9%
NOH
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
23
65%
NOH
18
30
60%
Midrange
ORL
9
38
24%
NOH
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
31
39%
58%
NOH
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
ORL
5
10
50%
NOH
11
19
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2966%14.5 / 22
J. Richardson2166%10.5 / 16
R. Anderson1478%7.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu836%4.0 / 11
B. Bass623%3.0 / 13
J. Redick523%2.5 / 11
G. Arenas440%2.0 / 5
J. Nelson211%1.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton2252%11.0 / 21
E. Okafor1860%9.0 / 15
T. Ariza1667%8.0 / 12
D. West1334%6.5 / 19
C. Paul1246%6.0 / 13
W. Green758%3.5 / 6
J. Jack217%1.0 / 6
A. Gray2100%1.0 / 1
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 0
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 2
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
83
+16
-13
99
NOH
87
+12
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 44.9%
NOH
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
ORL 92.7
NOH 95.8 +3.1
Pace
91.2
88.9
ORL 91.7 +9.0
NOH 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
ORL 15.7 +1.7
NOH 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
49.3%
ORL 45.7%
NOH 46.6% +0.9%
TO %
15.7%
13.6%
ORL 12.7%
NOH 10.3% +2.4%
ORB %
26.1%
25.1%
ORL 24.1% +4.5%
NOH 19.6%
FTrt
32.8
29.6
ORL 10.9
NOH 21.8 +10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
57.4%
ORL 52.8%
NOH 60.5% +7.7%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
ORL 3.1%
NOH 4.2% +1.1%
BLK %
7.5%
7.6%
ORL 5.8% +2.5%
NOH 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.0%
ORL 44.9%
NOH 45.5% +0.6%
Rim FG%
61.7%
57.5%
ORL 65.2% +5.2%
NOH 60.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.1%
ORL 23.7%
NOH 38.5% +14.8%
3P %
36.6%
36.0%
ORL 38.7% +10.9%
NOH 27.8%
FT %
69.2%
76.5%
ORL 50.0%
NOH 57.9% +7.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
32.2%
ORL 25.0%
NOH 34.5% +9.5%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
48.6%
ORL 41.3% +3.5%
NOH 44.8%
3P Att. %
32.8%
19.2%
ORL 33.7% +13.0%
NOH 20.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLNOH
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.127.9
Points8992
Rebounds5050
Assists1923
Steals34
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)41 (2)
Field Goals36-9238-87
At-the-Rim FG15-2318-30
Midrange FG9-3815-39
2-Point FG24-6133-69
3-Point FG12-315-18
Free Throws5-1011-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
48.3
29
66%
20
0
1
2
3
2
6
14
3-7
43%
13-19
68%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 30
43.2
21
66%
7
1
1
0
1
5
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
5-8
63%
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
38.6
2
11%
1
10
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
34.1
8
36%
3
4
0
0
2
2
0
3
2-3
67%
0-7
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 250 · 26
31.6
6
23%
9
0
0
0
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
3-13
23%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27
34.3
5
23%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-8
13%
F · 6'10" 240 · 23
20.6
14
78%
8
0
0
2
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
14.4
4
40%
2
2
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 234 · 23
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
#35 · F · 6'10" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
89
45%
50
19
3
4
13
0
13
37
5-10
50%
24-61
39%
12-31
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.