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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings16%8995
7Celtics84%102119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.1
41.0
17.2
10
63%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
38%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
30.4
36.4
16
93%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.5
24.8
17.9
7
72%
9
0
1
0
2
3
2
7
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.4
23.3
30.6
8
37%
6
1
1
1
1
5
0
6
2-4
50%
3-9
6-13
33%
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
21.7
32.8
7
39%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
24.9
27.4
5
36%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
24.6
9.0
9
46%
4
3
2
0
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
1-3
57%
40%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.3
22.2
30.5
17
81%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
7-8
88%
5-7
5-10
71%
49%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.7
17.9
12.7
12
68%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
47%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.2
7.8
1.4
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.9
1.4
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
7.2
0
1-1
43%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.3
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.9
29.0
34.4
10
44%
4
13
2
2
0
4
1
3
0-1
0%
5-9
4-8
56%
54%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.2
26.5
32.5
25
77%
6
3
4
1
0
0
1
5
3-5
60%
8-11
5-9
73%
53%
2-3
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.0
25.7
36.1
12
43%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-14
7-13
43%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.5
25.2
33.5
14
70%
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
55%
4-5
80%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.9
13.4
19.7
2
50%
1
1
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
61%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
33.5
4.4
10
48%
9
1
2
0
0
3
2
7
2-3
67%
4-9
0-1
44%
57%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.0
26.0
19.4
12
46%
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
6-13
2-4
46%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.0
22.2
12.7
2
25%
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.6
19.1
16.6
16
89%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
4-6
67%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.5
18.4
9.7
12
76%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
1.0
1.4
4
67%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
16.9
0
3-5
51%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.5
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.7
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.