FinalWin Prob.pScore
264%96
91
2236%91
84
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
112.38185.4
MIL logo MIL
102.48279.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS91
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMcDyess 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILIlyasova 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Dooling 6 AST)89
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)89
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot89
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)89
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)88
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot87
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)87
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 287
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 287
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot87
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASBonner 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 1:20MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
92.4%
82
7.6%
Q4 - 1:20MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
93.0%
81
7.0%
Q4 - 1:22SASDuncan 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)85
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q4 - 1:42MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)83
90.5%
80
9.5%
Q4 - 2:02SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)83
83.3%
80
16.7%
Q4 - 2:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
78.4%
80
21.6%
Q4 - 2:22MILMISS Salmons 20' Jump Shot81
74.6%
80
25.4%
Q4 - 2:43MILBUCKS Rebound81
64.1%
80
35.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASBogut BLOCK (4 BLK)81
69.1%
80
30.9%
Q4 - 3:11MILSalmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
77.4%
80
22.6%
Q4 - 3:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)81
88.2%
77
11.8%
Q4 - 3:29SASMISS Parker Layup81
90.1%
77
9.9%
Q4 - 3:47MILSalmons 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)81
90.1%
77
9.9%
Q4 - 3:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)81
93.0%
75
7.0%
Q4 - 3:58SASMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot81
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 4:21MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)81
95.4%
75
4.6%
Q4 - 4:42SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)81
97.8%
72
2.2%
Q4 - 5:02SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 5:03MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot79
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q4 - 5:21MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q4 - 5:22SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.2%
72
5.8%
Q4 - 5:39SASHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 5:40SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot79
94.3%
72
5.7%
Q4 - 6:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
95.5%
72
4.5%
Q4 - 6:02MILMISS Dooling 10' Jump Shot79
93.8%
72
6.2%
Q4 - 6:26MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
92.4%
72
7.6%
Q4 - 6:27SASMISS Bonner 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot79
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q4 - 6:46SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
94.5%
72
5.5%
Q4 - 6:47SASMISS Bonner 6' Hook Shot79
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q4 - 7:10SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q4 - 7:11MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 17' Jump Shot79
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 7:25MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q4 - 7:27SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Bank Shot79
92.2%
72
7.8%
Q4 - 7:39SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q4 - 7:40MILMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
93.0%
72
7.0%
Q4 - 8:00MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
91.6%
72
8.4%
Q4 - 8:02SASMISS Ginobili 4' Hook Shot79
91.2%
72
8.8%
Q4 - 8:12MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q4 - 8:32SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)79
90.7%
72
9.3%
Q4 - 8:44MILSalmons 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
85.2%
72
14.8%
Q4 - 9:04SASBonner 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
87.2%
70
12.8%
Q4 - 9:16SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
84.3%
70
15.7%
Q4 - 9:17MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot74
83.3%
70
16.7%
Q4 - 9:35SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
80.9%
70
19.1%
Q4 - 9:44MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P2.T8)71
72.3%
70
27.7%
Q4 - 10:01SASBonner 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)71
67.1%
70
32.9%
Q4 - 10:24MILBoykins 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
56.5%
70
43.5%
Q4 - 10:33MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
61.9%
68
38.1%
Q4 - 10:34SASMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot68
63.5%
68
36.5%
Q4 - 10:49MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q4 - 10:49MILMISS Gooden 9' Jump Shot68
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q4 - 10:49MILGooden 2' Layup (8 PTS)68
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q4 - 11:24SASNeal 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 3 AST)68
71.6%
66
28.4%
Q4 - 11:41SASSpurs Rebound65
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q4 - 11:41MILMISS Boykins 8' Jump Shot65
60.5%
66
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS65
56.9%
66
43.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
60.5%
66
39.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASGooden STEAL (1 STL)65
57.6%
66
42.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
62.1%
66
37.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0MILMISS Boykins 14' Jump Shot65
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILBUCKS Rebound65
57.6%
66
42.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILMISS Maggette 9' Jump Shot65
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
57.6%
66
42.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
52.1%
66
47.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
52.7%
65
47.3%
Q3 - 1:01SASBonner 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)63
58.0%
64
42.0%
Q3 - 1:12SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
52.7%
64
47.3%
Q3 - 1:16MILMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 261
52.1%
64
47.9%
Q3 - 1:16MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
48.5%
64
51.5%
Q3 - 1:36MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
53.2%
63
46.8%
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Parker 3' Jump Shot61
54.5%
63
45.5%
Q3 - 1:58MILBoykins 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
57.6%
63
42.4%
Q3 - 2:27SASBonner 1' Layup (5 PTS)61
62.8%
61
37.2%
Q3 - 2:47MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS)59
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 2:58MILMaggette Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
62.8%
59
37.2%
Q3 - 2:58MILMaggette Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
63.5%
58
36.5%
Q3 - 2:59MILDouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
71.1%
57
28.9%
Q3 - 3:01SASMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)59
72.6%
57
27.4%
Q3 - 3:16SASSpurs Rebound59
75.1%
57
24.9%
Q3 - 3:18MILMISS Maggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
74.0%
57
26.0%
Q3 - 3:37SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)59
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q3 - 3:45SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 3:46MILMISS Maggette Layup56
62.3%
57
37.7%
Q3 - 3:48MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
59.1%
57
40.9%
Q3 - 3:50MILMISS Salmons 1' Layup56
62.3%
57
37.7%
Q3 - 4:09SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)56
59.1%
57
40.9%
Q3 - 4:19MILBoykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
55.6%
57
44.4%
Q3 - 4:19MILBoykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 4:33SASNeal 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)54
59.1%
55
40.9%
Q3 - 4:44SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
55.6%
55
44.4%
Q3 - 4:45MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot52
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 4:59MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q3 - 4:59MILMISS Bogut 19' Jump Shot52
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 5:24SASHill 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
50.9%
55
49.1%
Q3 - 5:35SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
47.1%
55
52.9%
Q3 - 5:36MILMISS Boykins 23' Jump Shot50
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 5:55MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 5:57SASBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)50
43.9%
55
56.1%
Q3 - 6:19MILMaggette 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)50
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q3 - 6:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
52.1%
53
47.9%
Q3 - 6:39SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot50
53.4%
53
46.6%
Q3 - 6:57MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)50
56.4%
53
43.6%
Q3 - 7:09MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
52.7%
53
47.3%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot50
54.0%
53
46.0%
Q3 - 7:17MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Jump Shot50
55.5%
53
44.5%
Q3 - 7:23SASBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)50
53.9%
53
46.1%
Q3 - 7:23MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
56.7%
53
43.3%
Q3 - 7:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
56.7%
53
43.3%
Q3 - 7:42MILMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot50
55.5%
53
44.5%
Q3 - 8:13SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)50
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q3 - 8:22SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
45.9%
53
54.1%
Q3 - 8:23SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot47
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q3 - 8:37MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
45.8%
53
54.2%
Q3 - 8:58MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 8:59SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q3 - 9:19SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
46.4%
53
53.6%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Salmons 15' Jump Shot47
45.3%
53
54.7%
Q3 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q3 - 9:35SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)47
42.7%
53
57.3%
Q3 - 9:36SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot45
36.7%
53
63.3%
Q3 - 9:56MILMbah a Moute Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)45
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q3 - 9:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)45
35.6%
53
64.4%
Q3 - 10:01SASBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)45
38.2%
53
61.8%
Q3 - 10:26MILIlyasova 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dooling 4 AST)45
40.6%
53
59.4%
Q3 - 10:34SASSalmons STEAL (2 STL)45
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q3 - 10:45MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P1.T4)45
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q3 - 10:54MILBUCKS Rebound45
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q3 - 10:55MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot45
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 11:15SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)45
45.0%
51
55.0%
Q3 - 11:20MILSalmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)43
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q3 - 11:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)43
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q3 - 11:42SASMISS Jefferson 3' Layup43
39.3%
51
60.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot43
40.7%
51
59.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
40.1%
51
59.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0MILMISS Dooling 11' Jump Shot43
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASParker 1' Layup (6 PTS)43
40.0%
51
60.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot41
34.5%
51
65.5%
Q2 - 1:01MILDooling 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)41
37.1%
51
62.9%
Q2 - 1:20MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
41.0%
49
59.0%
Q2 - 1:22SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot41
41.7%
49
58.3%
Q2 - 1:45MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)41
43.2%
49
56.8%
Q2 - 2:01MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
47.5%
47
52.5%
Q2 - 2:03SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot41
48.5%
47
51.5%
Q2 - 2:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
50.8%
47
49.2%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 241
47.9%
47
52.1%
Q2 - 2:16SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 2:28MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)40
47.5%
47
52.5%
Q2 - 2:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)40
50.6%
45
49.4%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q2 - 3:05MILBogut Layup (11 PTS)40
55.1%
45
44.9%
Q2 - 3:25SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
57.5%
43
42.5%
Q2 - 3:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)38
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 3:54MILBogut 4' Tip Shot (9 PTS)38
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 3:55MILMISS Ilyasova 6' Jump Shot38
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q2 - 4:21MILBUCKS Rebound38
58.0%
41
42.0%
Q2 - 4:23SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
59.0%
41
41.0%
Q2 - 4:35MILBoykins 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)38
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q2 - 4:39SASSalmons STEAL (1 STL)38
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 5:00SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 5:02MILMISS Ilyasova 15' Jump Shot38
66.2%
39
33.8%
Q2 - 5:25SASMcDyess Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)38
64.3%
39
35.7%
Q2 - 5:46MILSalmons 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
61.5%
39
38.5%
Q2 - 6:11SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)36
64.1%
37
35.9%
Q2 - 6:25MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 6:25MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 6:26MILMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot34
68.7%
34
31.3%
Q2 - 6:43SASMcDyess 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)34
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 6:58MILGooden 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)32
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 7:21SASGinobili 1' Layup (9 PTS)32
67.2%
32
32.8%
Q2 - 7:42MILBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)30
64.8%
32
35.2%
Q2 - 7:58SASMcDyess 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)30
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 8:07SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 8:08MILMISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot28
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 8:25MILBUCKS Rebound28
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 8:25MILMISS Douglas-Roberts 1' Layup28
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 8:28SASDouglas-Roberts STEAL (1 STL)28
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 8:30SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 8:31MILMISS Salmons 7' Jump Shot28
59.3%
32
40.7%
Q2 - 8:55SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 9:02SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 9:03MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot26
54.5%
32
45.5%
Q2 - 9:24SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)26
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q2 - 9:24SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
47.4%
32
52.6%
Q2 - 9:24SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
45.6%
32
54.4%
Q2 - 9:35SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.4%
32
52.6%
Q2 - 9:37MILMISS Maggette 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
46.6%
32
53.4%
Q2 - 9:51MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.7%
32
55.3%
Q2 - 9:53SASGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)23
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 9:54SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
47.4%
32
52.6%
Q2 - 9:56SASMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot23
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 10:14MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 10:14MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 10:21MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 10:22SASMISS McDyess 4' Jump Shot23
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 10:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
52.8%
30
47.2%
Q2 - 10:28MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot23
51.9%
30
48.1%
Q2 - 10:43MILBUCKS Rebound23
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 10:58MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
52.8%
30
47.2%
Q2 - 10:58MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
53.2%
29
46.8%
Q2 - 11:09SASNeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
55.2%
28
44.8%
Q2 - 11:09SASNeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
54.8%
28
45.2%
Q2 - 11:21MILGooden 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)21
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 11:37MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
55.2%
26
44.8%
Q2 - 11:38SASMISS McDyess Layup21
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot21
57.0%
26
43.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
55.8%
26
44.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot21
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot21
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILBUCKS Rebound21
55.8%
26
44.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot21
56.4%
26
43.6%
Q1 - 1:01MILBoykins 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q1 - 1:20SASNeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)21
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q1 - 1:36MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)18
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q1 - 1:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)18
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 1:55SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot18
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q1 - 2:14MILIlyasova 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)18
61.0%
22
39.0%
Q1 - 2:35MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
63.4%
20
36.6%
Q1 - 2:37SASMISS Bonner 5' Jump Hook Shot18
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q1 - 2:53MILMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T1)18
65.3%
20
34.7%
Q1 - 2:57SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)18
63.4%
20
36.6%
Q1 - 3:24MILDooling 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)16
61.6%
20
38.4%
Q1 - 3:41MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)16
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 3:42MILMISS Maggette 16' Jump Shot16
67.2%
17
32.8%
Q1 - 3:58SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
65.7%
17
34.3%
Q1 - 4:20MILSalmons 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)14
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 4:30MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)14
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 4:31SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot14
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 4:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 4:42MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 2 of 214
67.7%
15
32.3%
Q1 - 4:42MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 4:56SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)14
67.8%
14
32.2%
Q1 - 5:08MILMaggette 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)14
69.7%
14
30.3%
Q1 - 5:23SASHill 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)14
71.2%
12
28.8%
Q1 - 5:48MILSalmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)12
69.7%
12
30.3%
Q1 - 6:06SASGinobili 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
73.1%
9
26.9%
Q1 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
71.5%
9
28.5%
Q1 - 6:14MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot10
70.9%
9
29.1%
Q1 - 6:37SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)10
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 6:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
67.9%
9
32.1%
Q1 - 6:43MILMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot8
67.3%
9
32.7%
Q1 - 7:16SASBlair Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
66.2%
9
33.8%
Q1 - 7:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
64.6%
9
35.4%
Q1 - 7:25MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
62.5%
9
37.5%
Q1 - 7:25MILMISS Salmons Tip Shot6
63.9%
9
36.1%
Q1 - 7:27MILMISS Salmons 3' Jump Shot6
63.9%
9
36.1%
Q1 - 7:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)6
62.5%
9
37.5%
Q1 - 7:40MILMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot6
63.9%
9
36.1%
Q1 - 7:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
62.5%
9
37.5%
Q1 - 7:55SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot6
63.1%
9
36.9%
Q1 - 8:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
64.9%
9
35.1%
Q1 - 8:10MILBogut 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)6
64.9%
9
35.1%
Q1 - 8:11MILMISS Ilyasova 5' Jump Shot6
67.9%
7
32.1%
Q1 - 8:29SASBlair 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
66.7%
7
33.3%
Q1 - 8:43MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)4
64.9%
7
35.1%
Q1 - 8:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
66.7%
5
33.3%
Q1 - 8:55SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
66.2%
5
33.8%
Q1 - 9:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
65.6%
5
34.4%
Q1 - 9:12MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
65.1%
5
34.9%
Q1 - 9:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
63.8%
5
36.2%
Q1 - 9:21MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
65.0%
5
35.0%
Q1 - 9:31MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.8%
5
36.2%
Q1 - 9:32SASMISS Jefferson 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
64.3%
5
35.7%
Q1 - 9:50MILIlyasova 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
65.5%
5
34.5%
Q1 - 9:51MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
67.3%
3
32.7%
Q1 - 9:52MILMISS Dooling 9' Jump Shot2
68.4%
3
31.6%
Q1 - 10:02MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.3%
3
32.7%
Q1 - 10:04SASMISS Blair 1' Reverse Layup2
67.8%
3
32.2%
Q1 - 10:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
69.1%
3
30.9%
Q1 - 10:19SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
67.8%
3
32.2%
Q1 - 10:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
69.1%
3
30.9%
Q1 - 10:32MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot2
68.5%
3
31.5%
Q1 - 10:47SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
67.3%
3
32.7%
Q1 - 11:05SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.2%
3
33.8%
Q1 - 11:06MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 20
66.0%
3
34.0%
Q1 - 11:06MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
65.3%
3
34.7%
Q1 - 11:17MILBUCKS Rebound0
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 11:17MILMISS Mbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot0
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 11:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 11:29SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot0
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 11:42MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)0
67.7%
2
32.3%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Duncan: Tip to Ilyasova0
69.2%
0
30.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
MIL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
27
56%
MIL
14
22
64%
Midrange
SAS
15
35
43%
MIL
15
50
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIL
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
10
13
77%
MIL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili2368%11.5 / 17
M. Bonner1771%8.5 / 12
T. Duncan1653%8.0 / 15
G. Neal1083%5.0 / 6
T. Parker831%4.0 / 13
A. McDyess844%4.0 / 9
D. Blair563%2.5 / 4
G. Hill440%2.0 / 5
R. Jefferson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Salmons1757%8.5 / 15
A. Bogut1554%7.5 / 14
E. Boykins1250%6.0 / 12
E. Ilyasova1142%5.5 / 13
C. Maggette941%4.5 / 11
D. Gooden850%4.0 / 8
L. Mbah a Moute770%3.5 / 5
K. Dooling528%2.5 / 9
C. Douglas-Roberts0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+10
-5
86
MIL
71
+18
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.6%
MIL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.5
101.9
SAS 112.3 +9.9
MIL 102.4
Pace
92.7
89.6
SAS 85.4 +6.2
MIL 79.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.6
SAS 16.9 +1.3
MIL 18.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
46.7%
SAS 50.6% +9.2%
MIL 41.4%
TO %
13.8%
13.9%
SAS 5.5% +5.4%
MIL 10.9%
ORB %
25.0%
24.8%
SAS 25.0%
MIL 29.8% +4.8%
FTrt
29.9
28.7
SAS 16.3
MIL 24.7 +8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.3%
54.9%
SAS 59.5% +15.7%
MIL 43.8%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
SAS 7.4% +2.5%
MIL 4.9%
BLK %
6.7%
7.9%
SAS 6.9%
MIL 9.7% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
49.5%
SAS 50.6% +3.4%
MIL 47.2%
Rim FG%
60.3%
53.9%
SAS 55.6%
MIL 63.6% +8.0%
Mid FG%
41.6%
39.0%
SAS 42.9% +12.9%
MIL 30.0%
3P %
39.7%
34.2%
SAS 38.9% +5.6%
MIL 33.3%
FT %
76.7%
75.7%
SAS 76.9%
MIL 85.0% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.3%
33.9%
SAS 33.8% +6.6%
MIL 27.2%
Mid Att. %
39.7%
44.5%
SAS 43.8% +18.0%
MIL 61.7%
3P Att. %
26.1%
21.6%
SAS 22.5% +11.4%
MIL 11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions8182
Possession Minutes22.824.9
Points9184
Rebounds4344
Assists2214
Steals64
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)5 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals37-8032-81
At-the-Rim FG15-2714-22
Midrange FG15-3515-50
2-Point FG30-6229-72
3-Point FG7-183-9
Free Throws10-1317-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
35.2
8
31%
1
9
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-13
31%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 35
33.1
16
53%
8
1
0
3
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
29.6
23
68%
7
4
1
0
1
3
1
6
5-5
100%
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 233 · 31
27.5
0
0%
6
3
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
C · 6'7" 270 · 22
13.2
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
34.0
4
40%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31
31.3
17
71%
1
3
0
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-5
60%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36
18.4
8
44%
5
1
2
0
1
2
2
3
0-2
0%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
17.7
10
83%
6
0
0
0
1
4
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26
G · 6'2" 175 · 27
#25 · G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
51%
43
22
6
5
5
0
10
33
10-13
77%
30-62
48%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.